Home-2

Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Air Force	31	+13.5		1-3	1-3-0	4-0-0	37.8	38.8	21.6	57.1
Navy	34	-13.5	50.5	4-0	2-2-0	3-1-0	38.3	16.8	35.5	-13.9

DraftKings Betting Splits

Saturday,Oct 4	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Air Force Navy	+13.5 -13.5	21% 79%	24% 76%	50.5 50.5	45% 55%	44% 56%	+390 -520	17% 83%	4% 96%

Circa Sports Betting Splits

Saturday,Oct 4	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Air Force Navy	+13 -13	46% 54%	39% 61%	51 51	41% 59%	53% 47%	360 -450	33% 67%	71% 29%

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Meyer / Sack	CFB	2025-10-04	Air Force at Navy - UNDER (51.5)	65	LOSS
Mitch Moss	CFB	2025-10-04	Air Force at Navy - OVER (51.5) (-105)	65	WIN
Brett McMurphy	CFB	2025-10-04	Air Force at Navy - OVER (51.5)	65	WIN
Doug Kezirian	CFB	2025-10-04	Air Force at Navy - OVER (51.5)	65	WIN
Drew Bridges	CFB	2025-10-04	Air Force at Navy - UNDER (51.5)	65	LOSS
Paul Bovi	CFB	2025-10-04	Navy (-12) vs Air Force	34 - 31	LOSS
Paul Bovi	CFB	2025-10-04	Air Force at Navy - OVER (51.5)	65	WIN
Scott Pritchard	CFB	2025-10-04	Navy (-12) vs Air Force	34 - 31	LOSS
Randy McKay	CFB	2025-10-04	Air Force at Navy - UNDER (51.5)	65	LOSS
Steve Fezzik	CFB	2025-10-04	Air Force at Navy - UNDER (52) (-110)	65	LOSS
Colby Dant	CFB	2025-10-04	Air Force (+12.5) (-110) at Navy	31 - 34	WIN
Jensen Lewis	CFB	2025-10-04	Air Force (+10.5) (-110) at Navy	31 - 34	WIN

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 4	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Air Force Falcons	31	+13.5		33.0		21.6	57.1	24.3	54.7
Navy Midshipmen	34	-13.5	50.5	41.0	-10.5	35.5	-13.9	30.4	-6.1

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Air Force			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Sep 27	VS Hawaii	-278	-7	52.5	35-44	L	L	O	80%	91%	84%	78%	84%	66%
4	Sep 20	VS Boise ST	+300	+10.5	51.5	37-49	L	L	O	18%	4%	25%	29%	87%	77%
3	Sep 13	at Utah ST	-185	-4	51.5	30-49	L	L	O	63%	83%	61%	60%	79%	69%
1	Aug 30	VS Bucknell	-8000	-31.5	54.5	49-13	W	W	O	57%	93%	80%	48%	72%	35%

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Navy			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Sep 27	VS Rice	-600	-14	45.5	21-13	W	L	U	91%	97%	44%	59%	37%	63%
3	Sep 13	at Tulsa	-575	-14	52.5	42-23	W	W	O	53%	95%	59%	66%	64%	72%
2	Sep 6	VS UAB	-1650	-21	59.5	38-24	W	L	O	62%	96%	79%	63%	77%	60%
1	Aug 30	VS VMI	-	-41.5	53.5	52-7	W	W	O	0%	0%	77%	34%	65%	47%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2024 Oct 5	Navy Midshipmen Air Force Falcons	34 7	-10 +10	-410 +320	37.5	NAVY	NAVY	FAV	Road	Over
2023 Oct 21	Air Force Falcons Navy Midshipmen	17 6	-11.5 +11.5	-440 +340	34	AFRC	NAVY	DOG	HOME	Under
2022 Oct 1	Navy Midshipmen Air Force Falcons	10 13	+14 -14	+450 -600	38.5	AFRC	NAVY	DOG	Road	Under
2021 Sep 11	Air Force Falcons Navy Midshipmen	23 3	-6 +6	-230 +190	40	AFRC	AFRC	FAV	Road	Under
2020 Oct 3	Navy Midshipmen Air Force Falcons	7 40	-6.5 +6.5	-255 +211	46.5	AFRC	AFRC	DOG	Home	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

AF	Statistic	NAVY	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
37.8	Points Scored	38.3	NAVY	0.5
215.5	Passing Yards	131.5	AF	84.0
21.6	PYPC	18.1	AF	3.4
13.3	PYPA	11.7	AF	1.6
61.5	Completion PCT	64.4	NAVY	2.9
254.3	Rushing Yards	352.3	NAVY	98.0
5.1	RYPA	6.5	NAVY	1.4
42.0	PenaltyYards	64.0	AF	22.0
1.3	Turnovers	1.0	NAVY	0.3

