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Highmark Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Patriots	23	+7.5		2-2	2-2-0	2-2-0	25.5	20.3	21	49.5
Bills	20	-7.5	49.5	4-0	2-2-0	3-1-0	33.3	22.5	28.5	-7.5

DraftKings Circa Sports

DraftKings Betting Splits

Sunday,Oct 5	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
New England Patriots Buffalo Bills	+7.5 -7.5	55% 45%	44% 56%	49.5 49.5	60% 40%	59% 41%	+310 -395	22% 78%	9% 91%

Circa Sports Betting Splits

Sunday,Oct 5	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
New England Patriots Buffalo Bills	+7 -7	62% 38%	28% 72%	48.5 48.5	31% 69%	77% 23%	340 -420	71% 29%	54% 46%

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Dustin Swedelson	NFL	2025-10-05	Treveyon Henderson (Patriots) OVER 16.5 Receiving Yards (-112)	3	LOSS
Dustin Swedelson	NFL	2025-10-05	Dalton Kincaid (Bills) OVER 31.5 Receiving Yards (-115)	108	WIN
Dustin Swedelson	NFL	2025-10-05	Dalton Kincaid (Bills) OVER 3.5 Receiving Yards (+110)	108	WIN
Will Hill	NFL	2025-10-05	Drake Maye (Patriots) OVER 30.5 Rushing Yards (-116)	12	LOSS
Grace Remington	NFL	2025-10-05	Stefon Diggs (Patriots) Anytime TD (+250)	0	LOSS
Jonathan Von Tobel	NFL	2025-10-05	Team Total - Patriots OVER (20.5) (-110) at Bills	23	WIN
Wes Reynolds	NFL	2025-10-05	Patriots (+8) (-110) at Bills	23 - 20	WIN
Steve Fezzik	NFL	2025-10-05	Drake Maye (Patriots) OVER 29.5 Rushing Yards (-110)	12	LOSS
John Hansen	NFL	2025-10-05	Drake Maye (Patriots) Anytime TD (+400)	0	LOSS
Zachary Cohen	NFL	2025-10-05	Hunter Henry (Patriots) Anytime TD (+260) [ 0.5 units ]	0	LOSS
Brett Whitefield	NFL	2025-10-05	Drake Maye (Patriots) OVER 25.5 Rushing Yards (-118)	12	LOSS
Paul Bovi	NFL	2025-10-05	Team Total - Patriots OVER (20.5) (-110) at Bills	23	WIN
Chris Macero	NFL	2025-10-05	Patriots (+7.5) at Bills	23 - 20	WIN
Zachary Cohen	NFL	2025-10-05	Patriots (+8.5) (-112) at Bills [ 1.5 units ]	23 - 20	WIN
Jim Feist	NFL	2025-10-05	Patriots (+7.5) at Bills	23 - 20	WIN
Matt Youmans	NFL	2025-10-05	Patriots (+8.5) (-112) at Bills	23 - 20	WIN
Jensen Lewis	NFL	2025-10-05	Patriots (+8.5) (-112) at Bills	23 - 20	WIN
Jason Jarvis	NFL	2025-10-05	Patriots (+7.5) at Bills	23 - 20	WIN
Paul Bovi	NFL	2025-10-05	Patriots at Bills - OVER (49)	43	LOSS
Jim Feist	NFL	2025-10-05	Patriots at Bills - OVER (49)	43	LOSS
Mike North	NFL	2025-10-05	Bills (-7.5) vs Patriots	20 - 23	LOSS
Cris Zeniuk	NFL	2025-10-05	Patriots (+7.5) at Bills	23 - 20	WIN
Weston Stradtman	NFL	2025-10-05	Patriots (+7.5) at Bills	23 - 20	WIN
Jeff Petch	NFL	2025-10-05	Patriots (+7.5) at Bills	23 - 20	WIN
Paul Bovi	NFL	2025-10-05	Patriots (+7.5) at Bills	23 - 20	WIN

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Sunday, October 5	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
New England Patriots	23	+7.5		22.0		21.0	49.5	18.9	47.7
Buffalo Bills	20	-7.5	49.5	30.0	-10.0	28.5	-7.5	28.8	-9.9

New England Patriots Buffalo Bills Head to Head

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
New England			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 28	VS Carolina	-265	-5.5	42.5	42-13	W	W	O	68%	77%	80%	52%	71%	63%
3	Sep 21	VS Pittsburgh	+100	+1.5	44.5	14-21	L	L	U	39%	38%	40%	37%	72%	54%
2	Sep 14	at Miami	+105	+1.5	43.5	33-27	W	W	O	55%	64%	44%	59%	38%	46%
1	Sep 7	VS Las Vegas	-148	-2.5	44.5	13-20	L	L	U	56%	63%	74%	62%	55%	43%

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Buffalo			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 28	VS New Orleans	-1350	-15.5	48.5	31-19	W	L	O	92%	97%	49%	73%	77%	56%
3	Sep 18	VS Miami	-850	-12.5	50.5	31-21	W	L	O	75%	90%	51%	68%	75%	66%
2	Sep 14	at NY Jets	-290	-6	47.5	30-10	W	W	U	80%	94%	37%	70%	81%	78%
1	Sep 7	VS Baltimore	+105	+1.5	51.5	41-40	W	W	O	40%	49%	49%	49%	56%	63%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2025 Jan 5	Buffalo Bills New England Patriots	16 23	-3 +3	-166 +140	36.5	NWE	NWE	DOG	Home	Over
2024 Dec 22	New England Patriots Buffalo Bills	21 24	+14 -14	+700 -1100	48	BUF	NWE	DOG	Road	Under
2023 Dec 31	New England Patriots Buffalo Bills	21 27	+15 -15	+750 -1200	40	BUF	NWE	DOG	Road	Over
2023 Oct 22	Buffalo Bills New England Patriots	25 29	-7.5 +7.5	-395 +310	41	NWE	NWE	DOG	Home	Over
2023 Jan 8	New England Patriots Buffalo Bills	23 35	+8 -8	+320 -390	44	BUF	BUF	FAV	HOME	Over

