Home-2

Davis Wade Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Texas (22)	45	-8.5		5-2	2-5-0	2-5-0	26.7	11.3	25.7	46.5
Mississippi ST	38	+8.5	48.5	4-3	6-1-0	2-5-0	31.9	20.3	20.9	4.8

DraftKings Betting Splits

Saturday,Oct 25	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Texas (22) Mississippi ST	-8.5 +8.5	39% 61%	38% 62%	48.5 48.5	56% 44%	55% 45%	-325 +260	59% 41%	85% 15%

Circa Sports Betting Splits

Saturday,Oct 25	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Texas (22) Mississippi ST	-8.5 +8.5	39% 61%	41% 59%	49 49	72% 28%	33% 67%	-290 245	37% 63%	36% 64%

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Brad Taylor	CFB	2025-10-25	Texas (-7) (-110) at Mississippi ST	45 - 38	PUSH
Wes Reynolds	CFB	2025-10-25	Texas (-7) (-120) at Mississippi ST	45 - 38	PUSH
Chuck Edel	CFB	2025-10-25	Texas (-7) (-110) at Mississippi ST	45 - 38	PUSH
Chris Fallica	CFB	2025-10-25	Texas (-7) at Mississippi ST	45 - 38	PUSH
Frank Carulli	CFB	2025-10-25	Texas (-7) at Mississippi ST	45 - 38	PUSH
Brett McMurphy	CFB	2025-10-25	Mississippi ST (+7) vs Texas	38 - 45	PUSH
Mitch Moss	CFB	2025-10-25	Mississippi ST (+7.5) (-109) vs Texas	38 - 45	WIN
Paul Stone	CFB	2025-10-25	Mississippi ST (+7) (-110) vs Texas	38 - 45	PUSH
Paul Stone	CFB	2025-10-25	Texas at Mississippi ST - UNDER (45) (-110)	83	LOSS
Chris Ruffolo	CFB	2025-10-25	Mississippi ST (+7) (-112) vs Texas	38 - 45	PUSH
Matt Youmans	CFB	2025-10-25	Mississippi ST (+7) (-109) vs Texas	38 - 45	PUSH

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 25	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Texas Longhorns	45	-8.5		62.0		25.7	46.5	31.6	50.6
Mississippi ST Bulldogs	38	+8.5	48.5	49.0	10.5	20.9	4.8	19.1	12.5

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Texas			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 18	at Kentucky	-470	-12.5	45.5	16-13	W	L	U	82%	94%	60%	58%	77%	78%
7	Oct 11	(n) Oklahoma	-148	-2.5	44.5	23-6	W	W	U	45%	25%	48%	37%	65%	78%
6	Oct 4	at Florida	-205	-4.5	42.5	21-29	L	L	O	79%	88%	72%	76%	55%	73%
4	Sep 20	VS Sam Houston ST	-	-39.5	51.5	55-0	W	W	O	0%	0%	81%	73%	74%	82%
3	Sep 13	VS UTEP	-	-39.5	52.5	27-10	W	L	U	0%	0%	83%	81%	91%	89%
2	Sep 6	VS San Jose ST	-	-36.5	52.5	38-7	W	L	U	0%	0%	85%	83%	77%	77%
1	Aug 30	at Ohio ST	-102	+1.5	46.5	7-14	L	L	U	60%	59%	54%	52%	66%	73%

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Mississippi ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 18	at Florida	+285	+9.5	50.5	21-23	L	W	U	34%	11%	51%	66%	69%	64%
6	Oct 4	at Texas A&M	+625	+17.5	57.5	9-31	L	L	U	23%	6%	60%	63%	85%	72%
5	Sep 27	VS Tennessee	+235	+7.5	63.5	34-41	L	W	O	18%	4%	33%	26%	79%	72%
4	Sep 20	VS N Illinois	-2400	-23.5	48.5	38-10	W	W	U	79%	98%	39%	65%	93%	84%
3	Sep 13	VS Alcorn ST	-	-42.5	56.5	63-0	W	W	O	0%	0%	92%	75%	94%	79%
2	Sep 6	VS Arizona ST	+185	+5.5	58.5	24-20	W	W	U	55%	17%	55%	46%	71%	59%
1	Aug 30	at Southern Miss	-600	-14.5	60.5	34-17	W	W	U	56%	93%	34%	49%	59%	33%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2024 Sep 28	Mississippi ST Bulldogs Texas Longhorns	13 35	+37 -37	- -	59	TEXA	MSST	DOG	Road	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TEX	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
26.7	Points Scored	31.9	MSST	5.2
218.7	Passing Yards	227.7	MSST	9.0
12.6	PYPC	12.5	TEX	0.1
7.6	PYPA	8.3	MSST	0.7
60.4	Completion PCT	66.3	MSST	5.9
149.4	Rushing Yards	178.1	MSST	28.7
4.1	RYPA	4.3	MSST	0.2
66.3	PenaltyYards	74.7	TEX	8.4
0.9	Turnovers	1.1	TEX	0.3

