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Gillette Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Bills	16	-3		13-3	10-6-0	10-6-0	31.8	21.6	23.4	37.8
Patriots	23	+3	36.5	3-13	5-9-2	10-6-0	16.6	25.1	14.4	9

DraftKings Circa Sports

DraftKings Betting Splits

Sunday,Jan 5	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Buffalo Bills New England Patriots	-3.5 +3.5	78% 22%	76% 24%	36.5 36.5	72% 28%	69% 31%	-175 +145	86% 14%	84% 16%

Circa Sports Betting Splits

Sunday,Jan 5	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Buffalo Bills New England Patriots	-3 +3	39% 61%	77% 23%	37 37	71% 29%	44% 56%	-178 158	61% 39%	42% 58%

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Mike Somich	NFL	2025-01-05	Bills (-2.5) at Patriots	16 - 23	LOSS
Joe Ceraulo	NFL	2025-01-05	Patriots (+2.5) vs Bills	23 - 16	WIN
Adam Schein	NFL	2025-01-05	Patriots (+2.5) vs Bills	23 - 16	WIN
Chris Fallica	NFL	2025-01-05	Patriots (+3) vs Bills	23 - 16	WIN
Chris Macero	NFL	2025-01-05	Bills (-3) at Patriots	16 - 23	LOSS
Weston Stradtman	NFL	2025-01-05	Bills (-3) at Patriots	16 - 23	LOSS
Paul Bovi	NFL	2025-01-05	Bills (-3) at Patriots	16 - 23	LOSS

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Sunday, January 5	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Buffalo Bills	16	-3.0		31.0		23.4	37.8	20.8	40.3
New England Patriots	23	+3.0	36.5	18.5	2.9	14.4	9.0	19.6	1.2

Buffalo Bills New England Patriots Head to Head

2024 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Buffalo			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
17	Dec 29	VS NY Jets	-500	-10	44	40-14	W	W	O	90%	96%	65%	66%	40%	60%
16	Dec 22	VS New England	-1100	-14	48	24-21	W	L	U	95%	97%	73%	81%	60%	64%
15	Dec 15	at Detroit	+124	+2.5	55.5	48-42	W	W	O	57%	41%	46%	40%	71%	74%
14	Dec 8	at LA Rams	-192	-3.5	49.5	42-44	L	L	O	89%	91%	66%	78%	86%	78%
13	Dec 1	VS San Francisco	-345	-6.5	45.5	35-10	W	W	U	71%	88%	68%	77%	52%	47%
11	Nov 17	VS Kansas City	-148	-2.5	47	30-21	W	W	O	54%	39%	65%	48%	75%	74%
10	Nov 10	at Indianapolis	-230	-4.5	46.5	30-20	W	W	O	89%	92%	63%	81%	81%	66%
9	Nov 3	VS Miami	-290	-6.5	49.5	30-27	W	L	O	76%	87%	70%	72%	72%	70%
8	Oct 27	at Seattle	-170	-3	45.5	31-10	W	W	U	80%	80%	76%	77%	72%	81%
7	Oct 20	VS Tennessee	-535	-9.5	41	34-10	W	W	O	90%	96%	71%	75%	79%	79%
6	Oct 14	at NY Jets	-120	-1	42.5	23-20	W	W	O	48%	65%	67%	77%	60%	67%
5	Oct 6	at Houston	+102	+1.5	48	20-23	L	L	U	58%	64%	58%	66%	75%	81%
4	Sep 29	at Baltimore	+114	+2.5	47.5	10-35	L	L	U	45%	57%	45%	58%	76%	76%
3	Sep 23	VS Jacksonville	-225	-4.5	46.5	47-10	W	W	O	58%	81%	67%	77%	55%	59%
2	Sep 12	at Miami	+114	+2.5	49	31-10	W	W	U	54%	58%	42%	45%	74%	75%
1	Sep 8	VS Arizona	-325	-6.5	46	34-28	W	L	O	62%	86%	54%	61%	77%	63%

