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L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Virginia (24)	30	+6.5		4-1	4-1-0	5-0-0	45.6	23.2	33.1	64.9
Louisville	27	-6.5	59.5	4-0	1-3-0	3-1-0	38.3	18.8	31.8	1.2

DraftKings Betting Splits

Saturday,Oct 4	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Virginia (24) Louisville	+6.5 -6.5	30% 70%	49% 51%	59.5 59.5	75% 25%	67% 33%	+205 -250	50% 50%	26% 74%

Circa Sports Betting Splits

Saturday,Oct 4	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Virginia (24) Louisville	+6.5 -6.5	79% 21%	41% 59%	60 60	49% 51%	78% 22%	190 -220	63% 37%	67% 33%

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Wes Reynolds	CFB	2025-10-04	Louisville (-6.5) (-109) vs Virginia	27 - 30	LOSS
Alex White	CFB	2025-10-04	Virginia (+7) at Louisville	30 - 27	WIN
Chuck Edel	CFB	2025-10-04	Virginia at Louisville - UNDER (60)	57	WIN
Scott Pritchard	CFB	2025-10-04	Virginia (+7) at Louisville	30 - 27	WIN
Colby Dant	CFB	2025-10-04	Louisville (-6.5) (-112) vs Virginia	27 - 30	LOSS
Jensen Lewis	CFB	2025-10-04	Virginia (+7) (-115) at Louisville	30 - 27	WIN

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 4	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Virginia Cavaliers	30	+6.5		50.5		33.1	64.9	23.9	59.9
Louisville Cardinals	27	-6.5	59.5	54.5	-7.2	31.8	1.2	36.0	-12.1

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Virginia			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Sep 26	VS Florida ST	+220	+7	59.5	46-38	W	W	O	17%	6%	41%	22%	40%	71%
4	Sep 20	VS Stanford	-750	-16.5	48.5	48-20	W	W	O	63%	97%	83%	64%	54%	76%
3	Sep 13	VS William & Mary	-6500	-30.5	54.5	55-16	W	W	O	82%	97%	86%	85%	86%	72%
2	Sep 6	at NC State	+124	+3	53.5	31-35	L	L	O	44%	28%	51%	44%	43%	45%
1	Aug 30	VS Coastal Carolina	-500	-13.5	54.5	48-7	W	W	O	50%	93%	82%	64%	52%	37%

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Louisville			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Sep 27	at Pittsburgh	-155	-3	53.5	34-27	W	W	O	39%	69%	44%	47%	59%	70%
4	Sep 20	VS Bowling Green	-4000	-26.5	51.5	40-17	W	L	O	85%	95%	75%	61%	11%	77%
2	Sep 5	VS James Madison	-700	-15.5	56.5	28-14	W	L	U	63%	89%	37%	48%	79%	77%
1	Aug 30	VS E Kentucky	-20000	-38.5	56.5	51-17	W	L	O	0%	0%	86%	66%	83%	52%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2024 Oct 12	Louisville Cardinals Virginia Cavaliers	24 20	-7 +7	-278 +225	54	LOUI	VIRG	DOG	Home	Under
2023 Nov 9	Virginia Cavaliers Louisville Cardinals	24 31	+20 -20	+750 -1200	49.5	LOUI	VIRG	DOG	Road	Over
2022 Oct 8	Louisville Cardinals Virginia Cavaliers	34 17	+1.5 -1.5	+100 -120	47.5	LOUI	LOUI	DOG	Road	Over
2021 Oct 9	Virginia Cavaliers Louisville Cardinals	34 33	+2.5 -2.5	+115 -135	69.5	VIRG	VIRG	DOG	Road	Under
2020 Nov 14	Louisville Cardinals Virginia Cavaliers	17 31	+5.5 -5.5	+170 -199	63.5	VIRG	VIRG	FAV	Home	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
5	Games	4	UVA	1
45.6	Points Scored	38.3	UVA	7.4
296.2	Passing Yards	279.0	UVA	17.2
11.9	PYPC	11.8	UVA	0.1
8.1	PYPA	7.8	UVA	0.4
68.7	Completion PCT	66.0	UVA	2.7
243.4	Rushing Yards	130.3	UVA	113.2
5.6	RYPA	4.2	UVA	1.4
37.0	PenaltyYards	75.5	UVA	38.5
1.0	Turnovers	1.5	UVA	0.5

