Makinen Weekly Ratings
| DraftKings | Power Ratings | Effective Strength | Bettor Rating | |||||||||
| Saturday, December 16 | Score | Line | OU | PR | Line | Score | Proj | Edge | Score | Proj | Edge | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Georgia Southern Eagles | -3.5 | 32.0 | 24.9 | 50.8 | 27.0 | 56.0 | ||||||
 Ohio Bobcats | +3.5 | 49.0 | 39.0 | -7.4 | 25.9 | -1.0 | 29.1 | -2.1 | ||||
 Howard | - | 12.0 | 19.5 | 46.5 | 20.2 | 47.6 | ||||||
 Florida A&M | - | - | 20.5 | -8.4 | 27.0 | -7.5 | 27.5 | -7.3 | ||||
 Jacksonville ST | -3.0 | 38.0 | 29.2 | 58.1 | 29.5 | 57.3 | ||||||
 Louisiana Ragin Cajuns | +3.0 | 56.5 | 39.5 | -1.1 | 29.0 | 0.2 | 27.9 | 1.6 | ||||
 Miami OH RedHawks | +5.5 | 40.0 | 24.6 | 51.8 | 20.9 | 49.1 | ||||||
 Appalachian ST Mountaineers | -5.5 | 46.5 | 42.5 | -2.1 | 27.3 | -2.7 | 28.3 | -7.4 | ||||
 New Mexico ST Aggies | -3.5 | 36.0 | 26.7 | 51.7 | 20.6 | 51.3 | ||||||
 Fresno ST Bulldogs | +3.5 | 51.0 | 37.5 | -1.5 | 24.9 | 1.8 | 30.7 | -10.1 | ||||
 UCLA Bruins | -2.0 | 50.5 | 26.5 | 49.8 | 29.7 | 51.5 | ||||||
 Boise ST Broncos | +2.0 | 50.0 | 49.5 | 1.4 | 23.3 | 3.2 | 21.9 | 7.8 | ||||
 California Golden Bears | +3.0 | 48.0 | 27.8 | 59.7 | 24.0 | 59.4 | ||||||
 Texas Tech Red Raiders | -3.0 | 58.0 | 49.0 | -0.9 | 31.9 | -4.2 | 35.5 | -11.5 | ||||
| Monday, December 18 | Score | Line | OU | PR | Line | Score | Proj | Edge | Score | Proj | Edge | |
 W Kentucky Hilltoppers | +2.5 | 34.5 | 30.7 | 58.9 | 28.8 | 54.8 | ||||||
 Old Dominion Monarchs | -2.5 | 55.5 | 32.5 | 1.9 | 28.3 | 2.4 | 26.0 | 2.8 | ||||
| Tuesday, December 19 | Score | Line | OU | PR | Line | Score | Proj | Edge | Score | Proj | Edge | |
 Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners | -10.0 | 44.0 | 33.1 | 56.1 | 32.6 | 50.8 | ||||||
 Marshall Thundering Herd | +10.0 | 54.5 | 34.5 | 9.5 | 22.9 | 10.2 | 18.2 | 14.4 | ||||
| Thursday, December 21 | Score | Line | OU | PR | Line | Score | Proj | Edge | Score | Proj | Edge | |
 Syracuse Orange | -3.0 | 42.0 | 31.5 | 57.9 | 35.0 | 60.0 | ||||||
 South Florida Bulls | +3.0 | 61.0 | 33.0 | 9.1 | 26.5 | 5.0 | 25.1 | 9.9 | ||||
| Friday, December 22 | Score | Line | OU | PR | Line | Score | Proj | Edge | Score | Proj | Edge | |
 UCF Knights | -5.0 | 51.0 | 36.3 | 66.9 | 32.4 | 63.2 | ||||||
 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | +5.0 | 64.0 | 46.0 | 4.4 | 30.6 | 5.7 | 30.8 | 1.6 | ||||
| Saturday, December 23 | Score | Line | OU | PR | Line | Score | Proj | Edge | Score | Proj | Edge | |
 Duke Blue Devils | +7.5 | 49.0 | 20.7 | 44.3 | 20.3 | 45.1 | ||||||
 Troy Trojans | -7.5 | 44.0 | 48.5 | -4.3 | 23.6 | -3.0 | 24.9 | -4.6 | ||||
 Arkansas ST Red Wolves | +1.0 | 32.5 | 25.4 | 51.9 | 25.4 | 53.8 | ||||||
 N Illinois Huskies | -1.0 | 53.5 | 35.5 | -3.7 | 26.4 | -1.0 | 28.4 | -3.0 | ||||
 James Madison | -3.0 | 48.5 | 23.9 | 43.4 | 24.5 | 45.8 | ||||||
 Air Force Falcons | +3.0 | 41.0 | 40.0 | 8.3 | 19.5 | 4.3 | 21.4 | 3.1 | ||||
 Georgia ST Panthers | +1.0 | 31.5 | 32.2 | 62.6 | 31.9 | 61.5 | ||||||
 Utah ST Aggies | -1.0 | 63.5 | 34.0 | -0.2 | 30.4 | 1.8 | 29.7 | 2.2 | ||||
 S Alabama Jaguars | -15.5 | 42.5 | 30.9 | 48.7 | 32.4 | 44.8 | ||||||
