Home-2

Thomas Robinson Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Buffalo	26	-4.5		8-4	7-5-0	7-4-1	29.1	28.0	29.1	51.7
Liberty	7	+4.5	51.5	8-3	3-8-0	5-5-1	30.7	23.3	22.6	6.5

DraftKings Betting Splits

Saturday,Jan 4	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Buffalo Liberty	-4.5 +4.5	83% 17%	69% 31%	51.5 51.5	59% 41%	70% 30%	-192 +160	77% 23%	62% 38%

Circa Sports Betting Splits

Saturday,Jan 4	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Buffalo Liberty	-4 +4	66% 34%	76% 24%	51 51	49% 51%	54% 46%	-200 175	75% 25%	60% 40%

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Chris Fallica	CFB	2025-01-04	Buffalo (-3) vs Liberty	26 - 7	WIN
Chuck Edel	CFB	2025-01-04	Buffalo (-3) vs Liberty	26 - 7	WIN
Chuck Edel	CFB	2025-01-04	Buffalo vs Liberty - UNDER (51)	33	WIN
Peter Wilder	CFB	2025-01-04	Buffalo (-3) vs Liberty	26 - 7	WIN
Paul Bovi	CFB	2025-01-04	Buffalo vs Liberty - OVER (51)	33	LOSS
Paul Stone	CFB	2025-01-04	Buffalo (-2.5) vs Liberty	26 - 7	WIN

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, January 4	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Buffalo Bulls	26	-4.5		30.0		29.1	51.7	24.0	51.5
Liberty Flames	7	+4.5	51.5	37.5	2.2	22.6	6.5	27.6	-3.6

2024 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Buffalo			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
14	Nov 26	VS Kent ST	-1800	-24	51	43-7	W	W	U	97%	92%	88%	78%	72%	71%
13	Nov 20	at E Michigan	-108	+1	53.5	37-20	W	W	O	38%	52%	57%	51%	78%	70%
12	Nov 12	VS Ball ST	-166	-3.5	55.5	51-48	W	L	O	75%	81%	44%	62%	80%	72%
10	Nov 2	at Akron	-110	-1	48	41-30	W	W	O	54%	65%	60%	69%	51%	67%
9	Oct 26	at Ohio	+154	+4	46.5	16-47	L	L	O	30%	19%	65%	44%	82%	82%
8	Oct 19	VS W Michigan	-105	+1	49.5	41-48	L	L	O	41%	66%	41%	64%	85%	80%
7	Oct 12	VS Toledo	+310	+10.5	44.5	30-15	W	W	O	24%	7%	57%	43%	86%	87%
5	Sep 28	at Connecticut	+180	+6	44.5	3-47	L	L	O	41%	24%	38%	64%	61%	78%
4	Sep 21	at N Illinois	+400	+13	43	23-20	W	W	P	38%	5%	60%	32%	59%	83%
3	Sep 14	VS Massachusetts	-155	-3	45.5	34-3	W	W	U	76%	80%	44%	66%	80%	68%
2	Sep 7	at Missouri	-	+32	52	0-38	L	L	U	0%	0%	8%	10%	91%	86%
1	Aug 29	VS Lafayette	-162	-3.5	45.5	30-13	W	W	U	70%	83%	53%	71%	44%	68%

2024 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Liberty			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
14	Nov 29	at Sam Houston ST	-135	-2.5	48	18-20	L	L	U	70%	68%	70%	74%	67%	75%
13	Nov 23	VS W Kentucky	-112	-1	56.5	38-21	W	W	O	58%	51%	36%	58%	57%	62%
12	Nov 16	at Massachusetts	-850	-17	53	35-34	W	L	O	83%	96%	66%	73%	64%	64%
11	Nov 9	at Middle Tenn ST	-485	-12.5	55	37-17	W	W	U	85%	97%	62%	68%	93%	68%
10	Oct 30	VS Jacksonville ST	-135	-2.5	64	21-31	L	L	U	71%	67%	66%	63%	71%	52%
9	Oct 23	at Kennesaw ST	-4000	-27	48	24-27	L	L	O	92%	88%	76%	68%	75%	75%
7	Oct 8	VS Florida Intl	-750	-15.5	55.5	31-24	W	L	U	87%	87%	59%	69%	59%	65%
4	Sep 21	VS East Carolina	-285	-7.5	55	35-24	W	W	O	68%	90%	32%	54%	76%	69%
3	Sep 14	VS UTEP	-2800	-24	57.5	28-10	W	L	U	80%	94%	78%	69%	72%	54%
2	Sep 7	at New Mexico ST	-2100	-22	54	30-24	W	L	P	38%	85%	71%	53%	61%	74%
1	Aug 31	VS Campbell	-	-40.5	60.5	41-24	W	L	O	0%	0%	95%	63%	74%	60%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2023 Sep 16	Liberty Flames Buffalo Bulls	55 27	-3 +3	-155 +130	54	LIBR	LIBR	FAV	Road	Over
2019 Sep 14	Buffalo Bulls Liberty Flames	17 35	-5.5 +5.5	-220 +184	55	LIBR	LIBR	DOG	HOME	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
12	Games	11	BUF	1
29.1	Points Scored	30.7	LIBR	1.7
190.4	Passing Yards	175.8	BUF	14.6
12.4	PYPC	12.8	LIBR	0.5
7.0	PYPA	7.2	LIBR	0.3
56.4	Completion PCT	56.3	BUF	0.1
164.7	Rushing Yards	259.5	LIBR	94.8
4.2	RYPA	5.6	LIBR	1.5
42.6	PenaltyYards	70.3	BUF	27.7
1.1	Turnovers	1.4	BUF	0.3

Defensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
12	Games	11	LIBR	1
28.0	Points Scored	23.3	LIBR	4.7
258.6	Passing Yards	201.7	LIBR	56.9
11.8	PYPC	12.3	BUF	0.5
7.4	PYPA	7.3	LIBR	0.1
62.9	Completion PCT	59.5	LIBR	3.4
145.7	Rushing Yards	148.9	BUF	3.2
4.1	RYPA	4.0	LIBR	0.0
41.2	PenaltyYards	53.3	LIBR	12.1
1.6	Turnovers	1.4	BUF	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
0	Games	0	-	0
0.0	Points Scored	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Passing Yards	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	PYPC	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	PYPA	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Completion PCT	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Rushing Yards	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	RYPA	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	PenaltyYards	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Turnovers	0.0	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
0	Games	0	-	0
0.0	Points Scored	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Passing Yards	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	PYPC	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	PYPA	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Completion PCT	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Rushing Yards	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	RYPA	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	PenaltyYards	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Turnovers	0.0	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
31.9	Points Scored	29.7	BUF	2.2
203.5	Passing Yards	168.0	BUF	35.5
12.3	PYPC	12.6	LIBR	0.3
7.2	PYPA	6.9	BUF	0.2
58.1	Completion PCT	55.0	BUF	3.1
165.4	Rushing Yards	257.5	LIBR	92.1
4.2	RYPA	5.6	LIBR	1.5
41.1	PenaltyYards	64.6	BUF	23.5
1.1	Turnovers	1.4	BUF	0.3

Defensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
28.5	Points Scored	23.2	LIBR	5.3
266.0	Passing Yards	202.5	LIBR	63.5
13.0	PYPC	11.9	LIBR	1.1
7.8	PYPA	7.1	LIBR	0.7
60.1	Completion PCT	59.4	LIBR	0.7
145.0	Rushing Yards	152.2	BUF	7.2
4.0	RYPA	4.1	BUF	0.0
38.9	PenaltyYards	50.0	LIBR	11.1
1.6	Turnovers	1.5	BUF	0.1

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
2	Games	2	-	0
22.0	Points Scored	45.0	LIBR	23.0
221.5	Passing Yards	334.5	LIBR	113.0
10.1	PYPC	17.2	LIBR	7.1
5.3	PYPA	11.3	LIBR	6.1
52.4	Completion PCT	66.1	LIBR	13.7
146.5	Rushing Yards	150.5	LIBR	4.0
4.0	RYPA	4.8	LIBR	0.8
77.0	PenaltyYards	87.5	BUF	10.5
1.0	Turnovers	0.0	LIBR	1.0

All Games	Sport	Event Date	Selection	BB	Score	Result
Chuck Edel (1)	CFB	2025-01-04	Buffalo (-3) vs Liberty		26 - 7	WIN
Chris Fallica (4)	CFB	2025-01-04	Buffalo (-3) vs Liberty		26 - 7	WIN
Pete Wilder (8)	CFB	2025-01-04	Buffalo (-3) vs Liberty		26 - 7	WIN
All Games	Sport	Event Date	Selection	BB	Score	Result
Paul Bovi (7)	CFB	2025-01-04	Buffalo vs Liberty - OVER (51)		33	LOSS
All Games	Sport	Event Date	Selection	BB	Score	Result
Chuck Edel (1)	CFB	2025-01-04	Buffalo vs Liberty - UNDER (51)		33	WIN

Player	Pos	Injury
Buffalo
George Wolo	DT	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Liberty
Noah Whitmer	DE	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Liberty
Tyrell Simmons Jr	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Liberty
Nick Roy	DE	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Liberty
Jayden Oliver	CB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Liberty
Bodhi Ogg	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Liberty
Bobby Mays	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Liberty
Gabe Goins	RB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Liberty
SaVeon Brown	LB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Liberty
Nik McMillan	WR	Knee - is out for season

Player	Position	Injury
Liberty
Bentley Hanshaw	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Buffalo U
Bo Burklow	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Buffalo U
Austin Henderson	TE	Leg - is out indefinitely
Reese Smith	WR	Knee - is out indefinitely
Christian Bodnar	S	Undisclosed - is out indefinitely
Jay Hardy	DE	Ankle - is out indefinitely
Darius Copeland	WR	Lower Body - is out for season

Active Betting Splits