Defensive Statistics

TEX	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
7	Games	7	-	0
11.3	Points Scored	20.3	TEX	9.0
196.4	Passing Yards	186.4	MSST	10.0
9.6	PYPC	10.8	TEX	1.2
6.0	PYPA	6.4	TEX	0.4
62.3	Completion PCT	59.0	MSST	3.3
83.3	Rushing Yards	164.0	TEX	80.7
2.6	RYPA	4.4	TEX	1.8
30.4	PenaltyYards	59.3	MSST	28.9
1.9	Turnovers	1.9	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TEX	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
3	Games	4	MSST	1
14.7	Points Scored	39.8	MSST	25.1
197.0	Passing Yards	212.8	MSST	15.8
12.9	PYPC	13.7	MSST	0.9
6.6	PYPA	8.5	MSST	1.9
51.7	Completion PCT	62.0	MSST	10.3
88.3	Rushing Yards	209.5	MSST	121.2
2.9	RYPA	4.9	MSST	2.0
56.7	PenaltyYards	77.3	TEX	20.6
1.0	Turnovers	0.8	MSST	0.3

Defensive Statistics

TEX	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
3	Games	4	TEX	1
18.7	Points Scored	17.8	MSST	0.9
227.3	Passing Yards	161.5	MSST	65.8
10.5	PYPC	10.4	MSST	0.1
7.8	PYPA	5.9	MSST	1.8
73.9	Completion PCT	56.9	MSST	17.0
124.3	Rushing Yards	143.8	TEX	19.4
3.2	RYPA	4.2	TEX	1.0
30.0	PenaltyYards	57.3	MSST	27.3
1.0	Turnovers	2.3	MSST	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TEX	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
27.8	Points Scored	27.1	TEX	0.7
233.8	Passing Yards	216.8	TEX	17.0
12.9	PYPC	12.6	TEX	0.3
7.9	PYPA	7.7	TEX	0.2
61.7	Completion PCT	61.4	TEX	0.3
145.0	Rushing Yards	161.2	MSST	16.2
4.0	RYPA	4.3	MSST	0.2
59.3	PenaltyYards	69.4	TEX	10.1
1.0	Turnovers	1.4	TEX	0.4

Defensive Statistics

TEX	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
16.2	Points Scored	24.0	TEX	7.8
229.6	Passing Yards	192.8	MSST	36.8
10.4	PYPC	11.8	TEX	1.4
6.5	PYPA	7.1	TEX	0.7
62.0	Completion PCT	60.4	MSST	1.6
95.4	Rushing Yards	184.6	TEX	89.2
3.0	RYPA	4.4	TEX	1.4
40.3	PenaltyYards	55.5	MSST	15.2
1.6	Turnovers	1.4	TEX	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TEX	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
1	Games	1	-	0
35.0	Points Scored	13.0	TEX	22.0
325.0	Passing Yards	144.0	TEX	181.0
12.5	PYPC	12.0	TEX	0.5
10.5	PYPA	6.3	TEX	4.2
83.9	Completion PCT	52.2	TEX	31.7
198.0	Rushing Yards	150.0	TEX	48.0
6.4	RYPA	3.0	TEX	3.4
65.0	PenaltyYards	75.0	TEX	10.0
2.0	Turnovers	1.0	MSST	1.0

Player	Pos	Injury
Texas
Arch Manning	QB	Concussion - left last game, is Questionable Saturday vs Vanderbilt
Aaron Butler	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs Vanderbilt
CJ Baxter	FB	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Mississippi State
Michael Taaffe	DB	Thumb - is out indefinitely
Jerrick Gibson	RB	Left Team - is out for season
Andre Cojoe	OL	Knee - is out for season

Player	Position	Injury
Mississippi ST
Fluff Bothwell	RB	Leg - is Questionable Saturday vs Arkansas
Blake Steen	OL	Undisclosed - is out for season
Will Whitson	DL	Undisclosed - is out for season

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