Home-2

Doak Campbell Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Miami FL (3)	28	-3.5		4-0	3-1-0	2-2-0	36.8	11.5	25.3	52.9
Florida ST (18)	22	+3.5	54.5	3-1	3-1-0	4-0-0	53.0	19.0	27.5	-2.2

DraftKings Betting Splits

Saturday,Oct 4	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Miami FL (3) Florida ST (18)	-3.5 +3.5	61% 39%	65% 35%	54.5 54.5	85% 15%	84% 16%	-170 +142	62% 38%	75% 25%

Circa Sports Betting Splits

Saturday,Oct 4	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Miami FL (3) Florida ST (18)	-3.5 +3.5	32% 68%	57% 43%	55 55	62% 38%	73% 27%	-160 140	28% 72%	26% 74%

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Will Hill	CFB	2025-10-04	Florida ST (+4) (-110) vs Miami FL	22 - 28	LOSS
Steve Fezzik	CFB	2025-10-04	Florida ST (+4.5) (-115) vs Miami FL	22 - 28	LOSS
Chris Vasile	CFB	2025-10-04	Miami FL (-4) (-110) at Florida ST	28 - 22	WIN
Matt Youmans	CFB	2025-10-04	Florida ST (+4.5) (-110) vs Miami FL	22 - 28	LOSS
Kenny White	CFB	2025-10-04	Florida ST (+4) vs Miami FL	22 - 28	LOSS
Zachary Cohen	CFB	2025-10-04	Florida ST (+4.5) (-105) vs Miami FL [ 1.5 units ]	22 - 28	LOSS
Zachary Cohen	CFB	2025-10-04	Money Line - Florida ST (+165) vs Miami FL [ 0.5 units ]	22 - 28	LOSS
Alex White	CFB	2025-10-04	Florida ST (+4) vs Miami FL	22 - 28	LOSS
Chris Fallica	CFB	2025-10-04	Miami FL (-4) at Florida ST	28 - 22	WIN
Dustin Swedelson	CFB	2025-10-04	Florida ST (+5.5) (-110) vs Miami FL	22 - 28	LOSS

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 4	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Miami FL Hurricanes	28	-3.5		64.0		25.3	52.9	36.5	66.8
Florida ST Seminoles	22	+3.5	54.5	56.5	5.5	27.5	-2.2	30.4	6.1

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Miami FL			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 20	VS Florida	-340	-8.5	51.5	26-7	W	W	U	80%	92%	68%	78%	69%	65%
3	Sep 13	VS South Florida	-675	-17.5	56.5	49-12	W	W	O	50%	84%	48%	33%	60%	68%
2	Sep 6	VS Bethune-Cookman	-	-54.5	64.5	45-3	W	L	U	0%	0%	63%	70%	74%	54%
1	Aug 31	VS Notre Dame	+124	+3	50.5	27-24	W	W	O	35%	32%	30%	24%	44%	36%

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Florida ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Sep 26	at Virginia	-270	-7	59.5	38-46	L	L	O	83%	94%	59%	78%	40%	71%
4	Sep 20	VS Kent ST	-	-44.5	56.5	66-10	W	W	O	0%	0%	91%	88%	81%	83%
2	Sep 6	VS East Texas A&M	-	-45.5	58.5	77-3	W	W	O	0%	0%	47%	70%	52%	61%
1	Aug 30	VS Alabama	+440	+13.5	47.5	31-17	W	W	O	27%	7%	21%	23%	57%	80%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2024 Oct 26	Florida ST Seminoles Miami FL Hurricanes	14 36	+22.5 -22.5	+1000 -1800	54.5	MIAF	FLST	DOG	Road	Under
2023 Nov 11	Miami FL Hurricanes Florida ST Seminoles	20 27	+14.5 -14.5	+470 -650	50	FLST	MIAF	DOG	Road	Under
2022 Nov 5	Florida ST Seminoles Miami FL Hurricanes	45 3	-6.5 +6.5	-245 +205	54	FLST	FLST	FAV	Road	Under
2021 Nov 13	Miami FL Hurricanes Florida ST Seminoles	28 31	-2.5 +2.5	-132 +112	61.5	FLST	FLST	DOG	HOME	Under
2020 Sep 26	Florida ST Seminoles Miami FL Hurricanes	10 52	+11.5 -11.5	+358 -460	54	MIAF	MIAF	FAV	Home	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MIAF	Statistic	FSU	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
36.8	Points Scored	53.0	FSU	16.3
270.0	Passing Yards	263.8	MIAF	6.3
11.7	PYPC	17.6	FSU	5.8
8.5	PYPA	11.6	FSU	3.1
72.4	Completion PCT	65.9	MIAF	6.5
176.8	Rushing Yards	336.3	FSU	159.5
4.7	RYPA	6.7	FSU	2.0
50.0	PenaltyYards	45.8	FSU	4.3
0.8	Turnovers	1.5	MIAF	0.8

