Home-2

Brown Field

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Stetson	20	+7.5		3-6	2-5-0	3-4-0	24.0	37.3	21.9	52.1
Valparaiso	23	-7.5	53.5	2-7	2-5-0	3-4-0	18.0	26.3	30.2	-8.2

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Stetson			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
10	Nov 4	VS Davidson	-	+16.5	65.5	41-61	L	L	O	0%	0%	24%	35%	42%	60%
9	Oct 28	at Drake	-	+14	51	7-33	L	L	U	0%	0%	31%	38%	87%	43%
8	Oct 21	VS St Thomas-MN	-	+6	51	6-38	L	L	U	0%	0%	91%	79%	0%	0%
6	Oct 7	at Presbyterian	-	+2.5	54	28-24	W	W	U	0%	0%	45%	51%	100%	100%
5	Sep 30	at Marist	-	-2.5	53	24-34	L	L	O	0%	0%	84%	80%	99%	86%
4	Sep 23	VS Butler	-	+8	57	18-28	L	L	U	0%	0%	2%	3%	0%	0%
3	Sep 16	at Montana ST	-	+47	61	20-57	L	W	O	0%	0%	1%	20%	95%	81%
2	Sep 9	VS Webber	-	-	-	38-28	W	N	N	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
1	Sep 2	VS St Thomas-FL	-	-	-	34-33	W	N	N	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Valparaiso			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
10	Nov 4	VS Dayton	-	-3	45.5	21-7	W	W	U	0%	0%	51%	75%	0%	0%
9	Oct 28	at Butler	-	+13.5	49	7-17	L	W	U	0%	0%	21%	16%	4%	19%
8	Oct 21	at Davidson	-	+16.5	56.5	21-42	L	L	O	0%	0%	1%	13%	68%	87%
7	Oct 14	VS Morehead ST	-	+2	47.5	21-24	L	L	U	0%	0%	5%	24%	22%	22%
6	Oct 7	at Drake	-	+5	46	14-20	L	L	U	0%	0%	6%	33%	3%	17%
5	Sep 30	VS SW Minnesota ST	-	-	-	16-15	W	N	N	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
4	Sep 23	VS Marist	-	-8.5	54	30-36	L	L	O	0%	0%	96%	58%	0%	0%
2	Sep 9	at Indiana Wesleyan	-	-	-	22-24	L	N	N	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
1	Aug 31	at Youngstown ST	-	+33.5	51.5	10-52	L	L	O	0%	0%	31%	36%	29%	53%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2019 Oct 26	Stetson Valparaiso	10 19	-10 +10	- -	53	VALP	VALP	DOG	HOME	Under
2018 Nov 17	Valparaiso Stetson	31 45	- -	- -	-	STET	-	-	-	-
2017 Sep 30	Stetson Valparaiso	24 27	- -	- -	-	VALP	-	-	-	-
2016 Oct 15	Valparaiso Stetson	21 18	- -	- -	-	VALP	-	-	-	-
2015 Oct 24	Stetson Valparaiso	37 14	- -	- -	-	STET	-	-	-	-

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

STET	Statistic	VALP	Edge	Margin
9	Games	9	-	0
24.0	Points Scored	18.0	STET	6.0
239.8	Passing Yards	172.1	STET	67.7
13.2	PYPC	11.5	STET	1.7
7.4	PYPA	6.1	STET	1.3
56.2	Completion PCT	53.4	STET	2.8
105.4	Rushing Yards	87.9	STET	17.6
3.2	RYPA	2.8	STET	0.4
42.2	PenaltyYards	58.2	STET	16.0
2.0	Turnovers	2.1	STET	0.1

Defensive Statistics

STET	Statistic	VALP	Edge	Margin
9	Games	9	-	0
37.3	Points Scored	26.3	VALP	11.0
166.9	Passing Yards	196.1	STET	29.2
13.7	PYPC	12.7	VALP	1.0
7.1	PYPA	7.0	VALP	0.0
51.9	Completion PCT	55.4	STET	3.5
298.1	Rushing Yards	131.1	VALP	167.0
6.5	RYPA	3.5	VALP	3.0
67.3	PenaltyYards	74.6	VALP	7.2
1.8	Turnovers	0.9	STET	0.9

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

STET	Statistic	VALP	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
19.8	Points Scored	22.0	VALP	2.3
212.8	Passing Yards	165.8	STET	47.0
14.2	PYPC	11.2	STET	2.9
7.7	PYPA	6.7	STET	1.0
54.1	Completion PCT	59.6	VALP	5.6
105.0	Rushing Yards	98.0	STET	7.0
3.0	RYPA	2.8	STET	0.3
40.0	PenaltyYards	55.8	STET	15.8
2.5	Turnovers	1.5	VALP	1.0

Defensive Statistics

STET	Statistic	VALP	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
37.0	Points Scored	20.5	VALP	16.5
197.3	Passing Yards	230.5	STET	33.3
14.9	PYPC	13.4	VALP	1.5
8.1	PYPA	7.7	VALP	0.5
54.6	Completion PCT	57.5	STET	2.9
264.8	Rushing Yards	67.5	VALP	197.3
5.6	RYPA	2.0	VALP	3.6
65.5	PenaltyYards	68.0	VALP	2.5
2.3	Turnovers	1.0	STET	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

STET	Statistic	VALP	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
25.8	Points Scored	16.5	STET	9.3
248.8	Passing Yards	170.9	STET	77.9
13.2	PYPC	11.0	STET	2.2
7.4	PYPA	5.8	STET	1.6
56.1	Completion PCT	52.7	STET	3.4
105.7	Rushing Yards	81.9	STET	23.8
3.4	RYPA	2.6	STET	0.8
48.7	PenaltyYards	56.4	STET	7.7
1.9	Turnovers	1.9	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

STET	Statistic	VALP	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
35.7	Points Scored	30.2	VALP	5.5
176.3	Passing Yards	215.4	STET	39.1
13.7	PYPC	14.0	STET	0.3
7.2	PYPA	7.8	STET	0.7
52.4	Completion PCT	56.0	STET	3.6
281.0	Rushing Yards	141.2	VALP	139.8
6.2	RYPA	3.9	VALP	2.3
67.1	PenaltyYards	73.5	VALP	6.4
2.0	Turnovers	0.9	STET	1.1

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

STET	Statistic	VALP	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
26.8	Points Scored	22.4	STET	4.4
262.0	Passing Yards	153.8	STET	108.2
12.6	PYPC	11.1	STET	1.5
6.9	PYPA	5.5	STET	1.4
54.7	Completion PCT	49.3	STET	5.5
129.0	Rushing Yards	97.6	STET	31.4
3.6	RYPA	2.5	STET	1.1
69.8	PenaltyYards	60.8	VALP	9.0
2.8	Turnovers	1.2	VALP	1.6

Betting Splits

Saturday,November 11	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Stetson Valparaiso	+7.5 -7.5	99% 1%	43% 57%	- 53.5	0% 100%	0% 100%	- -	0% 0%	0% 0%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, November 11	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Stetson	20	+7.5		-9.5		21.9	52.1	24.7	52.8
Valparaiso	23	-7.5	53.5	-3.0	-9.3	30.2	-8.2	28.2	-3.5

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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