Home-2

Protective Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Roughnecks	28	+16		1-6	2-4-1	2-5-0	13.7	21.9	13.7	41.3
Stallions	35	-16	43	7-0	5-2-0	3-4-0	28.7	16.4	27.6	-13.8

2024 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Houston			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	May 12	VS San Antonio	+140	+3	38.5	12-15	L	P	U	25%	16%	45%	23%	50%	66%
6	May 4	at ST Louis	+500	+10.5	47	8-22	L	L	U	21%	11%	32%	21%	55%	55%
5	Apr 27	VS Birmingham	+340	+9.5	41.5	9-32	L	L	U	10%	7%	17%	23%	49%	71%
4	Apr 21	VS Arlington	+180	+4.5	46	17-9	W	W	U	32%	27%	13%	17%	59%	45%
3	Apr 14	at Michigan	+136	+3	37.5	20-34	L	L	O	48%	30%	45%	35%	36%	45%
2	Apr 7	at DC	+215	+6	40	18-23	L	W	O	29%	24%	18%	25%	49%	38%
1	Mar 31	VS Memphis	+110	+2	40	12-18	L	L	U	41%	48%	22%	40%	55%	52%

2024 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Birmingham			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	May 11	VS ST Louis	-185	-4.5	49	30-26	W	L	O	38%	65%	65%	59%	90%	74%
6	May 4	at Memphis	-800	-12.5	42.5	39-21	W	W	O	72%	90%	73%	80%	68%	84%
5	Apr 27	at Houston	-440	-9.5	41.5	32-9	W	W	U	90%	93%	83%	77%	49%	71%
4	Apr 20	VS DC	-380	-9	47.5	20-18	W	L	U	75%	88%	55%	63%	78%	65%
3	Apr 13	VS Memphis	-325	-7.5	41.5	33-14	W	W	O	67%	86%	51%	48%	66%	67%
2	Apr 7	at Michigan	-250	-6	41.5	20-13	W	W	U	67%	79%	50%	59%	39%	37%
1	Mar 30	at Arlington	-180	-4	42.5	27-14	W	W	U	73%	69%	72%	73%	64%	53%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2024 Apr 27	Birmingham Stallions Houston Roughnecks	32 9	-9.5 +9.5	-440 +340	41.5	BIR	BIR	FAV	Road	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

HOU	Statistic	BIR	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
13.7	Points Scored	28.7	BIR	15.0
175.4	Passing Yards	213.9	BIR	38.4
8.8	PYPC	4.6	HOU	4.2
5.7	PYPA	8.0	BIR	2.3
64.8	Completion PCT	174.5	BIR	109.7
60.4	Rushing Yards	147.1	BIR	86.7
3.4	RYPA	5.0	BIR	1.6
49.6	PenaltyYards	54.3	HOU	4.7
1.4	Turnovers	1.0	BIR	0.4

Defensive Statistics

HOU	Statistic	BIR	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
21.9	Points Scored	16.4	BIR	5.4
193.6	Passing Yards	183.1	BIR	10.4
11.2	PYPC	8.7	BIR	2.5
6.5	PYPA	5.5	BIR	1.0
57.9	Completion PCT	62.6	HOU	4.7
80.1	Rushing Yards	53.6	BIR	26.6
3.2	RYPA	3.3	HOU	0.1
37.0	PenaltyYards	38.9	BIR	1.9
1.4	Turnovers	1.7	BIR	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

HOU	Statistic	BIR	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
15.3	Points Scored	27.7	BIR	12.3
189.3	Passing Yards	202.3	BIR	13.0
9.0	PYPC	2.3	HOU	6.8
5.5	PYPA	7.8	BIR	2.3
60.6	Completion PCT	342.3	BIR	281.7
62.0	Rushing Yards	124.7	BIR	62.7
3.4	RYPA	4.6	BIR	1.2
43.7	PenaltyYards	47.0	HOU	3.3
1.0	Turnovers	1.3	HOU	0.3

