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    3. Steve Makinen's Weekly Ratings

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    Makinen Weekly Ratings

    DraftKingsPower RatingsEffective StrengthBettor Rating
     Wednesday, September 9ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
    New England Patriots New England Patriots
    10
    +3.0
    27.0
    20.3
    45.5
    21.0
    45.7
    Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks
    13
    -3.0
    44.5
    29.5
    -4.1
    25.2
    -4.9
    24.8
    -3.8
     Thursday, September 10ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
    San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers
    27
    +3.5
    27.5
    22.7
    48.7
    23.9
    50.1
    Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams
    7
    -3.5
    47.5
    29.5
    -2.2
    26.0
    -3.3
    26.3
    -2.4
     Sunday, September 13ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
    Cleveland Browns Cleveland Browns
    +8.5
    20.5
    16.2
    42.3
    16.9
    40.1
    Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars
    -8.5
    39.5
    24.0
    -7.4
    26.2
    -10.0
    23.3
    -6.4
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    +3.5
    23.0
    24.3
    49.9
    24.5
    51.3
    Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati Bengals
    -3.5
    50.5
    24.0
    -2.9
    25.6
    -1.3
    26.9
    -2.4
    Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens
    -3.5
    28.5
    26.5
    50.4
    27.9
    51.1
    Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts
    +3.5
    47.5
    23.0
    4.0
    23.9
    2.6
    23.3
    4.6
    Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons
    +6.0
    21.5
    19.7
    42.4
    19.3
    43.5
    Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers
    -6.0
    41.5
    23.0
    -5.0
    22.7
    -3.1
    24.2
    -4.9
    Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills
    -1.5
    28.5
    23.3
    45.6
    24.2
    45.0
    Houston Texans Houston Texans
    +1.5
    44.5
    24.5
    1.8
    22.3
    1.0
    20.9
    3.3
    Chicago Bears Chicago Bears
    -3.0
    26.0
    24.4
    47.1
    24.2
    46.3
    Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers
    +3.0
    47.5
    22.0
    1.6
    22.8
    1.6
    22.2
    2.0
    New York Jets New York Jets
    +1.5
    18.5
    18.9
    39.2
    18.2
    39.9
    Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
    -1.5
    38.5
    20.5
    -3.9
    20.3
    -1.4
    21.8
    -3.6
    New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints
    +7.0
    22.5
    22.1
    49.1
    20.5
    50.2
    Detroit Lions Detroit Lions
    -7.0
    49.5
    26.0
    -7.5
    27.0
    -4.9
    29.7
    -9.2
    Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals
    +9.5
    17.5
    19.6
    47.7
    19.5
    46.5
    Los Angeles Chargers Los Angeles Chargers
    -9.5
    47.5
    24.5
    -9.3
    28.0
    -8.4
    27.1
    -7.6
    Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins
    +3.0
    18.5
    19.2
    41.5
    19.2
    41.5
    Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders
    -3.0
    40.5
    19.5
    -3.4
    22.2
    -3.0
    22.3
    -3.1
    Wash Commanders Wash Commanders
    +6.0
    23.0
    18.5
    44.0
    19.8
    45.8
    Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles
    -6.0
    44.5
    27.0
    -6.3
    25.5
    -7.0
    26.0
    -6.2
    Green Bay Packers Green Bay Packers
    +1.5
    26.5
    23.9
    45.6
    24.0
    43.5
    Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
    -1.5
    46.5
    23.0
    2.6
    21.7
    2.1
    19.5
    4.5
    Dallas Cowboys Dallas Cowboys
    -3.0
    24.5
    25.2
    48.3
    25.1
    47.3
    New York Giants New York Giants
    +3.0
    48.5
    22.0
    1.8
    23.1
    2.1
    22.2
    2.9
     Monday, September 14ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
    Denver Broncos Denver Broncos
    +2.5
    27.0
    19.8
    44.5
    20.0
    42.8
    Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs
    -2.5
    43.5
    26.0
    -1.4
    24.7
    -4.9
    22.8
    -2.8

    The Power Ratings (PR) are Steve's own manually adjusted ratings updated after every game based upon analysis of live action and box scores. The Power Rating line is reflective of each team's rating and factors in home-field advantage as well as any injury or situational adjustments.

    The Effective Strength Ratings (EffStr or ES) are purely statistical ratings, using the teams' key stats against schedule strength and their previous opponents' averages. These are also adjusted for any key injuries the team had endured or faced against.

    The Bettors Ratings (BtrRtg) are a quantified interpretation of how bettors perceive teams based upon how lines of recent games have moved and closed.

    TIP  Click on team logo to view Betting Splits for game.

    Key points:
    1) On injuries situations where a key line move player is listed as doubtful or out, Steve has already built the adjustments into the ratings. Where the player is questionable or probable, Steve has not, so if that player ends up missing then you need to account for those on your own.

    2) Each morning, Steve goes back and makes postgame adjustments to the ratings based upon results, closing lines, and injuries for the purpose of future numbers.

    3) Point spread projections (proj) are built for the home team.

    How to use these Ratings:
    You want to compare the three different strength ratings to the actual line when it is posted.

    If there is a difference of 3 points or more between a point spread generated by the Rating vs. the actual line at DraftKings Sportsbook, we have marked the game with an star.

    The question you want to ask yourself: Did one of the Strength Ratings identify an opportunity that the betting market missed? If so, you may want to consider that play.

    Questions? Email bill@vsin.com