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
5	Games	4	LOU	1
23.2	Points Scored	18.8	LOU	4.5
222.2	Passing Yards	150.8	LOU	71.5
12.6	PYPC	11.8	LOU	0.8
7.6	PYPA	6.2	LOU	1.4
59.9	Completion PCT	52.0	LOU	7.8
131.4	Rushing Yards	117.5	LOU	13.9
3.9	RYPA	3.4	LOU	0.5
35.0	PenaltyYards	56.8	LOU	21.8
1.4	Turnovers	2.3	LOU	0.9

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
1	Games	3	LOU	2
31.0	Points Scored	39.7	LOU	8.7
257.0	Passing Yards	259.0	LOU	2.0
8.6	PYPC	12.5	LOU	4.0
6.0	PYPA	8.4	LOU	2.4
69.8	Completion PCT	66.7	UVA	3.1
257.0	Rushing Yards	156.0	UVA	101.0
8.0	RYPA	5.3	UVA	2.8
20.0	PenaltyYards	70.0	UVA	50.0
1.0	Turnovers	1.7	UVA	0.7

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
1	Games	3	UVA	2
35.0	Points Scored	16.0	LOU	19.0
200.0	Passing Yards	114.7	LOU	85.3
12.5	PYPC	10.1	LOU	2.4
8.7	PYPA	5.2	LOU	3.5
69.6	Completion PCT	51.5	LOU	18.1
216.0	Rushing Yards	130.0	LOU	86.0
6.2	RYPA	3.4	LOU	2.8
15.0	PenaltyYards	63.0	LOU	48.0
0.0	Turnovers	1.3	LOU	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
30.4	Points Scored	36.5	LOU	6.1
239.0	Passing Yards	245.9	LOU	6.9
10.9	PYPC	11.8	LOU	1.0
6.9	PYPA	7.6	LOU	0.7
63.4	Completion PCT	64.0	LOU	0.6
168.3	Rushing Yards	179.9	LOU	11.6
4.3	RYPA	5.3	LOU	1.1
42.5	PenaltyYards	60.1	UVA	17.6
1.6	Turnovers	1.1	LOU	0.5

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
28.1	Points Scored	21.8	LOU	6.3
236.0	Passing Yards	205.5	LOU	30.5
13.0	PYPC	11.7	LOU	1.2
7.9	PYPA	6.7	LOU	1.2
60.7	Completion PCT	57.0	LOU	3.7
146.6	Rushing Yards	125.7	LOU	20.9
4.2	RYPA	3.5	LOU	0.6
49.3	PenaltyYards	47.1	UVA	2.2
1.3	Turnovers	1.9	LOU	0.6

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
11	Games	11	-	0
24.9	Points Scored	27.2	LOU	2.3
266.5	Passing Yards	216.3	UVA	50.2
11.6	PYPC	13.4	LOU	1.7
7.1	PYPA	7.6	LOU	0.5
61.3	Completion PCT	57.1	UVA	4.3
101.0	Rushing Yards	198.9	LOU	97.9
3.1	RYPA	5.5	LOU	2.4
57.6	PenaltyYards	54.6	LOU	2.9
1.8	Turnovers	1.9	UVA	0.1

Player	Pos	Injury
Virginia
Triston Ward	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Dre Walker	CB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Noah Vaughn	RB	Ankle - is Questionable
Dakota Twitty	WR	Leg - left last game, is Questionable
Tyler Simmons	DT	Undisclosed - is Questionable
JaMaric Morris	DB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Trevor Ladd	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Armstrong Jones	S	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Andre Greene Jr	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Eli Wood	WR	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Louisville
Daniel Sparks	P	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Louisville
Brady Wilson	OL	Calf - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Louisville
Monroe Mills	OL	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Louisville
David Wohlabaugh Jr	OL	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Louisville
Makilan Thomas	OL	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Louisville
Wallace Unamba	OL	Knee - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Louisville
Davis Lane Jr	RB	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Louisville
Jam Jackson	CB	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Louisville

Player	Position	Injury
Louisville
Jamarice Wilder	RB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Rodney Johnson	DB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Shammai Gates	RB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Travis Egan	QB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Tyler Folmar	OL	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Virginia
Duke Watson	RB	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Virginia
Wesley Bailey	DL	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Virginia
Isaac Brown	RB	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Virginia
Justin Agu	DB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Virginia
Keyjuan Brown	RB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Virginia
Stanquan Clark	LB	Lower Body - is out indefinitely
Grant Houser	TE	Knee - is out for season

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