Home-2

Kenan Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Virginia (16)	17	-11.5		6-1	5-2-0	5-2-0	40.0	23.3	31.6	52.8
North Carolina	16	+11.5	51.5	2-4	3-3-0	2-4-0	18.7	25.0	21.2	10.4

DraftKings Betting Splits

Saturday,Oct 25	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Virginia (16) North Carolina	-11.5 +11.5	73% 27%	81% 19%	50.5 50.5	83% 17%	76% 24%	-440 +340	88% 12%	95% 5%

Circa Sports Betting Splits

Saturday,Oct 25	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Virginia (16) North Carolina	-11.5 +11.5	78% 22%	65% 35%	51 51	41% 59%	47% 53%	-440 355	100% 0%	75% 25%

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Wes Reynolds	CFB	2025-10-25	2H - North Carolina (+6.5) vs Virginia	6 - 7	WIN
Chris Piper	CFB	2025-10-25	Virginia (-10.5) at North Carolina	17 - 16	LOSS
Tim Murray	CFB	2025-10-25	North Carolina (+10.5) (-110) vs Virginia	16 - 17	WIN
Colby Dant	CFB	2025-10-25	Money Line - North Carolina (+310) vs Virginia	16 - 17	LOSS
Dustin Swedelson	CFB	2025-10-25	Virginia (-9) (-110) at North Carolina	17 - 16	LOSS
Aaron Halterman	CFB	2025-10-25	Virginia (-10.5) (-110) at North Carolina	17 - 16	LOSS

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 25	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Virginia Cavaliers	17	-11.5		50.0		31.6	52.8	30.3	53.5
North Carolina Tar Heels	16	+11.5	51.5	38.5	9.3	21.2	10.4	23.3	7.0

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Virginia			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 18	VS Washington ST	-800	-16.5	56.5	22-20	W	L	U	83%	97%	60%	58%	84%	58%
6	Oct 4	at Louisville	+205	+6.5	59.5	30-27	W	W	U	50%	26%	30%	49%	75%	67%
5	Sep 26	VS Florida ST	+220	+7	59.5	46-38	W	W	O	17%	6%	41%	22%	40%	71%
4	Sep 20	VS Stanford	-750	-16.5	48.5	48-20	W	W	O	63%	97%	83%	64%	54%	76%
3	Sep 13	VS William & Mary	-6500	-30.5	54.5	55-16	W	W	O	82%	97%	86%	85%	86%	72%
2	Sep 6	at NC State	+124	+3	53.5	31-35	L	L	O	44%	28%	51%	44%	43%	45%
1	Aug 30	VS Coastal Carolina	-500	-13.5	54.5	48-7	W	W	O	50%	93%	82%	64%	52%	37%

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
North Carolina			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 17	at California	+260	+7.5	46.5	18-21	L	W	U	56%	17%	43%	32%	79%	73%
6	Oct 4	VS Clemson	+470	+15.5	47.5	10-38	L	L	O	13%	11%	28%	43%	58%	83%
4	Sep 20	at UCF	+210	+7	46.5	9-34	L	L	U	58%	30%	56%	67%	43%	86%
3	Sep 13	VS Richmond	-2800	-24.5	47.5	41-6	W	W	U	70%	97%	72%	75%	50%	78%
2	Sep 6	at Charlotte	-675	-15.5	49.5	20-3	W	W	U	66%	94%	76%	77%	80%	77%
1	Sep 1	VS TCU	+150	+3.5	54.5	14-48	L	L	O	62%	66%	41%	53%	50%	36%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2024 Oct 26	North Carolina Tar Heels Virginia Cavaliers	41 14	+3.5 -3.5	+145 -175	58.5	NCAR	NCAR	DOG	Road	Under
2023 Oct 21	Virginia Cavaliers North Carolina Tar Heels	31 27	+24 -24	+1300 -2800	58	VIRG	VIRG	DOG	Road	Push
2022 Nov 5	North Carolina Tar Heels Virginia Cavaliers	31 28	-7.5 +7.5	-295 +245	61	NCAR	VIRG	DOG	Home	Under
2021 Sep 18	Virginia Cavaliers North Carolina Tar Heels	39 59	+7.5 -7.5	+255 -310	66.5	NCAR	NCAR	FAV	HOME	Over
2020 Oct 31	North Carolina Tar Heels Virginia Cavaliers	41 44	-8 +8	-315 +256	61	VIRG	VIRG	DOG	Home	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	UNC	Edge	Margin
7	Games	6	UVA	1
40.0	Points Scored	18.7	UVA	21.3
258.4	Passing Yards	163.3	UVA	95.1
11.4	PYPC	9.2	UVA	2.2
7.6	PYPA	5.6	UVA	2.0
66.8	Completion PCT	61.1	UVA	5.7
203.9	Rushing Yards	105.2	UVA	98.7
5.1	RYPA	3.9	UVA	1.2
45.4	PenaltyYards	50.2	UVA	4.7
0.7	Turnovers	1.5	UVA	0.8