 E Michigan Eagles | +15.5 | 47.0 | 27.0 | 15.2 | 17.8 | 13.1 | 12.5 | 19.9 | ||||
 Utah Utes | -7.0 | 53.0 | 27.1 | 43.9 | 30.7 | 43.5 | ||||||
 Northwestern Wildcats | +7.0 | 41.5 | 42.5 | 10.9 | 16.7 | 10.4 | 12.9 | 17.8 | ||||
 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | +10.0 | 38.0 | 26.3 | 56.2 | 29.4 | 58.4 | ||||||
 San Jose ST Spartans | -10.0 | 53.5 | 45.0 | -6.9 | 30.0 | -3.7 | 29.0 | 0.4 | ||||
| Tuesday, December 26 | Score | Line | OU | PR | Line | Score | Proj | Edge | Score | Proj | Edge | |
 Bowling Green Falcons | +4.0 | 37.0 | 20.2 | 45.9 | 15.4 | 44.3 | ||||||
 Minnesota Golden Gophers | -4.0 | 38.0 | 40.5 | -3.6 | 25.7 | -5.5 | 29.0 | -13.6 | ||||
 Texas ST Bobcats | -4.5 | 36.0 | 32.3 | 60.4 | 31.4 | 58.2 | ||||||
 Rice Owls | +4.5 | 59.5 | 39.0 | 0.9 | 28.1 | 4.2 | 26.9 | 4.5 | ||||
 Kansas Jayhawks | -12.5 | 58.5 | 34.0 | 57.5 | 36.0 | 64.9 | ||||||
 UNLV Rebels | +12.5 | 64.5 | 39.0 | 14.4 | 23.5 | 10.5 | 28.9 | 7.1 | ||||
| Wednesday, December 27 | Score | Line | OU | PR | Line | Score | Proj | Edge | Score | Proj | Edge | |
 Virginia Tech Hokies | -7.5 | 48.5 | 27.0 | 47.1 | 24.3 | 47.2 | ||||||
 Tulane Green Wave | +7.5 | 46.0 | 46.5 | 5.4 | 20.2 | 6.8 | 22.9 | 1.4 | ||||
 North Carolina Tar Heels | +3.5 | 51.0 | 25.6 | 55.5 | 31.6 | 61.4 | ||||||
 West Virginia Mountaineers | -3.5 | 56.5 | 48.0 | -1.9 | 29.9 | -4.3 | 29.8 | 1.8 | ||||
 Louisville Cardinals | -8.0 | 54.0 | 32.5 | 57.2 | 33.1 | 60.1 | ||||||
 USC Trojans | +8.0 | 57.5 | 53.0 | 5.7 | 24.6 | 7.9 | 27.1 | 6.0 | ||||
 Texas A&M Aggies | -3.0 | 57.0 | 27.7 | 52.8 | 29.9 | 55.5 | ||||||
 Oklahoma ST Cowboys | +3.0 | 53.0 | 48.0 | 6.6 | 25.1 | 2.7 | 25.7 | 4.2 | ||||
| Thursday, December 28 | Score | Line | OU | PR | Line | Score | Proj | Edge | Score | Proj | Edge | |
 SMU Mustangs | -11.0 | 57.5 | 29.7 | 50.8 | 29.5 | 53.1 | ||||||
 Boston College Eagles | +11.0 | 51.0 | 36.0 | 17.0 | 21.0 | 8.7 | 23.7 | 5.8 | ||||
 Rutgers Scarlet Knights | +2.5 | 44.0 | 19.5 | 43.2 | 21.8 | 42.6 | ||||||
 Miami FL Hurricanes | -2.5 | 41.5 | 53.0 | -6.0 | 23.7 | -4.2 | 20.8 | 1.0 | ||||
 NC State Wolfpack | +3.0 | 52.5 | 21.9 | 48.6 | 18.5 | 47.6 | ||||||
 Kansas ST Wildcats | -3.0 | 47.0 | 59.0 | -3.0 | 26.6 | -4.7 | 29.1 | -10.6 | ||||
 Arizona Wildcats | -3.0 | 58.0 | 30.2 | 60.1 | 30.0 | 61.6 | ||||||
 Oklahoma Sooners | +3.0 | 62.0 | 62.0 | 1.2 | 29.9 | 0.3 | 31.7 | -1.7 | ||||
| Friday, December 29 | Score | Line | OU | PR | Line | Score | Proj | Edge | Score | Proj | Edge | |
 Clemson Tigers | -6.5 | 58.5 | 26.1 | 46.1 | 26.6 | 45.7 | ||||||
 Kentucky Wildcats | +6.5 | 46.5 | 51.0 | 7.5 | 20.0 | 6.0 | 19.1 | 7.5 | ||||
 Notre Dame Fighting Irish | -8.5 | 65.0 | 25.6 | 42.1 | 30.1 | 50.7 | ||||||
 Oregon ST Beavers | +8.5 | 44.0 | 57.5 | 11.2 | 16.5 | 9.1 | 20.6 | 9.5 | ||||
 Memphis Tigers | +8.5 | 42.5 | 24.9 | 56.8 | 24.1 | 56.7 | ||||||
 Iowa ST Cyclones | -8.5 | 57.5 | 55.5 | -9.9 | 31.8 | -6.9 | 32.6 | -8.5 | ||||
 Missouri Tigers | -2.5 | 60.5 | 23.6 | 53.7 | 19.2 | 48.4 | ||||||
 Ohio ST Buckeyes | +2.5 | 49.0 | 69.0 | -5.9 | 30.0 | -6.4 | 29.2 | -10.0 | ||||
| Saturday, December 30 | Score | Line | OU | PR | Line | Score | Proj | Edge | Score | Proj | Edge | |
