Home-2

Davis Wade Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Tennessee (15)	41	-7.5		3-1	3-1-0	4-0-0	53.5	27.8	34.5	62.2
Mississippi ST	34	+7.5	63.5	4-0	4-0-0	1-3-0	39.8	11.8	27.7	6.8

DraftKings Betting Splits

Saturday,Sep 27	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Tennessee (15) Mississippi ST	-7.5 +7.5	67% 33%	74% 26%	63.5 63.5	79% 21%	72% 28%	-290 +235	82% 18%	96% 4%

Circa Sports Betting Splits

Saturday,Sep 27	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Tennessee (15) Mississippi ST	-7 +7	39% 61%	60% 40%	63.5 63.5	41% 59%	73% 27%	-285 240	68% 32%	43% 57%

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Ryan Kramer	CFB	2025-09-27	Mississippi ST (+7.5) (-108) vs Tennessee	34 - 41	WIN
Doug Kezirian	CFB	2025-09-27	Tennessee at Mississippi ST - OVER (62.5)	75	WIN
Doug Kezirian	CFB	2025-09-27	Tennessee (-7.5) at Mississippi ST	41 - 34	LOSS
Kenny White	CFB	2025-09-27	Mississippi ST (+7.5) vs Tennessee	34 - 41	WIN
Alex White	CFB	2025-09-27	Mississippi ST (+7.5) vs Tennessee	34 - 41	WIN
Paul Stone	CFB	2025-09-27	Mississippi ST (+7.5) (-110) vs Tennessee	34 - 41	WIN
Wes Reynolds	CFB	2025-09-27	Mississippi ST (+9.5) (-110) vs Tennessee	34 - 41	WIN

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, September 27	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Tennessee Volunteers	41	-7.5		61.5		34.5	62.2	37.9	63.7
Mississippi ST Bulldogs	34	+7.5	63.5	50.0	9.0	27.7	6.8	25.9	12.0

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Tennessee			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 20	VS UAB	-	-39.5	69.5	56-24	W	L	O	0%	0%	86%	87%	84%	64%
3	Sep 13	VS Georgia	+140	+3.5	50.5	41-44	L	W	O	44%	40%	39%	41%	53%	64%
2	Sep 6	VS E Tennessee ST	-	-39.5	58.5	72-17	W	W	O	0%	0%	90%	86%	83%	71%
1	Aug 30	(n) Syracuse	-575	-13.5	51.5	45-26	W	W	O	67%	93%	66%	70%	63%	73%

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Mississippi ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 20	VS N Illinois	-2400	-23.5	48.5	38-10	W	W	U	79%	98%	39%	65%	93%	84%
3	Sep 13	VS Alcorn ST	-	-42.5	56.5	63-0	W	W	O	0%	0%	92%	75%	94%	79%
2	Sep 6	VS Arizona ST	+185	+5.5	58.5	24-20	W	W	U	55%	17%	55%	46%	71%	59%
1	Aug 30	at Southern Miss	-600	-14.5	60.5	34-17	W	W	U	56%	93%	34%	49%	59%	33%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2024 Nov 9	Mississippi ST Bulldogs Tennessee Volunteers	14 33	+26 -26	+1400 -3200	61.5	TENN	MSST	DOG	Road	Under
2019 Oct 12	Mississippi ST Bulldogs Tennessee Volunteers	10 20	-5 +5	-203 +170	53	TENN	TENN	DOG	Home	Under
2012 Oct 13	Tennessee Volunteers Mississippi ST Bulldogs	31 41	+3 -3	+125 -145	56	MSST	MSST	FAV	HOME	Over
2008 Oct 18	Mississippi ST Bulldogs Tennessee Volunteers	3 34	+9.5 -9.5	+290 -350	38	TENN	TENN	FAV	Home	Under
2007 Oct 13	Tennessee Volunteers Mississippi ST Bulldogs	33 21	-7 +7	- -	49.5	TENN	TENN	FAV	Road	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TENN	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
53.5	Points Scored	39.8	TENN	13.8
337.8	Passing Yards	237.0	TENN	100.8
14.1	PYPC	13.4	TENN	0.7
9.3	PYPA	8.8	TENN	0.5
65.8	Completion PCT	65.7	TENN	0.0
216.3	Rushing Yards	207.0	TENN	9.3
5.2	RYPA	5.3	MSST	0.0
60.5	PenaltyYards	89.3	TENN	28.8
1.5	Turnovers	0.5	MSST	1.0