Defensive Statistics

AF	Statistic	NAVY	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
38.8	Points Scored	16.8	NAVY	22.0
305.8	Passing Yards	205.3	NAVY	100.5
14.6	PYPC	11.3	NAVY	3.3
10.2	PYPA	6.9	NAVY	3.3
70.0	Completion PCT	61.3	NAVY	8.7
160.8	Rushing Yards	91.8	NAVY	69.0
4.8	RYPA	3.0	NAVY	1.8
50.5	PenaltyYards	32.8	AF	17.8
0.8	Turnovers	1.3	NAVY	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

AF	Statistic	NAVY	Edge	Margin
1	Games	3	NAVY	2
30.0	Points Scored	37.0	NAVY	7.0
179.0	Passing Yards	144.0	AF	35.0
16.3	PYPC	18.8	NAVY	2.5
7.8	PYPA	12.3	NAVY	4.6
47.8	Completion PCT	65.7	NAVY	17.9
266.0	Rushing Yards	347.3	NAVY	81.3
4.4	RYPA	6.7	NAVY	2.4
35.0	PenaltyYards	72.3	AF	37.3
3.0	Turnovers	0.3	NAVY	2.7

Defensive Statistics

AF	Statistic	NAVY	Edge	Margin
1	Games	3	AF	2
49.0	Points Scored	14.7	NAVY	34.3
287.0	Passing Yards	210.7	NAVY	76.3
16.9	PYPC	12.4	NAVY	4.5
13.1	PYPA	7.7	NAVY	5.3
77.3	Completion PCT	62.2	NAVY	15.1
186.0	Rushing Yards	75.7	NAVY	110.3
5.5	RYPA	2.6	NAVY	2.9
28.0	PenaltyYards	34.0	NAVY	6.0
0.0	Turnovers	1.0	NAVY	1.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

AF	Statistic	NAVY	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
28.4	Points Scored	27.7	AF	0.7
141.0	Passing Yards	108.1	AF	32.9
20.1	PYPC	15.2	AF	4.9
11.0	PYPA	8.4	AF	2.6
54.7	Completion PCT	55.0	NAVY	0.4
251.5	Rushing Yards	276.0	NAVY	24.5
4.5	RYPA	5.6	NAVY	1.1
27.4	PenaltyYards	51.4	AF	24.0
1.3	Turnovers	1.0	NAVY	0.3

Defensive Statistics

AF	Statistic	NAVY	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
26.3	Points Scored	18.6	NAVY	7.7
237.1	Passing Yards	203.9	NAVY	33.2
13.2	PYPC	10.6	NAVY	2.6
8.9	PYPA	6.5	NAVY	2.4
67.7	Completion PCT	61.7	NAVY	6.0
133.3	Rushing Yards	115.4	NAVY	17.9
4.3	RYPA	3.5	NAVY	0.8
47.5	PenaltyYards	31.1	AF	16.4
0.8	Turnovers	1.5	NAVY	0.7

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

AF	Statistic	NAVY	Edge	Margin
25	Games	25	-	0
24.0	Points Scored	21.4	AF	2.6
137.4	Passing Yards	104.5	AF	33.0
17.3	PYPC	15.0	AF	2.3
10.0	PYPA	7.6	AF	2.4
58.0	Completion PCT	50.9	AF	7.1
231.1	Rushing Yards	216.0	AF	15.1
4.3	RYPA	4.3	AF	0.1
42.9	PenaltyYards	37.2	NAVY	5.7
1.4	Turnovers	1.4	AF	0.0

Player	Pos	Injury
Air Force
Luke Vonderhaar	-	Undisclosed - is Questionable
JT Tomescko	DB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
James Roberson	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Zach Juckel	LB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Levi Brown	CB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Jonah Bowman	LB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Houston Hendrix	DB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Navy
Jack Burnett	C	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Navy

Player	Position	Injury
Navy
Dylan Spelios	LB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Casey Smith	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Nolan McCamy	LB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Aiden Lyczek	DT	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Victor Listorti	FB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Cameron Nichols	G	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Air Force
Cody Howard	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Air Force
Tyler Bradley	SB	Undisclosed - is out for season
Aaron Rose	S	Undisclosed - is out for season
Benjamin Franklin	LB	Undisclosed - is out for season

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