 Ole Miss Rebels | +3.5 | 57.5 | 20.4 | 46.1 | 24.1 | 52.9 | ||||||
 Penn ST Nittany Lions | -3.5 | 49.5 | 66.0 | -9.1 | 25.6 | -5.2 | 28.8 | -4.7 | ||||
 Auburn Tigers | -2.5 | 52.0 | 25.8 | 50.0 | 27.0 | 50.7 | ||||||
 Maryland Terrapins | +2.5 | 50.0 | 50.5 | 1.4 | 24.1 | 1.7 | 23.7 | 3.3 | ||||
 Georgia Bulldogs | -14.0 | 69.5 | 29.0 | 48.4 | 33.1 | 47.5 | ||||||
 Florida ST Seminoles | +14.0 | 45.0 | 62.5 | 12.8 | 19.3 | 9.7 | 14.4 | 18.7 | ||||
 Toledo Rockets | +3.0 | 42.0 | 25.0 | 48.6 | 28.9 | 47.2 | ||||||
 Wyoming Cowboys | -3.0 | 44.5 | 39.0 | 3.4 | 23.6 | 1.4 | 18.3 | 10.6 | ||||
| Monday, January 1 | Score | Line | OU | PR | Line | Score | Proj | Edge | Score | Proj | Edge | |
 Wisconsin Badgers | +10.5 | 48.5 | 23.1 | 55.6 | 24.1 | 58.0 | ||||||
 LSU Tigers | -10.5 | 56.0 | 65.5 | -11.3 | 32.5 | -9.5 | 34.0 | -9.9 | ||||
 Iowa Hawkies | +8.5 | 46.0 | 15.5 | 39.8 | 11.1 | 38.0 | ||||||
 Tennessee Volunteers | -8.5 | 36.5 | 57.0 | -10.5 | 24.2 | -8.7 | 26.9 | -15.8 | ||||
 Liberty Flames | +16.0 | 45.0 | 24.5 | 62.5 | 22.0 | 68.4 | ||||||
 Oregon Ducks | -16.0 | 65.5 | 68.0 | -22.6 | 38.0 | -13.6 | 46.4 | -24.4 | ||||
 Alabama Crimson Tide | +1.5 | 68.5 | 23.7 | 48.0 | 23.9 | 50.9 | ||||||
 Michigan Wolverines | -1.5 | 45.5 | 70.5 | -2.8 | 24.3 | -0.5 | 27.1 | -3.2 | ||||
 Texas Longhorns | -4.0 | 67.0 | 32.3 | 61.6 | 33.3 | 63.6 | ||||||
 Washington Huskies | +4.0 | 64.0 | 63.0 | 4.2 | 29.3 | 3.0 | 30.4 | 2.9 | ||||
The Power Ratings (PR) are Steve's own manually adjusted ratings updated after every game based upon analysis of live action and box scores. The Power Rating line is reflective of each team's rating and factors in home-field advantage as well as any injury or situational adjustments.
The Effective Strength Ratings (EffStr or ES) are purely statistical ratings, using the teams' key stats against schedule strength and their previous opponents' averages. These are also adjusted for any key injuries the team had endured or faced against.
The Bettors Ratings (BtrRtg) are a quantified interpretation of how bettors perceive teams based upon how lines of recent games have moved and closed.
TIP Click on team logo to view Betting Splits for game.
Key points:
1) On injuries situations where a key line move player is listed as doubtful or out, Steve has already built the adjustments into the ratings. Where the player is questionable or probable, Steve has not, so if that player ends up missing then you need to account for those on your own.
2) Each morning, Steve goes back and makes postgame adjustments to the ratings based upon results, closing lines, and injuries for the purpose of future numbers.
3) Point spread projections (proj) are built for the home team.
How to use these Ratings:
You want to compare the three different strength ratings to the actual line when it is posted.
If there is a difference of 3 points or more between a point spread generated by the Rating vs. the actual line at DraftKings Sportsbook, we have marked the game with an star.
The question you want to ask yourself: Did one of the Strength Ratings identify an opportunity that the betting market missed? If so, you may want to consider that play.
Questions? Email bill@vsin.com