All Games 2025 2025 Home/Road Games Last 10 Games Head to Head

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NWE	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
25.5	Points Scored	33.3	BUF	7.8
235.0	Passing Yards	240.5	BUF	5.5
10.3	PYPC	11.2	BUF	0.9
7.6	PYPA	7.8	BUF	0.2
73.4	Completion PCT	69.9	NWE	3.5
101.3	Rushing Yards	163.5	BUF	62.3
3.9	RYPA	4.9	BUF	1.1
63.3	PenaltyYards	49.3	BUF	14.0
1.5	Turnovers	0.3	BUF	1.3

Defensive Statistics

NWE	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
20.3	Points Scored	22.5	NWE	2.3
241.5	Passing Yards	125.8	BUF	115.8
10.9	PYPC	7.9	BUF	3.0
7.7	PYPA	4.9	BUF	2.9
71.2	Completion PCT	62.1	BUF	9.1
77.5	Rushing Yards	164.3	NWE	86.8
3.3	RYPA	6.0	NWE	2.7
57.5	PenaltyYards	46.0	NWE	11.5
0.8	Turnovers	1.0	BUF	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NWE	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
1	Games	3	BUF	2
33.0	Points Scored	34.3	BUF	1.3
211.0	Passing Yards	261.0	BUF	50.0
11.1	PYPC	11.0	NWE	0.1
9.2	PYPA	8.2	NWE	1.0
82.6	Completion PCT	74.0	NWE	8.7
122.0	Rushing Yards	143.3	BUF	21.3
4.2	RYPA	4.8	BUF	0.6
75.0	PenaltyYards	42.7	BUF	32.3
0.0	Turnovers	0.3	NWE	0.3

Defensive Statistics

NWE	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
1	Games	3	NWE	2
27.0	Points Scored	26.7	BUF	0.3
297.0	Passing Yards	149.7	BUF	147.3
11.4	PYPC	8.3	BUF	3.1
9.3	PYPA	5.5	BUF	3.7
81.3	Completion PCT	66.7	BUF	14.6
61.0	Rushing Yards	185.7	NWE	124.7
4.1	RYPA	6.3	NWE	2.3
65.0	PenaltyYards	49.7	NWE	15.3
1.0	Turnovers	1.0	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NWE	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
20.9	Points Scored	30.0	BUF	9.1
211.0	Passing Yards	210.8	NWE	0.2
9.9	PYPC	10.8	BUF	0.9
6.9	PYPA	7.2	BUF	0.3
69.8	Completion PCT	66.3	NWE	3.5
110.6	Rushing Yards	155.7	BUF	45.1
4.2	RYPA	4.6	BUF	0.3
61.4	PenaltyYards	47.3	BUF	14.1
1.5	Turnovers	0.2	BUF	1.3

Defensive Statistics

NWE	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
25.0	Points Scored	21.2	BUF	3.8
217.7	Passing Yards	177.5	BUF	40.2
10.1	PYPC	9.8	BUF	0.3
6.8	PYPA	6.5	BUF	0.3
66.8	Completion PCT	65.8	BUF	1.0
113.1	Rushing Yards	136.2	NWE	23.1
4.0	RYPA	5.0	NWE	1.0
46.4	PenaltyYards	48.8	BUF	2.4
0.7	Turnovers	1.5	BUF	0.8

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NWE	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
51	Games	51	-	0
25.3	Points Scored	17.9	NWE	7.4
217.7	Passing Yards	208.4	NWE	9.4
10.8	PYPC	10.7	NWE	0.1
6.9	PYPA	6.3	NWE	0.6
63.1	Completion PCT	58.8	NWE	4.3
135.2	Rushing Yards	112.1	NWE	23.1
4.3	RYPA	4.3	NWE	0.1
51.4	PenaltyYards	57.3	NWE	5.9
1.3	Turnovers	1.9	NWE	0.6

Player	Pos	Injury
Patriots
Jared Wilson	G	Thigh - is Questionable Sunday vs Buffalo
Jahlani Tavai	LB	Undisclosed - IR
Isaiah Iton	DT	Hip - is out for season
Lan Larison	RB	Foot - is out for season
Marcellas Dial Jr	DB	Knee - is out for season

Player	Position	Injury
Bills
Matt Milano	LB	Pectoral - is Questionable Sunday vs New England
Ed Oliver	DT	Ankle - is Questionable Sunday vs New England
Spencer Brown	T	Calf - is Questionable Sunday vs New England
Tyler Bass	K	Hip - IR; is out at least first 4 games of season
Maxwell Hairston	CB	Knee - IR; is out at least first 4 games of season
DeWayne Carter	DT	Achilles - is out for season
Michael Hoecht	DE	Suspension - is OUT the first 6 games of the season
Larry Ogunjobi	DT	Suspension - is OUT for the first 6 games of the season

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