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Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
South Florida (18)	31	-3.5		6-1	6-1-0	4-3-0	41.7	23.0	32.3	58.9
Memphis	34	+3.5	58.5	6-1	6-1-0	2-5-0	38.1	18.3	26.6	5.7

DraftKings Betting Splits

Saturday,Oct 25	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
South Florida (18) Memphis	-3.5 +3.5	63% 37%	66% 34%	58.5 58.5	78% 22%	73% 27%	-175 +145	64% 36%	85% 15%

Circa Sports Betting Splits

Saturday,Oct 25	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
South Florida (18) Memphis	-3 +3	32% 68%	52% 48%	59 59	38% 62%	64% 36%	-165 145	24% 76%	31% 69%

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Wes Reynolds	CFB	2025-10-25	Memphis (+3.5) (-109) vs South Florida	34 - 31	WIN
Dustin Swedelson	CFB	2025-10-25	Memphis (+6) (-110) vs South Florida	34 - 31	WIN
Brett McMurphy	CFB	2025-10-25	South Florida (-6) at Memphis	31 - 34	LOSS
Chris Piper	CFB	2025-10-25	South Florida (-6) at Memphis	31 - 34	LOSS
Drew Bridges	CFB	2025-10-25	South Florida at Memphis - UNDER (58)	65	LOSS
Frank Carulli	CFB	2025-10-25	South Florida (-6) at Memphis	31 - 34	LOSS

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 25	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
South Florida Bulls	31	-3.5		50.5		32.3	58.9	28.5	59.9
Memphis Tigers	34	+3.5	58.5	46.5	4.1	26.6	5.7	31.4	-2.9

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
South Florida			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 18	VS FL Atlantic	-1450	-20.5	72.5	48-13	W	W	U	88%	97%	64%	80%	68%	39%
7	Oct 10	at North Texas	+114	+2.5	68.5	63-36	W	W	O	49%	66%	50%	60%	69%	61%
6	Oct 3	VS Charlotte	-5000	-27.5	54.5	54-26	W	W	O	90%	89%	84%	74%	72%	73%
4	Sep 20	VS S Carolina ST	-20000	-36.5	57.5	63-14	W	W	O	61%	92%	88%	73%	83%	72%
3	Sep 13	at Miami FL	+490	+17.5	56.5	12-49	L	L	O	50%	16%	52%	67%	60%	68%
2	Sep 6	at Florida	+625	+18.5	57.5	18-16	W	W	U	32%	7%	51%	43%	74%	69%
1	Aug 28	VS Boise ST	+170	+4.5	61.5	34-7	W	W	U	41%	18%	33%	26%	58%	51%

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Memphis			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 18	at UAB	-1800	-23.5	59.5	24-31	L	L	U	76%	97%	71%	72%	78%	62%
6	Oct 4	VS Tulsa	-1650	-21	54.5	45-7	W	W	U	84%	97%	63%	72%	42%	80%
5	Sep 27	at FL Atlantic	-575	-14	62.5	55-26	W	W	O	73%	98%	51%	73%	87%	63%
4	Sep 20	VS Arkansas	+220	+7	59.5	32-31	W	W	O	18%	12%	62%	65%	55%	78%
3	Sep 13	at Troy	-192	-4.5	51.5	28-7	W	W	U	62%	79%	48%	61%	96%	63%
2	Sep 6	at Georgia ST	-675	-14.5	57.5	38-16	W	W	U	42%	97%	84%	82%	96%	73%
1	Aug 30	VS Chattanooga	-6500	-30.5	55.5	45-10	W	W	U	40%	95%	76%	56%	59%	49%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2024 Oct 12	Memphis Tigers South Florida Bulls	21 3	-10 +10	-340 +270	61	MEMP	MEMP	FAV	Road	Under
2023 Nov 4	South Florida Bulls Memphis Tigers	50 59	+12.5 -12.5	+380 -500	68	MEMP	SFLA	DOG	Road	Over
2020 Nov 7	South Florida Bulls Memphis Tigers	33 34	+17 -17	+562 -800	67.5	MEMP	SFLA	DOG	Road	Under
2019 Nov 23	Memphis Tigers South Florida Bulls	49 10	-14.5 +14.5	-670 +489	60.5	MEMP	MEMP	FAV	Road	Under
2016 Nov 12	South Florida Bulls Memphis Tigers	49 42	-3.5 +3.5	-166 +146	76	SFLA	SFLA	FAV	Road	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	MEM	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
41.7	Points Scored	38.1	USF	3.6
260.4	Passing Yards	216.0	USF	44.4
13.0	PYPC	11.9	USF	1.1
8.4	PYPA	8.0	USF	0.4
64.5	Completion PCT	66.8	MEM	2.3
215.6	Rushing Yards	220.9	MEM	5.3
5.4	RYPA	5.6	MEM	0.2
61.9	PenaltyYards	44.1	MEM	17.7
1.4	Turnovers	1.1	MEM	0.3

Defensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	MEM	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
23.0	Points Scored	18.3	MEM	4.7
264.0	Passing Yards	228.4	MEM	35.6
9.9	PYPC	11.2	USF	1.3
6.4	PYPA	6.7	USF	0.3
64.7	Completion PCT	60.1	MEM	4.6
111.4	Rushing Yards	106.7	MEM	4.7
3.3	RYPA	3.5	USF	0.2
67.9	PenaltyYards	37.7	USF	30.2
2.4	Turnovers	2.0	USF	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	MEM	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
31.0	Points Scored	40.7	MEM	9.7
276.3	Passing Yards	221.3	USF	55.0
11.8	PYPC	11.3	USF	0.6
7.8	PYPA	7.5	USF	0.4
66.0	Completion PCT	66.3	MEM	0.3
158.0	Rushing Yards	238.0	MEM	80.0
4.2	RYPA	5.9	MEM	1.7
52.3	PenaltyYards	33.3	MEM	19.0
1.7	Turnovers	1.7	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	MEM	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
33.7	Points Scored	16.0	MEM	17.7
306.3	Passing Yards	204.7	MEM	101.7
11.8	PYPC	12.3	USF	0.5
8.2	PYPA	7.1	MEM	1.2
69.6	Completion PCT	57.5	MEM	12.2
145.0	Rushing Yards	121.3	MEM	23.7
4.4	RYPA	3.9	MEM	0.5
69.0	PenaltyYards	28.3	USF	40.7
2.7	Turnovers	3.0	MEM	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	MEM	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
42.4	Points Scored	39.6	USF	2.8
278.5	Passing Yards	232.3	USF	46.2
13.0	PYPC	12.2	USF	0.7
8.3	PYPA	8.3	USF	0.0
64.4	Completion PCT	68.1	MEM	3.7
198.4	Rushing Yards	218.9	MEM	20.5
5.0	RYPA	5.5	MEM	0.6
69.2	PenaltyYards	43.7	MEM	25.5
1.4	Turnovers	0.8	MEM	0.6

Defensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	MEM	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
26.5	Points Scored	20.7	MEM	5.8
281.3	Passing Yards	256.8	MEM	24.5
10.7	PYPC	11.6	USF	0.9
6.7	PYPA	7.2	USF	0.6
62.2	Completion PCT	62.3	USF	0.1
128.4	Rushing Yards	103.8	MEM	24.6
3.6	RYPA	3.6	USF	0.1
63.8	PenaltyYards	35.9	USF	27.9
2.5	Turnovers	2.3	USF	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	MEM	Edge	Margin
13	Games	13	-	0
23.8	Points Scored	29.9	MEM	6.2
227.5	Passing Yards	255.2	MEM	27.7
11.4	PYPC	11.9	MEM	0.6
6.6	PYPA	7.2	MEM	0.6
58.4	Completion PCT	60.4	MEM	2.0
161.5	Rushing Yards	177.5	MEM	16.0
4.3	RYPA	4.7	MEM	0.4
58.5	PenaltyYards	57.6	MEM	0.9
1.5	Turnovers	1.5	-	0.0

Player	Pos	Injury
South Florida
Weston Wolff	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Kory Pettigrew	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Chas Nimrod	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Boogsie Silvera	DB	Undisclosed - is out for season
Greg Otten	LB	Undisclosed - is out for season
Jaden Alexis	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Memphis
Cartevious Norton	RB	Undisclosed - is out for season

Player	Position	Injury
Memphis
Oliver Castaneda	K	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Chase Carter	DL	Undisclosed - is out for season
Grant Troutman	QB	Undisclosed - is out for season
Brendon Lewis	QB	Leg - is probable Saturday vs South Florida
Jerry Cross	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs South Florida
Cade Law	LB	Undisclosed - is out for season
Kourtlan Marsh	DB	Undisclosed - is out for season

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