Home-2

Brown Field

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Dayton	7	+3		2-6	0-6-0	1-5-0	23.4	29.1	18.2	44.9
Valparaiso	21	-3	45.5	1-7	1-5-0	3-3-0	17.6	28.8	26.6	-8.4

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Dayton			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 21	VS Butler	-	+7	48	10-37	L	L	U	0%	0%	21%	38%	0%	0%
7	Oct 14	VS Presbyterian	-	-7	51.5	17-20	L	L	U	0%	0%	13%	49%	56%	75%
6	Oct 7	at Morehead ST	-	-3.5	54.5	7-31	L	L	U	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
5	Sep 30	VS St Thomas-MN	-	+3.5	54.5	14-20	L	L	U	0%	0%	21%	36%	88%	60%
4	Sep 23	at San Diego	-	+3.5	47.5	25-40	L	L	O	0%	0%	75%	77%	100%	100%
3	Sep 16	VS Taylor	-	-	-	52-20	W	N	N	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
2	Sep 9	VS Central ST	-	-	-	62-24	W	N	N	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
1	Sep 2	at Illinois ST	-	+19	45	0-41	L	L	U	0%	0%	40%	33%	0%	0%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Valparaiso			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
9	Oct 28	at Butler	-	+13.5	49	7-17	L	W	U	0%	0%	21%	16%	4%	19%
8	Oct 21	at Davidson	-	+16.5	56.5	21-42	L	L	O	0%	0%	1%	13%	68%	87%
7	Oct 14	VS Morehead ST	-	+2	47.5	21-24	L	L	U	0%	0%	5%	24%	22%	22%
6	Oct 7	at Drake	-	+5	46	14-20	L	L	U	0%	0%	6%	33%	3%	17%
5	Sep 30	VS SW Minnesota ST	-	-	-	16-15	W	N	N	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
4	Sep 23	VS Marist	-	-8.5	54	30-36	L	L	O	0%	0%	96%	58%	0%	0%
2	Sep 9	at Indiana Wesleyan	-	-	-	22-24	L	N	N	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
1	Aug 31	at Youngstown ST	-	+33.5	51.5	10-52	L	L	O	0%	0%	31%	36%	29%	53%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 29	Valparaiso Dayton	24 31	+3 -3	+145 -170	54.5	DAYT	DAYT	FAV	Home	Over
2021 Oct 23	Dayton Valparaiso	28 45	-4.5 +4.5	-200 +170	54	VALP	VALP	DOG	HOME	Over
2019 Oct 12	Dayton Valparaiso	41 28	-24 +24	- -	63.5	DAYT	VALP	DOG	HOME	Over
2018 Oct 6	Valparaiso Dayton	20 53	- -	- -	-	DAYT	-	-	-	-
2017 Nov 18	Dayton Valparaiso	7 8	- -	- -	-	VALP	-	-	-	-

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

DAYT	Statistic	VALP	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
23.4	Points Scored	17.6	DAYT	5.8
165.3	Passing Yards	177.9	VALP	12.6
10.2	PYPC	11.9	VALP	1.7
5.5	PYPA	6.1	VALP	0.6
54.2	Completion PCT	51.7	DAYT	2.5
175.4	Rushing Yards	87.3	DAYT	88.1
4.2	RYPA	2.9	DAYT	1.3
55.8	PenaltyYards	56.5	DAYT	0.8
3.0	Turnovers	2.3	VALP	0.8

Defensive Statistics

DAYT	Statistic	VALP	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
29.1	Points Scored	28.8	VALP	0.4
215.1	Passing Yards	207.3	VALP	7.9
11.1	PYPC	13.5	DAYT	2.4
7.1	PYPA	7.4	DAYT	0.3
64.1	Completion PCT	54.9	VALP	9.1
125.9	Rushing Yards	139.0	DAYT	13.1
3.9	RYPA	3.7	VALP	0.2
61.6	PenaltyYards	75.0	VALP	13.4
1.4	Turnovers	0.9	DAYT	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

DAYT	Statistic	VALP	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
10.7	Points Scored	22.3	VALP	11.7
119.0	Passing Yards	179.0	VALP	60.0
8.3	PYPC	12.2	VALP	3.9
4.2	PYPA	6.9	VALP	2.7
50.6	Completion PCT	56.4	VALP	5.8
152.0	Rushing Yards	99.7	DAYT	52.3
3.4	RYPA	2.9	DAYT	0.5
52.0	PenaltyYards	50.3	VALP	1.7
4.0	Turnovers	1.7	VALP	2.3

Defensive Statistics

DAYT	Statistic	VALP	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
37.3	Points Scored	25.0	VALP	12.3
277.7	Passing Yards	271.7	VALP	6.0
12.4	PYPC	15.4	DAYT	3.0
8.4	PYPA	8.8	DAYT	0.4
67.7	Completion PCT	57.0	VALP	10.7
143.0	Rushing Yards	67.3	VALP	75.7
5.0	RYPA	2.0	VALP	3.0
89.7	PenaltyYards	67.0	DAYT	22.7
1.0	Turnovers	1.0	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

DAYT	Statistic	VALP	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
25.9	Points Scored	14.4	DAYT	11.5
156.3	Passing Yards	175.5	VALP	19.2
10.4	PYPC	11.0	VALP	0.7
5.7	PYPA	5.6	DAYT	0.1
54.9	Completion PCT	50.6	DAYT	4.3
196.7	Rushing Yards	77.0	DAYT	119.7
4.4	RYPA	2.5	DAYT	1.9
50.1	PenaltyYards	53.2	DAYT	3.1
2.5	Turnovers	2.2	VALP	0.3

Defensive Statistics

DAYT	Statistic	VALP	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
28.4	Points Scored	31.9	DAYT	3.5
201.2	Passing Yards	219.7	DAYT	18.5
11.8	PYPC	15.0	DAYT	3.2
7.2	PYPA	8.2	DAYT	1.0
61.1	Completion PCT	55.1	VALP	6.0
151.4	Rushing Yards	145.0	VALP	6.4
4.6	RYPA	4.0	VALP	0.7
60.3	PenaltyYards	71.5	VALP	11.2
1.4	Turnovers	0.8	DAYT	0.6

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

DAYT	Statistic	VALP	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
35.4	Points Scored	22.4	DAYT	13.0
200.5	Passing Yards	184.6	DAYT	15.9
13.2	PYPC	12.5	DAYT	0.6
7.9	PYPA	6.5	DAYT	1.5
60.4	Completion PCT	51.5	DAYT	8.9
203.8	Rushing Yards	158.3	DAYT	45.5
4.9	RYPA	4.3	DAYT	0.6
49.0	PenaltyYards	32.8	VALP	16.3
1.5	Turnovers	2.0	DAYT	0.5

Betting Splits

Saturday,November 4	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Dayton Valparaiso	+2.5 -2.5	49% 51%	25% 75%	- 45.5	0% 100%	0% 100%	- -	0% 0%	0% 0%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, November 4	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Dayton	7	+3.0		-6.5		18.2	44.9	24.0	45.1
Valparaiso	21	-3.0	45.5	-4.0	-4.7	26.6	-8.4	21.2	2.8

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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