Defensive Statistics

MIAF	Statistic	FSU	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
11.5	Points Scored	19.0	MIAF	7.5
168.3	Passing Yards	184.5	MIAF	16.3
9.8	PYPC	10.7	MIAF	0.9
6.0	PYPA	6.2	MIAF	0.2
61.6	Completion PCT	58.0	FSU	3.6
76.3	Rushing Yards	111.5	MIAF	35.3
2.6	RYPA	3.2	MIAF	0.6
21.3	PenaltyYards	45.5	FSU	24.3
1.5	Turnovers	1.5	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MIAF	Statistic	FSU	Edge	Margin
0	Games	3	FSU	3
0.0	Points Scored	58.0	FSU	58.0
0.0	Passing Yards	265.7	FSU	265.7
0.0	PYPC	19.4	FSU	19.4
0.0	PYPA	13.7	FSU	13.7
0.0	Completion PCT	70.7	FSU	70.7
0.0	Rushing Yards	363.0	FSU	363.0
0.0	RYPA	7.1	FSU	7.1
0.0	PenaltyYards	44.7	MIAF	44.7
0.0	Turnovers	1.0	MIAF	1.0

Defensive Statistics

MIAF	Statistic	FSU	Edge	Margin
0	Games	3	MIAF	3
0.0	Points Scored	10.0	MIAF	10.0
0.0	Passing Yards	169.7	MIAF	169.7
0.0	PYPC	11.8	MIAF	11.8
0.0	PYPA	6.1	MIAF	6.1
0.0	Completion PCT	51.8	MIAF	51.8
0.0	Rushing Yards	78.3	MIAF	78.3
0.0	RYPA	2.5	MIAF	2.5
0.0	PenaltyYards	52.3	FSU	52.3
0.0	Turnovers	1.0	FSU	1.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MIAF	Statistic	FSU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
38.0	Points Scored	30.8	MIAF	7.2
288.8	Passing Yards	192.6	MIAF	96.2
12.3	PYPC	14.6	FSU	2.3
8.3	PYPA	7.9	MIAF	0.4
66.9	Completion PCT	54.1	MIAF	12.8
184.1	Rushing Yards	207.6	FSU	23.5
5.3	RYPA	5.0	MIAF	0.3
55.9	PenaltyYards	42.9	FSU	13.0
1.2	Turnovers	1.9	MIAF	0.7

Defensive Statistics

MIAF	Statistic	FSU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
21.7	Points Scored	26.0	MIAF	4.3
196.1	Passing Yards	183.7	FSU	12.4
11.3	PYPC	10.8	FSU	0.5
6.8	PYPA	6.6	FSU	0.2
59.7	Completion PCT	60.7	MIAF	1.1
112.7	Rushing Yards	156.8	MIAF	44.1
3.5	RYPA	4.2	MIAF	0.8
32.0	PenaltyYards	47.7	FSU	15.7
1.3	Turnovers	0.9	MIAF	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MIAF	Statistic	FSU	Edge	Margin
26	Games	26	-	0
24.9	Points Scored	24.9	FSU	0.1
245.4	Passing Yards	212.0	MIAF	33.4
12.8	PYPC	12.3	MIAF	0.4
6.9	PYPA	6.8	MIAF	0.1
53.7	Completion PCT	55.2	FSU	1.5
110.2	Rushing Yards	146.8	FSU	36.5
3.4	RYPA	3.9	FSU	0.5
69.2	PenaltyYards	64.1	FSU	5.1
2.3	Turnovers	2.1	FSU	0.2

Player	Pos	Injury
Miami FL
Bobby Washington Jr	LB	Undisclosed - is Questionable October 17th vs Louisville
Yerovi Valdes	OL	Undisclosed - is Questionable October 17th vs Louisville
Ralph Scroggins	OL	Undisclosed - is Questionable October 17th vs Louisville
Daylen Russell	DL	Undisclosed - is Questionable October 17th vs Louisville
Chance Robinson	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable October 17th vs Louisville
Dylan Reiman	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable October 17th vs Louisville
Girard Pringle Jr	RB	Undisclosed - is Questionable October 17th vs Louisville
Hayden Lowe	DL	Undisclosed - is Questionable October 17th vs Louisville
Jackson Carver	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable October 17th vs Louisville
Demetrius Campbell	OL	Undisclosed - is Questionable October 17th vs Louisville
Hunter Carver	TE	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Florida State
Markeith Williams	DB	Transferred - is out for season
Charles Brantly	DB	Undisclosed - is out for season
Adarius Hayes	LB	Suspension - is out indefinitely

Player	Position	Injury
Florida ST
Kevin Wynn	DL	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Pittsburgh U
Ethan Pritchard	LB	Head - is Questionable Saturday vs Pittsburgh U
Chase Loftin	TE	Hamstring - is Questionable Saturday vs Pittsburgh U
Caleb LaVallee	LB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Pittsburgh U
Deamontae Diggs	DL	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Pittsburgh U
Kam Davis	RB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Pittsburgh U
Gavin Blackwell	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Pittsburgh U
Ashlynd Barker	DB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Pittsburgh U
Roydell Williams	RB	Undisclosed - is downgraded to Questionable Saturday vs Miami Florida
Thomas Castellanos	QB	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Miami Florida
Gavin Markey	QB	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Miami Florida
Jayvan Boggs	WR	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Miami Florida

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