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Provost Umphrey Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Northwestern ST	13	+3.5		0-4	1-3-0	1-3-0	12.8	37.3	23.6	51.3
Lamar	27	-3.5	45.5	2-3	3-1-0	1-3-0	19.2	24.0	27.6	-4

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Northwestern ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Sep 30	VS E Illinois	-	+7	49.5	10-19	L	L	U	0%	0%	35%	26%	100%	100%
3	Sep 16	VS Stephen F Austin	-	+11.5	63.5	7-41	L	L	U	0%	0%	52%	47%	0%	0%
2	Sep 9	at Louisiana Tech	-	+23.5	59	21-51	L	L	O	0%	0%	39%	23%	19%	33%
1	Sep 2	at Louisiana	-	+35	55	13-38	L	W	U	0%	0%	40%	53%	66%	63%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Lamar			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Sep 30	at Houston Christian	-	+2.5	55.5	21-19	W	W	U	0%	0%	72%	50%	0%	0%
4	Sep 23	VS Lincoln-CA	-	-	-	38-0	W	N	N	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
3	Sep 16	at S Dakota	-	+24	46	6-35	L	L	U	0%	0%	100%	31%	0%	0%
2	Sep 9	at LA Monroe	-	+25.5	48	14-24	L	W	U	0%	0%	43%	29%	20%	65%
1	Aug 31	VS Idaho	+1300	+25.5	54.5	17-42	L	W	O	1%	3%	5%	27%	76%	54%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Sep 24	Lamar Northwestern ST	27 35	-4 +4	-200 +170	53	NWLA	NWLA	DOG	Home	Over
2019 Nov 9	Lamar Northwestern ST	13 34	+2.5 -2.5	- -	59.5	NWLA	NWLA	FAV	Home	Under
2018 Sep 15	Northwestern ST Lamar	49 48	- -	- -	-	NWLA	-	-	-	-
2017 Sep 16	Lamar Northwestern ST	28 35	- -	- -	-	NWLA	-	-	-	-
2016 Oct 15	Northwestern ST Lamar	31 32	- -	- -	-	LAMR	-	-	-	-

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NWLA	Statistic	LAMR	Edge	Margin
4	Games	5	LAMR	1
12.8	Points Scored	19.2	LAMR	6.5
163.5	Passing Yards	192.8	LAMR	29.3
10.2	PYPC	11.5	LAMR	1.3
5.1	PYPA	7.5	LAMR	2.4
49.6	Completion PCT	65.1	LAMR	15.5
103.8	Rushing Yards	142.4	LAMR	38.7
2.6	RYPA	3.7	LAMR	1.2
56.3	PenaltyYards	60.8	NWLA	4.6
3.3	Turnovers	2.0	LAMR	1.3

Defensive Statistics

NWLA	Statistic	LAMR	Edge	Margin
4	Games	5	NWLA	1
37.3	Points Scored	24.0	LAMR	13.3
219.0	Passing Yards	134.6	LAMR	84.4
14.1	PYPC	11.0	LAMR	3.1
7.0	PYPA	6.2	LAMR	0.8
49.2	Completion PCT	56.0	NWLA	6.8
208.5	Rushing Yards	226.4	NWLA	17.9
5.7	RYPA	5.9	NWLA	0.2
43.8	PenaltyYards	67.0	LAMR	23.3
1.8	Turnovers	1.0	NWLA	0.8

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NWLA	Statistic	LAMR	Edge	Margin
2	Games	2	-	0
17.0	Points Scored	27.5	LAMR	10.5
124.5	Passing Yards	155.5	LAMR	31.0
10.4	PYPC	10.4	NWLA	0.0
4.5	PYPA	7.1	LAMR	2.5
43.6	Completion PCT	68.2	LAMR	24.5
131.0	Rushing Yards	184.0	LAMR	53.0
2.9	RYPA	4.7	LAMR	1.8
83.5	PenaltyYards	75.0	LAMR	8.5
2.0	Turnovers	1.5	LAMR	0.5

Defensive Statistics

NWLA	Statistic	LAMR	Edge	Margin
2	Games	2	-	0
44.5	Points Scored	21.0	LAMR	23.5
167.0	Passing Yards	125.0	LAMR	42.0
12.9	PYPC	10.0	LAMR	2.9
6.2	PYPA	5.8	LAMR	0.4
48.2	Completion PCT	58.1	NWLA	10.0
286.5	Rushing Yards	176.5	LAMR	110.0
8.0	RYPA	5.0	LAMR	2.9
50.0	PenaltyYards	96.5	LAMR	46.5
2.5	Turnovers	1.0	NWLA	1.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NWLA	Statistic	LAMR	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
18.6	Points Scored	20.6	LAMR	2.0
224.5	Passing Yards	163.6	NWLA	60.9
10.4	PYPC	11.3	LAMR	0.9
5.5	PYPA	6.6	LAMR	1.0
53.6	Completion PCT	58.2	LAMR	4.7
111.4	Rushing Yards	184.5	LAMR	73.1
3.1	RYPA	4.5	LAMR	1.4
48.0	PenaltyYards	61.3	NWLA	13.3
2.6	Turnovers	1.9	LAMR	0.7

Defensive Statistics

NWLA	Statistic	LAMR	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
34.8	Points Scored	31.3	LAMR	3.5
211.2	Passing Yards	166.2	LAMR	45.0
12.7	PYPC	11.1	LAMR	1.6
6.6	PYPA	6.7	NWLA	0.1
52.5	Completion PCT	60.7	NWLA	8.2
240.0	Rushing Yards	236.2	LAMR	3.8
5.9	RYPA	6.1	NWLA	0.2
59.3	PenaltyYards	48.2	NWLA	11.1
1.5	Turnovers	1.0	NWLA	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NWLA	Statistic	LAMR	Edge	Margin
6	Games	6	-	0
38.7	Points Scored	30.5	NWLA	8.2
256.8	Passing Yards	236.7	NWLA	20.2
14.0	PYPC	13.8	NWLA	0.2
8.2	PYPA	6.8	NWLA	1.5
58.8	Completion PCT	49.3	NWLA	9.5
218.3	Rushing Yards	182.2	NWLA	36.2
5.5	RYPA	4.2	NWLA	1.3
97.0	PenaltyYards	66.5	LAMR	30.5
2.2	Turnovers	1.7	LAMR	0.5

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 7	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Northwestern ST Lamar	+3.5 -3.5	6% 94%	21% 79%	- -	0% 0%	0% 0%	- -	0% 0%	0% 0%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 7	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Northwestern ST	13	+3.5		2.5		23.6	51.3	26.7	50.0
Lamar	27	-3.5	45.5	5.0	-4.0	27.6	-4.0	23.4	3.3

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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