Home-2

Valley Children's Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Nevada	17	+12.5		1-3	1-3-0	1-3-0	15.0	27.0	17.7	45.8
Fresno ST	20	-12.5	45.5	4-1	3-2-0	3-1-0	32.8	20.0	28.2	-10.5

DraftKings Betting Splits

Saturday,Oct 4	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Nevada Fresno ST	+12.5 -12.5	35% 65%	30% 70%	45.5 45.5	58% 42%	82% 18%	+390 -520	19% 81%	6% 94%

Circa Sports Betting Splits

Saturday,Oct 4	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Nevada Fresno ST	+13 -13	50% 50%	39% 61%	45 45	25% 75%	58% 42%	405 -520	100% 0%	82% 18%

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Brett McMurphy	CFB	2025-10-04	Nevada (+13.5) at Fresno ST	17 - 20	WIN
Jensen Lewis	CFB	2025-10-04	Nevada at Fresno ST - UNDER (45.5) (-115)	37	WIN

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 4	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Nevada Wolf Pack	17	+12.5		27.0		17.7	45.8	17.1	44.4
Fresno ST Bulldogs	20	-12.5	45.5	39.0	-14.6	28.2	-10.5	27.4	-10.3

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Nevada			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 20	at W Kentucky	+260	+8.5	54.5	16-31	L	L	U	10%	4%	27%	23%	73%	71%
3	Sep 13	VS Middle Tenn ST	-345	-9.5	49.5	13-14	L	L	U	37%	96%	45%	67%	79%	67%
2	Sep 6	VS Sacramento ST	-285	-7	55.5	20-17	W	L	U	70%	96%	84%	84%	48%	45%
1	Aug 30	at Penn ST	-	+42.5	54.5	11-46	L	W	O	0%	0%	22%	30%	75%	71%

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Fresno ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 20	at Hawaii	-130	-2.5	47.5	23-21	W	L	U	56%	55%	62%	63%	21%	80%
3	Sep 13	VS Southern U	-	-37.5	51.5	56-7	W	W	O	0%	0%	87%	76%	80%	77%
2	Sep 6	at Oregon ST	-102	+1.5	45.5	36-27	W	W	O	38%	28%	53%	31%	43%	82%
1	Aug 30	VS Georgia Southern	-125	-1.5	49.5	42-14	W	W	O	21%	49%	27%	64%	67%	64%
1	Aug 23	at Kansas	+455	+14	-	7-31	L	L	N	18%	13%	27%	30%	77%	75%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2024 Oct 18	Fresno ST Bulldogs Nevada Wolf Pack	24 21	-3 +3	-142 +120	50	FRES	-	-	-	Under
2023 Sep 30	Nevada Wolf Pack Fresno ST Bulldogs	9 27	+25.5 -25.5	+1400 -3200	50.5	FRES	NVRE	DOG	Road	Under
2022 Nov 19	Fresno ST Bulldogs Nevada Wolf Pack	41 14	-22.5 +22.5	-2400 +1200	54.5	FRES	FRES	FAV	Road	Over
2021 Oct 23	Nevada Wolf Pack Fresno ST Bulldogs	32 34	+3.5 -3.5	+155 -175	64.5	FRES	NVRE	DOG	Road	Over
2020 Dec 5	Fresno ST Bulldogs Nevada Wolf Pack	26 37	+6.5 -6.5	- -245	59.5	NVRE	NVRE	FAV	Home	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NEV	Statistic	FRES	Edge	Margin
4	Games	5	FRES	1
15.0	Points Scored	32.8	FRES	17.8
150.0	Passing Yards	197.6	FRES	47.6
11.3	PYPC	10.1	NEV	1.2
6.0	PYPA	7.4	FRES	1.4
53.0	Completion PCT	73.7	FRES	20.7
189.3	Rushing Yards	174.8	NEV	14.5
5.0	RYPA	5.0	FRES	0.0
47.8	PenaltyYards	53.4	NEV	5.7
2.5	Turnovers	1.8	FRES	0.7