Defensive Statistics

HOU	Statistic	BIR	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
26.3	Points Scored	19.3	BIR	7.0
225.0	Passing Yards	171.3	BIR	53.7
12.1	PYPC	9.0	BIR	3.0
7.6	PYPA	5.4	BIR	2.2
62.9	Completion PCT	60.0	BIR	2.9
67.0	Rushing Yards	58.0	BIR	9.0
2.5	RYPA	3.3	HOU	0.7
16.0	PenaltyYards	46.3	BIR	30.3
0.7	Turnovers	1.0	BIR	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

HOU	Statistic	BIR	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
13.7	Points Scored	28.7	BIR	15.0
175.4	Passing Yards	213.9	BIR	38.4
8.8	PYPC	4.6	HOU	4.2
5.7	PYPA	8.0	BIR	2.3
64.8	Completion PCT	174.5	BIR	109.7
60.4	Rushing Yards	147.1	BIR	86.7
3.4	RYPA	5.0	BIR	1.6
49.6	PenaltyYards	54.3	HOU	4.7
1.4	Turnovers	1.0	BIR	0.4

Defensive Statistics

HOU	Statistic	BIR	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
21.9	Points Scored	16.4	BIR	5.4
193.6	Passing Yards	183.1	BIR	10.4
11.2	PYPC	8.7	BIR	2.5
6.5	PYPA	5.5	BIR	1.0
57.9	Completion PCT	62.6	HOU	4.7
80.1	Rushing Yards	53.6	BIR	26.6
3.2	RYPA	3.3	HOU	0.1
37.0	PenaltyYards	38.9	BIR	1.9
1.4	Turnovers	1.7	BIR	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

HOU	Statistic	BIR	Edge	Margin
1	Games	1	-	0
9.0	Points Scored	32.0	BIR	23.0
235.0	Passing Yards	155.0	HOU	80.0
7.8	PYPC	14.1	BIR	6.3
5.6	PYPA	7.8	BIR	2.2
71.4	Completion PCT	55.0	HOU	16.4
36.0	Rushing Yards	213.0	BIR	177.0
2.6	RYPA	6.7	BIR	4.1
30.0	PenaltyYards	55.0	HOU	25.0
2.0	Turnovers	0.0	BIR	2.0

Betting Splits

Saturday,May 18	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Houston Roughnecks Birmingham Stallions	+16 -16	50% 50%	37% 63%	43 43	59% 41%	80% 20%	+1000 -1800	43% 57%	15% 85%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, May 18	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Houston Roughnecks	28	+16.0		19.5		13.7	41.3	16.9	43.2
Birmingham Stallions	35	-16.0	43.0	33.0	-14.3	27.6	-13.8	26.3	-9.4

Active Betting Splits

Top Selections Week 16

Count	PCT	Selection	Result
4	100%	Ohio ST (-7) vs Tennessee	WIN
3	100%	Texas (-12.5) vs Clemson	WIN
3	75%	SMU at Penn ST - UNDER (53)	WIN
3	75%	Clemson at Texas - UNDER (50.5)	LOSS
Count	PCT	Selection	Result
4	100%	Seahawks (+3) vs Vikings	PUSH
3	100%	Titans (+3.5) at Colts	LOSS
3	100%	Commanders (+3.5) vs Eagles	WIN

Top Selections Week 16

Count	PCT	Selection	Result
20	100%	Montana ST (-8) vs S Dakota	WIN
26	96%	Texas-San Antonio (-10) vs Coastal Carolina	WIN
30	94%	Clemson at Texas - UNDER (50.5)	LOSS
22	88%	Tennessee at Ohio ST - UNDER (46)	LOSS
18	86%	South Florida (+3.5) vs San Jose ST	WIN
23	82%	SMU at Penn ST - UNDER (53)	WIN
Count	PCT	Selection	Result
15	94%	Steelers at Ravens - UNDER (44.5)	LOSS
9	90%	Buccaneers at Cowboys - OVER (48.5)	WIN
10	83%	Cardinals at Panthers - OVER (47.5)	WIN
28	80%	49ers (PK) at Dolphins	LOSS
9	75%	Raiders (-1.5) vs Jaguars	WIN