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	UNC	Edge	Margin
7	Games	6	UNC	1
23.3	Points Scored	25.0	UVA	1.7
231.9	Passing Yards	240.8	UVA	9.0
11.6	PYPC	10.5	UNC	1.1
7.3	PYPA	7.1	UNC	0.3
63.1	Completion PCT	67.3	UVA	4.3
122.0	Rushing Yards	119.2	UNC	2.8
3.7	RYPA	3.4	UNC	0.3
38.3	PenaltyYards	52.2	UNC	13.9
1.6	Turnovers	1.2	UVA	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	UNC	Edge	Margin
2	Games	3	UNC	1
30.5	Points Scored	21.7	UVA	8.8
203.0	Passing Yards	168.0	UVA	35.0
8.3	PYPC	10.3	UNC	2.0
5.5	PYPA	6.2	UNC	0.7
66.2	Completion PCT	59.8	UVA	6.5
172.5	Rushing Yards	100.0	UVA	72.5
5.4	RYPA	3.9	UVA	1.5
44.0	PenaltyYards	50.0	UVA	6.0
0.5	Turnovers	1.3	UVA	0.8

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	UNC	Edge	Margin
2	Games	3	UVA	1
31.0	Points Scored	30.7	UNC	0.3
264.5	Passing Yards	252.7	UNC	11.8
10.6	PYPC	11.5	UVA	0.9
7.5	PYPA	8.3	UVA	0.9
70.4	Completion PCT	72.5	UVA	2.1
135.0	Rushing Yards	157.0	UVA	22.0
4.4	RYPA	4.1	UNC	0.2
37.5	PenaltyYards	50.3	UNC	12.8
1.0	Turnovers	1.7	UNC	0.7

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	UNC	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
31.8	Points Scored	20.8	UVA	11.0
226.7	Passing Yards	167.3	UVA	59.4
10.6	PYPC	10.0	UVA	0.6
6.7	PYPA	6.1	UVA	0.7
63.2	Completion PCT	60.7	UVA	2.5
171.6	Rushing Yards	118.6	UVA	53.0
4.5	RYPA	4.0	UVA	0.5
43.3	PenaltyYards	59.8	UVA	16.5
1.2	Turnovers	1.6	UVA	0.4

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	UNC	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
26.8	Points Scored	27.7	UVA	0.9
241.4	Passing Yards	227.0	UNC	14.4
12.0	PYPC	10.8	UNC	1.2
7.8	PYPA	7.3	UNC	0.6
65.1	Completion PCT	67.1	UVA	2.0
140.1	Rushing Yards	148.7	UVA	8.6
4.1	RYPA	3.9	UNC	0.2
46.6	PenaltyYards	54.2	UNC	7.6
1.5	Turnovers	1.2	UVA	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	UNC	Edge	Margin
25	Games	25	-	0
24.3	Points Scored	26.0	UNC	1.8
231.4	Passing Yards	254.5	UNC	23.0
11.6	PYPC	13.3	UNC	1.7
7.0	PYPA	8.5	UNC	1.5
60.2	Completion PCT	63.7	UNC	3.5
151.2	Rushing Yards	150.7	UVA	0.5
3.8	RYPA	4.1	UNC	0.3
48.9	PenaltyYards	54.5	UVA	5.6
1.4	Turnovers	1.6	UVA	0.2

Player	Pos	Injury
Virginia
Triston Ward	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Dakota Twitty	WR	Leg - is Questionable
Cam Ross	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Davis Lane Jr	RB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Trevor Ladd	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Andre Greene Jr	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Xavier Brown	RB	Foot - is Questionable
Grady Brosterhous	QB	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Noah Vaughn	RB	Ankle - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs North Carolina
Suderian Harrison	WR	Redshirt - is out for season
Dre Walker	CB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs North Carolina
Armstrong Jones	S	Undisclosed - is Questionable Saturday vs North Carolina

Player	Position	Injury
North Carolina
Deems May	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Cort Halsey	TE	Undisclosed - is Questionable
Paul Billups II	WR	Left Team - is out indefinitely
Austin Blaske	OL	Foot - is out indefinitely

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