Defensive Statistics

NEV	Statistic	FRES	Edge	Margin
4	Games	5	NEV	1
27.0	Points Scored	20.0	FRES	7.0
247.8	Passing Yards	214.4	FRES	33.4
10.8	PYPC	10.2	FRES	0.6
7.5	PYPA	6.6	FRES	0.8
69.2	Completion PCT	64.8	FRES	4.4
132.8	Rushing Yards	106.2	FRES	26.6
3.8	RYPA	3.6	FRES	0.2
62.8	PenaltyYards	66.4	FRES	3.7
1.0	Turnovers	1.4	FRES	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NEV	Statistic	FRES	Edge	Margin
2	Games	2	-	0
13.5	Points Scored	49.0	FRES	35.5
145.0	Passing Yards	229.0	FRES	84.0
10.7	PYPC	10.2	NEV	0.6
5.4	PYPA	8.0	FRES	2.7
50.0	Completion PCT	79.0	FRES	29.0
142.5	Rushing Yards	288.0	FRES	145.5
4.1	RYPA	6.7	FRES	2.6
37.0	PenaltyYards	37.5	NEV	0.5
3.0	Turnovers	2.0	FRES	1.0

Defensive Statistics

NEV	Statistic	FRES	Edge	Margin
2	Games	2	-	0
38.5	Points Scored	10.5	FRES	28.0
259.5	Passing Yards	144.5	FRES	115.0
10.2	PYPC	10.7	NEV	0.5
7.6	PYPA	6.3	FRES	1.4
75.0	Completion PCT	58.7	FRES	16.3
140.0	Rushing Yards	47.5	FRES	92.5
4.1	RYPA	2.0	FRES	2.1
65.0	PenaltyYards	74.5	FRES	9.5
1.0	Turnovers	0.5	NEV	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NEV	Statistic	FRES	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
16.9	Points Scored	27.3	FRES	10.4
214.1	Passing Yards	204.5	NEV	9.6
11.8	PYPC	9.5	NEV	2.3
7.3	PYPA	7.0	NEV	0.3
62.3	Completion PCT	73.6	FRES	11.3
137.2	Rushing Yards	122.9	NEV	14.3
4.0	RYPA	4.4	FRES	0.4
53.8	PenaltyYards	54.8	NEV	1.0
1.9	Turnovers	1.3	FRES	0.6

Defensive Statistics

NEV	Statistic	FRES	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
29.2	Points Scored	22.7	FRES	6.5
177.8	Passing Yards	212.8	NEV	35.0
11.8	PYPC	10.3	FRES	1.4
7.5	PYPA	6.2	FRES	1.3
63.5	Completion PCT	60.2	FRES	3.2
201.2	Rushing Yards	133.2	FRES	68.0
4.9	RYPA	3.6	FRES	1.3
46.6	PenaltyYards	57.5	FRES	10.9
1.0	Turnovers	1.1	FRES	0.1

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NEV	Statistic	FRES	Edge	Margin
25	Games	25	-	0
26.8	Points Scored	35.1	FRES	8.2
234.1	Passing Yards	267.8	FRES	33.6
12.1	PYPC	12.4	FRES	0.3
7.0	PYPA	7.8	FRES	0.8
58.1	Completion PCT	63.2	FRES	5.1
184.3	Rushing Yards	175.2	NEV	9.1
4.8	RYPA	4.9	FRES	0.1
61.2	PenaltyYards	52.7	FRES	8.5
1.8	Turnovers	1.8	FRES	0.0

Player	Pos	Injury
Nevada
Chris Smalley	LB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs San Diego State
Nahji Logan	LB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs San Diego State
Jordan Brown	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs San Diego State
Marquis Ashley	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs San Diego State

Player	Position	Injury
Fresno ST
Brayden Walton	OL	Undisclosed - is Questionable Friday vs Colorado State
Jairus Satele	DL	Undisclosed - is Questionable Friday vs Colorado State
Gino Quinones	OL	Undisclosed - is Questionable Friday vs Colorado State
Brock Lium	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable Friday vs Colorado State
Clay Lawrence	P	Undisclosed - is Questionable Friday vs Colorado State
Sebastien Boydell	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable Friday vs Colorado State
Lucas Blumling	LB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Friday vs Colorado State
Niko Baumgartner	LB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Friday vs Colorado State
Ben Baker	OL	Undisclosed - is Questionable Friday vs Colorado State
Ethan Tierney	DB	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Nevada
Campbell McHarg	OL	Undisclosed - is out for season
Jayden Mandal	QB	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Nevada
Ethan Dasmann	OL	Undisclosed - is out for season
Luke Jones	WR	Undisclosed - is out for season
Steven Scott	DL	Undisclosed - is out for season
Auckland Asiata	DL	Undisclosed - is out for season

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