Defensive Statistics

TENN	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
27.8	Points Scored	11.8	MSST	16.0
279.0	Passing Yards	127.5	MSST	151.5
10.7	PYPC	8.0	MSST	2.8
7.2	PYPA	4.7	MSST	2.5
67.1	Completion PCT	59.3	MSST	7.8
93.3	Rushing Yards	136.5	TENN	43.3
2.6	RYPA	3.9	TENN	1.4
56.8	PenaltyYards	57.3	MSST	0.5
1.5	Turnovers	1.8	MSST	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TENN	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
0	Games	3	MSST	3
0.0	Points Scored	41.7	MSST	41.7
0.0	Passing Yards	223.7	MSST	223.7
0.0	PYPC	15.3	MSST	15.3
0.0	PYPA	9.5	MSST	9.5
0.0	Completion PCT	62.0	MSST	62.0
0.0	Rushing Yards	213.3	MSST	213.3
0.0	RYPA	5.6	MSST	5.6
0.0	PenaltyYards	79.3	TENN	79.3
0.0	Turnovers	0.3	TENN	0.3

Defensive Statistics

TENN	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
0	Games	3	TENN	3
0.0	Points Scored	10.0	TENN	10.0
0.0	Passing Yards	103.7	TENN	103.7
0.0	PYPC	8.2	TENN	8.2
0.0	PYPA	4.5	TENN	4.5
0.0	Completion PCT	55.1	TENN	55.1
0.0	Rushing Yards	148.0	TENN	148.0
0.0	RYPA	4.2	TENN	4.2
0.0	PenaltyYards	56.3	MSST	56.3
0.0	Turnovers	2.0	MSST	2.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TENN	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
40.1	Points Scored	30.1	TENN	10.0
260.2	Passing Yards	229.5	TENN	30.7
12.6	PYPC	13.3	MSST	0.7
8.0	PYPA	7.9	TENN	0.2
63.9	Completion PCT	59.3	TENN	4.6
211.6	Rushing Yards	172.1	TENN	39.5
4.9	RYPA	4.9	TENN	0.1
65.1	PenaltyYards	71.6	TENN	6.5
1.1	Turnovers	1.4	TENN	0.3

Defensive Statistics

TENN	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
23.9	Points Scored	25.7	TENN	1.8
231.7	Passing Yards	180.0	MSST	51.7
11.2	PYPC	11.2	MSST	0.0
7.0	PYPA	7.0	TENN	0.1
62.2	Completion PCT	62.9	TENN	0.7
117.1	Rushing Yards	193.8	TENN	76.7
3.3	RYPA	4.5	TENN	1.2
56.6	PenaltyYards	60.7	MSST	4.1
1.6	Turnovers	1.2	TENN	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TENN	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
35.0	Points Scored	18.1	TENN	16.9
195.7	Passing Yards	174.4	TENN	21.3
14.7	PYPC	11.0	TENN	3.7
8.6	PYPA	5.7	TENN	2.9
58.1	Completion PCT	51.4	TENN	6.7
200.3	Rushing Yards	123.3	TENN	77.0
4.4	RYPA	3.5	TENN	0.9
40.4	PenaltyYards	33.9	MSST	6.6
1.3	Turnovers	2.0	TENN	0.7

Player	Pos	Injury
Tennessee
Daune Morris	RB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Radarious Jackson	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Daevin Hobbs	DL	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Mariyon Dye	DL	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Ethan Davis	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Hunter Barnes	RB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
David Sanders Jr	OL	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Mississippi State
Jaxson Moi	DL	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Mississippi State
Hunter Barnes	RB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Mississippi State
Rickey Gibson III	DB	Undisclosed - is out indefinitely
Jermod McCoy	DB	ACL - is out indefinitely

Player	Position	Injury
Mississippi ST
Derion Gullette	LB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Amarien Jefferson	CB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Blake Steen	OL	Undisclosed - is out for season
Will Whitson	DL	Undisclosed - is out for season

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