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    Makinen Weekly Ratings

    DraftKingsPower RatingsEffective StrengthBettor Rating
     Thursday, August 22ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
     Indianapolis Colts
    27
    -7.0
    20.0
    22.8
    37.9
    20.4
    35.8
     Cincinnati Bengals
    14
    +7.0
    34.5
    17.5
    4.5
    15.0
    7.8
    15.4
    5.0
     Chicago Bears
    34
    -2.5
    21.0
    18.1
    31.8
    18.7
    34.6
     Kansas City Chiefs
    21
    +2.5
    34.0
    19.5
    2.7
    13.8
    4.3
    15.9
    2.8
     Friday, August 23ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
     Jacksonville Jaguars
    31
    -7.5
    22.0
    21.3
    36.2
    18.7
    32.0
     Atlanta Falcons
    0
    +7.5
    35.0
    19.0
    4.9
    14.9
    6.5
    13.3
    5.4
     Miami Dolphins
    14
    +3.0
    20.5
    13.5
    32.6
    16.5
    34.6
     Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    24
    -3.0
    37.5
    18.5
    -2.1
    19.0
    -5.5
    18.2
    -1.7
     San Francisco 49ers
    24
    -8.0
    18.0
    16.1
    32.8
    18.2
    36.1
     Las Vegas Raiders
    24
    +8.0
    33.5
    19.0
    0.9
    16.7
    -0.5
    17.9
    0.3
     Saturday, August 24ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
     Carolina Panthers
    31
    -5.5
    16.0
    15.4
    30.4
    14.7
    30.7
     Buffalo Bills
    26
    +5.5
    30.5
    20.0
    -2.2
    15.0
    0.4
    16.0
    -1.4
     Los Angeles Rams
    15
    +4.0
    15.0
    11.7
    30.0
    12.9
    33.7
     Houston Texans
    17
    -4.0
    33.5
    22.0
    -8.1
    18.3
    -6.7
    20.8
    -7.9
     Minnesota Vikings
    26
    +3.0
    17.5
    16.5
    32.1
    16.3
    35.3
     Philadelphia Eagles
    3
    -3.0
    34.5
    20.5
    -2.0
    15.6
    1.0
    19.0
    -2.8
     Pittsburgh Steelers
    17
    -7.0
    19.0
    20.3
    35.1
    18.8
    34.4
     Detroit Lions
    24
    +7.0
    35.5
    17.5
    3.2
    14.8
    5.6
    15.6
    3.3
     Baltimore Ravens
    7
    +2.5
    19.5
    13.4
    32.0
    16.8
    35.3
     Green Bay Packers
    30
    -2.5
    32.5
    18.5
    -2.1
    18.6
    -5.2
    18.5
    -1.7
     Los Angeles Chargers
    26
    +4.5
    16.5
    14.6
    31.0
    15.4
    31.3
     Dallas Cowboys
    19
    -4.5
    33.0
    18.0
    -2.2
    16.4
    -1.8
    15.9
    -0.5
     New York Giants
    6
    -3.0
    18.5
    16.8
    32.0
    16.6
    32.1
     New York Jets
    10
    +3.0
    31.5
    20.0
    0.5
    15.2
    1.6
    15.6
    1.0
     Cleveland Browns
    33
    +5.0
    18.5
    21.4
    38.8
    17.9
    36.6
     Seattle Seahawks
    37
    -5.0
    36.0
    20.0
    -0.3
    17.4
    3.9
    18.7
    -0.8
     Sunday, August 25ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
     Tennessee Titans
    30
    -6.0
    19.5
    17.7
    33.0
    18.3
    35.0
     New Orleans Saints
    27
    +6.0
    37.5
    19.5
    1.0
    15.3
    2.3
    16.7
    1.6
     Arizona Cardinals
    12
    +3.0
    18.5
    16.6
    34.9
    15.9
    36.5
     Denver Broncos
    38
    -3.0
    35.0
    21.5
    -4.4
    18.3
    -1.8
    20.6
    -4.7
     New England Patriots
    10
    -6.5
    20.5
    18.4
    31.7
    18.7
    32.3
     Wash Commanders
    20
    +6.5
    36.5
    18.0
    3.6
    13.3
    5.1
    13.6
    5.1

    The Power Ratings (PR) are Steve's own manually adjusted ratings updated after every game based upon analysis of live action and box scores. The Power Rating line is reflective of each team's rating and factors in home-field advantage as well as any injury or situational adjustments.

    The Effective Strength Ratings (EffStr or ES) are purely statistical ratings, using the teams' key stats against schedule strength and their previous opponents' averages. These are also adjusted for any key injuries the team had endured or faced against.

    The Bettors Ratings (BtrRtg) are a quantified interpretation of how bettors perceive teams based upon how lines of recent games have moved and closed.

    TIP  Click on team logo to view Betting Splits for game.

    Key points:
    1) On injuries situations where a key line move player is listed as doubtful or out, Steve has already built the adjustments into the ratings. Where the player is questionable or probable, Steve has not, so if that player ends up missing then you need to account for those on your own.

    2) Each morning, Steve goes back and makes postgame adjustments to the ratings based upon results, closing lines, and injuries for the purpose of future numbers.

    3) Point spread projections (proj) are built for the home team.

    How to use these Ratings:
    You want to compare the three different strength ratings to the actual line when it is posted.

    If there is a difference of 3 points or more between a point spread generated by the Rating vs. the actual line at DraftKings Sportsbook, we have marked the game with an star.

    The question you want to ask yourself: Did one of the Strength Ratings identify an opportunity that the betting market missed? If so, you may want to consider that play.

    Questions? Email bill@vsin.com