2024 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
New England			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
17	Dec 28	VS LA Chargers	+240	+6	41.5	7-40	L	L	O	7%	8%	23%	20%	52%	53%
16	Dec 22	at Buffalo	+700	+14	48	21-24	L	W	U	5%	3%	27%	19%	60%	64%
15	Dec 15	at Arizona	+210	+6	46.5	17-30	L	L	O	13%	8%	27%	31%	68%	35%
13	Dec 1	VS Indianapolis	+110	+2.5	41	24-25	L	W	O	49%	30%	44%	31%	39%	45%
12	Nov 24	at Miami	+285	+7.5	45.5	15-34	L	L	O	33%	14%	49%	49%	71%	50%
11	Nov 17	VS LA Rams	+164	+4	42	22-28	L	L	O	21%	16%	37%	32%	57%	44%
10	Nov 10	at Chicago	+245	+6.5	37.5	19-3	W	W	U	39%	17%	28%	41%	48%	60%
9	Nov 3	at Tennessee	+136	+3	38.5	17-20	L	P	U	56%	57%	62%	70%	29%	49%
8	Oct 27	VS NY Jets	+270	+7	41.5	25-22	W	W	O	13%	9%	20%	29%	68%	58%
7	Oct 20	(n) Jacksonville	+350	+9	43	16-32	L	L	O	59%	31%	59%	60%	59%	50%
6	Oct 13	VS Houston	+225	+6.5	39.5	21-41	L	L	O	14%	8%	24%	21%	72%	66%
5	Oct 6	VS Miami	+105	+2	37	10-15	L	L	U	51%	60%	48%	61%	47%	38%
4	Sep 29	at San Francisco	+425	+10.5	42.5	13-30	L	L	O	29%	9%	50%	50%	34%	44%
3	Sep 19	at NY Jets	+240	+6.5	39.5	3-24	L	L	U	41%	39%	38%	50%	44%	42%
2	Sep 15	VS Seattle	+130	+3	39	20-23	L	P	O	54%	38%	62%	48%	35%	43%
1	Sep 8	at Cincinnati	+295	+8	40.5	16-10	W	W	U	12%	7%	35%	29%	35%	39%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2024 Dec 22	New England Patriots Buffalo Bills	21 24	+14 -14	+700 -1100	48	BUF	NWE	DOG	Road	Under
2023 Dec 31	New England Patriots Buffalo Bills	21 27	+15 -15	+750 -1200	40	BUF	NWE	DOG	Road	Over
2023 Oct 22	Buffalo Bills New England Patriots	25 29	-7.5 +7.5	-395 +310	41	NWE	NWE	DOG	HOME	Over
2023 Jan 8	New England Patriots Buffalo Bills	23 35	+8 -8	+320 -390	44	BUF	BUF	FAV	Home	Over
2022 Dec 1	Buffalo Bills New England Patriots	24 10	-4 +4	-205 +175	43.5	BUF	BUF	FAV	Road	Under

All Games 2024 2024 Home/Road Games Last 10 Games Head to Head

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	NWE	Edge	Margin
16	Games	16	-	0
31.8	Points Scored	16.6	BUF	15.2
234.1	Passing Yards	172.7	BUF	61.4
12.1	PYPC	8.6	BUF	3.4
7.7	PYPA	5.5	BUF	2.1
63.7	Completion PCT	64.1	NWE	0.4
131.3	Rushing Yards	118.3	BUF	13.0
4.6	RYPA	4.6	BUF	0.0
49.9	PenaltyYards	53.6	BUF	3.7
0.5	Turnovers	1.4	BUF	0.9

Defensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	NWE	Edge	Margin
16	Games	16	-	0
21.6	Points Scored	25.1	BUF	3.5
225.7	Passing Yards	216.7	NWE	9.0
9.7	PYPC	10.6	BUF	0.9
6.6	PYPA	6.9	BUF	0.3
68.3	Completion PCT	65.5	NWE	2.8
117.9	Rushing Yards	131.4	BUF	13.6
4.7	RYPA	4.4	NWE	0.2
59.8	PenaltyYards	46.1	BUF	13.8
1.9	Turnovers	0.8	BUF	1.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	NWE	Edge	Margin
8	Games	7	BUF	1
29.4	Points Scored	18.4	BUF	11.0
236.9	Passing Yards	168.9	BUF	68.0
12.7	PYPC	8.6	BUF	4.1
7.7	PYPA	5.5	BUF	2.2
60.3	Completion PCT	63.1	NWE	2.8
135.9	Rushing Yards	135.9	BUF	0.0
4.8	RYPA	4.9	NWE	0.1
51.1	PenaltyYards	62.9	BUF	11.7
0.5	Turnovers	1.1	BUF	0.6

Defensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	NWE	Edge	Margin
8	Games	7	NWE	1
25.5	Points Scored	27.7	BUF	2.2
275.6	Passing Yards	225.1	NWE	50.5
11.1	PYPC	10.9	NWE	0.2
7.8	PYPA	7.0	NWE	0.8
69.7	Completion PCT	63.7	NWE	6.0
120.4	Rushing Yards	134.4	BUF	14.1
4.5	RYPA	4.5	NWE	0.1
68.9	PenaltyYards	47.4	BUF	21.5
1.8	Turnovers	0.7	BUF	1.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	NWE	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
34.4	Points Scored	18.3	BUF	16.1
262.8	Passing Yards	195.7	BUF	67.1
12.5	PYPC	9.0	BUF	3.4
8.0	PYPA	6.1	BUF	1.9
64.1	Completion PCT	67.2	NWE	3.1
136.0	Rushing Yards	115.3	BUF	20.7
4.8	RYPA	4.5	BUF	0.3
52.4	PenaltyYards	53.0	BUF	0.6
0.6	Turnovers	1.4	BUF	0.8

Defensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	NWE	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
21.9	Points Scored	25.8	BUF	3.9
234.7	Passing Yards	209.6	NWE	25.1
9.9	PYPC	10.8	BUF	0.9
6.9	PYPA	6.9	BUF	0.0
69.7	Completion PCT	64.0	NWE	5.7
104.5	Rushing Yards	132.1	BUF	27.6
4.3	RYPA	4.3	BUF	0.1
57.7	PenaltyYards	43.6	BUF	14.1
2.1	Turnovers	0.5	BUF	1.6

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BUF	Statistic	NWE	Edge	Margin
50	Games	50	-	0
17.9	Points Scored	25.3	NWE	7.4
210.0	Passing Yards	217.4	NWE	7.5
10.8	PYPC	10.9	NWE	0.1
6.3	PYPA	6.8	NWE	0.5
58.9	Completion PCT	62.9	NWE	4.1
111.7	Rushing Yards	136.4	NWE	24.6
4.3	RYPA	4.4	NWE	0.1
57.8	PenaltyYards	51.3	NWE	6.5
1.9	Turnovers	1.3	NWE	0.6

Player	Pos	Injury
Bills
Amari Cooper	WR	Personal - is Questionable Sunday vs Denver
Terrel Bernard	LB	Quad - is Questionable Sunday vs Denver
Curtis Samuel	WR	Shoulder - is upgraded to probable Sunday vs New England
Baylon Spector	LB	Calf - is upgraded to probable Sunday vs New England
Taylor Rapp	S	Neck - is upgraded to probable Sunday vs NY Jets
Cam Lewis	CB	Shoulder - is upgraded to probable Sunday vs NY Jets
Damar Hamlin	S	Back - is upgraded to probable Sunday vs NY Jets
Matt Milano	LB	Groin - is upgraded to probable Sunday vs NY Jets
Rasul Douglas	CB	Knee - is upgraded to probable Sunday vs NY Jets
Josh Allen	QB	Elbow - is probable Sunday vs NY Jets
Shane Buechele	QB	Neck - IR
Terrell Burgess	S	Hamstring - IR
Dee Delaney	DB	Knee - IR
Darrynton Evans	RB	Hamstring - IR
Travis Clayton	T	Shoulder - IR

Player	Position	Injury
Patriots
Sione Takitaki	LB	Knee - is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Buffalo
Titus Leo	DE	Ankle - is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Buffalo
Kyle Dugger	DB	Quad - is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Buffalo
Anfernee Jennings	LB	Knee - is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Buffalo
Hunter Henry	TE	Foot - is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Buffalo
Kayshon Boutte	WR	Illness - is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Buffalo
JaLynn Polk	WR	Shoulder - is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Buffalo
Jabrill Peppers	DB	Hamstring - is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Buffalo
Christian Gonzalez	CB	Concussion - is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Buffalo
Ben Brown	G	Concussion - is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Buffalo
Drake Maye	QB	Hand - is probable Sunday vs Buffalo
Drake Maye	QB	Head - will return Saturday vs LA Chargers
Caedan Wallace	T	Ankle - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs LA Chargers
Jahlani Tavai	LB	Groin - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs LA Chargers
Sione Takitaki	LB	Knee - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs LA Chargers
Cole Strange	G	Knee - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs LA Chargers
Titus Leo	DE	Ankle - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs LA Chargers
Anfernee Jennings	LB	Knee - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs LA Chargers
Curtis Jacobs	LB	Concussion - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs LA Chargers
Kyle Dugger	DB	Ankle - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs LA Chargers
Marcus Jones	DB	Hip - IR
JaMycal Hasty	RB	Ankle - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs LA Chargers
Christian Barmore	DT	Blood Clot - is out indefinitely
David Andrews	C	Shoulder - is out for season
Oshane Ximines	LB	Knee - IR
JaWhaun Bentley	LB	Pectoral - IR; is out for season
Jake Andrews	C	Undisclosed - IR
JaQuae Jackson	WR	Knee - IR
Tyrone Wheatley Jr	T	Undisclosed - IR

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