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Troy at

UB Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Troy	21	+5.5		1-2	1-2-0	1-2-0	20.3	25.0	23.7	48.3
Buffalo	17	-5.5	43.5	2-1	2-1-0	2-1-0	28.7	19.0	24.6	-0.9

DraftKings Betting Splits

Saturday,Sep 20	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Troy Buffalo	+5.5 -5.5	44% 56%	41% 59%	43.5 43.5	23% 77%	71% 29%	+185 -225	37% 63%	17% 83%

Circa Sports Betting Splits

Saturday,Sep 20	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Troy Buffalo	+5.5 -5.5	94% 6%	85% 15%	44 44	60% 40%	45% 55%	180 -210	51% 49%	67% 33%

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Scott Pritchard	CFB	2025-09-20	Troy at Buffalo - UNDER (44.5)	38	WIN
Scott Pritchard	CFB	2025-09-20	Troy (+6.5) at Buffalo	21 - 17	WIN
Wes Reynolds	CFB	2025-09-20	Team Total - Troy UNDER (17.5) (-122) at Buffalo	21	LOSS
Jensen Lewis	CFB	2025-09-20	Troy at Buffalo - UNDER (44.5) (-105)	38	WIN

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, September 20	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Troy Trojans	21	+5.5		34.5		23.7	48.3	21.4	49.3
Buffalo Bulls	17	-5.5	43.5	34.5	-5.0	24.6	-0.9	28.0	-6.6

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Troy			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
3	Sep 13	VS Memphis	+160	+4.5	51.5	7-28	L	L	U	38%	21%	52%	39%	96%	63%
2	Sep 6	at Clemson	-	+30.5	51.5	16-27	L	W	U	0%	0%	11%	9%	64%	81%
1	Aug 30	VS Nicholls ST	-1350	-19.5	48.5	38-20	W	L	O	68%	96%	68%	61%	30%	54%

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Buffalo			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
3	Sep 13	at Kent ST	-2800	-23.5	48.5	31-28	W	L	O	45%	93%	88%	68%	63%	69%
2	Sep 6	VS St Francis-PA	-	-38.5	48.5	45-6	W	W	O	0%	0%	78%	59%	33%	75%
1	Aug 28	at Minnesota	+525	+16.5	42.5	10-23	L	W	U	14%	6%	74%	55%	48%	69%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2018 Dec 22	Troy Trojans Buffalo Bulls	42 32	+2.5 -2.5	+120 -140	52	TROY	TROY	DOG		Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TROY	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
20.3	Points Scored	28.7	BUF	8.3
146.3	Passing Yards	186.0	BUF	39.7
9.8	PYPC	10.9	BUF	1.2
5.1	PYPA	6.8	BUF	1.8
51.7	Completion PCT	62.2	BUF	10.5
130.0	Rushing Yards	187.7	BUF	57.7
3.9	RYPA	4.9	BUF	0.9
72.3	PenaltyYards	38.7	BUF	33.7
1.3	Turnovers	1.7	TROY	0.3

Defensive Statistics

TROY	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
25.0	Points Scored	19.0	BUF	6.0
197.7	Passing Yards	228.0	TROY	30.3
10.6	PYPC	11.6	TROY	1.0
7.6	PYPA	6.9	BUF	0.7
71.8	Completion PCT	59.6	BUF	12.2
134.0	Rushing Yards	102.7	BUF	31.3
4.0	RYPA	2.9	BUF	1.1
46.7	PenaltyYards	27.3	TROY	19.3
1.3	Turnovers	1.0	TROY	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TROY	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
1	Games	1	-	0
16.0	Points Scored	45.0	BUF	29.0
223.0	Passing Yards	133.0	TROY	90.0
11.7	PYPC	12.1	BUF	0.4
7.2	PYPA	6.1	TROY	1.1
61.3	Completion PCT	50.0	TROY	11.3
78.0	Rushing Yards	370.0	BUF	292.0
2.4	RYPA	5.9	BUF	3.4
97.0	PenaltyYards	29.0	BUF	68.0
3.0	Turnovers	2.0	BUF	1.0

Defensive Statistics

TROY	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
1	Games	1	-	0
27.0	Points Scored	6.0	BUF	21.0
196.0	Passing Yards	115.0	BUF	81.0
10.9	PYPC	6.4	BUF	4.5
8.2	PYPA	3.7	BUF	4.5
75.0	Completion PCT	58.1	BUF	16.9
120.0	Rushing Yards	11.0	BUF	109.0
3.9	RYPA	0.6	BUF	3.3
30.0	PenaltyYards	30.0	-	0.0
2.0	Turnovers	1.0	TROY	1.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TROY	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
26.6	Points Scored	34.1	BUF	7.5
205.0	Passing Yards	218.8	BUF	13.8
11.3	PYPC	12.6	BUF	1.2
6.7	PYPA	7.5	BUF	0.9
59.0	Completion PCT	60.0	BUF	1.0
154.7	Rushing Yards	192.8	BUF	38.1
4.2	RYPA	4.6	BUF	0.4
56.2	PenaltyYards	34.5	BUF	21.7
1.8	Turnovers	1.3	BUF	0.5

Defensive Statistics

TROY	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
28.7	Points Scored	26.4	BUF	2.3
231.1	Passing Yards	245.7	TROY	14.6
12.2	PYPC	13.4	TROY	1.1
8.1	PYPA	8.0	BUF	0.1
66.3	Completion PCT	59.9	BUF	6.4
127.0	Rushing Yards	138.0	TROY	11.0
3.8	RYPA	3.9	TROY	0.1
47.2	PenaltyYards	33.1	TROY	14.1
1.2	Turnovers	1.7	BUF	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TROY	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
1	Games	1	-	0
42.0	Points Scored	32.0	TROY	10.0
320.0	Passing Yards	274.0	TROY	46.0
10.3	PYPC	13.7	BUF	3.4
7.3	PYPA	7.8	BUF	0.6
70.5	Completion PCT	57.1	TROY	13.3
113.0	Rushing Yards	102.0	TROY	11.0
3.7	RYPA	3.1	TROY	0.6
65.0	PenaltyYards	39.0	BUF	26.0
1.0	Turnovers	4.0	TROY	3.0

Player	Pos	Injury
Troy
Goose Crowder	QB	Shoulder - is out indefinitely

Player	Position	Injury
Buffalo
Ramari Taylor	CB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Terrance Shelton Jr	RB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Bobby Mays	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Dwayne Early Jr	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Jackson Davenport	OL	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Ryan Daly	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Will Clark	DL	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Donovan Rodriguez	CB	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Troy
Mathew Hilty	LB	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Troy

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