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    3. Steve Makinen's Weekly Ratings

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    Makinen Weekly Ratings

    DraftKingsPower RatingsEffective StrengthBettor Rating
     Thursday, August 20ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
    Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders
    22
    -1.5
    18.0
    19.0
    39.2
    18.3
    39.3
    Houston Texans Houston Texans
    20
    +1.5
    39.5
    19.0
    -1.5
    20.3
    -1.3
    21.1
    -2.8
    San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers
    41
    +1.5
    17.5
    17.0
    37.4
    19.8
    43.4
    Los Angeles Chargers Los Angeles Chargers
    17
    -1.5
    38.5
    20.5
    -3.4
    20.4
    -3.4
    23.6
    -3.9
     Friday, August 21ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
    New York Jets New York Jets
    -1.5
    18.5
    18.6
    40.1
    19.0
    40.1
    Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers
    +1.5
    37.5
    21.0
    -2.8
    21.5
    -3.0
    21.1
    -2.2
    Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers
    -1.5
    17.0
    17.6
    36.8
    20.6
    41.7
    Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars
    +1.5
    36.5
    18.5
    -1.8
    19.2
    -1.6
    21.2
    -0.6
    Green Bay Packers Green Bay Packers
    +6.0
    19.5
    17.7
    40.0
    19.5
    41.8
    Denver Broncos Denver Broncos
    -6.0
    41.5
    23.5
    -4.6
    22.3
    -4.6
    22.4
    -2.9
     Saturday, August 22ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
    Wash Commanders Wash Commanders
    +1.5
    17.5
    16.8
    37.2
    17.1
    37.1
    Detroit Lions Detroit Lions
    -1.5
    36.5
    17.5
    -3.4
    20.4
    -3.6
    20.0
    -3.0
    Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills
    +3.0
    20.5
    19.0
    42.2
    19.9
    40.9
    Cleveland Browns Cleveland Browns
    -3.0
    36.5
    18.5
    -1.3
    23.3
    -4.3
    21.1
    -1.2
    Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons
    +3.5
    14.5
    17.8
    38.8
    18.2
    38.6
    Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts
    -3.5
    36.5
    20.0
    -3.3
    21.0
    -3.2
    20.4
    -2.2
    Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens
    +3.5
    20.0
    17.3
    36.3
    16.7
    35.4
    Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
    -3.5
    36.5
    20.5
    -1.9
    19.0
    -1.8
    18.7
    -2.0
    New York Giants New York Giants
    -3.0
    20.0
    21.4
    40.2
    21.8
    39.1
    Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins
    +3.0
    36.5
    19.0
    2.5
    18.8
    2.7
    17.3
    4.6
    New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints
    -1.5
    18.0
    19.0
    35.3
    21.5
    40.5
    Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams
    +1.5
    37.5
    18.0
    2.6
    16.3
    2.7
    19.0
    2.5
    Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles
    -1.5
    19.0
    20.9
    40.6
    20.5
    40.0
    New England Patriots New England Patriots
    +1.5
    36.5
    20.5
    1.2
    19.7
    1.2
    19.6
    0.9
    Chicago Bears Chicago Bears
    -1.5
    21.5
    23.2
    44.1
    23.5
    43.8
    Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati Bengals
    +1.5
    36.5
    19.0
    2.3
    21.0
    2.2
    20.4
    3.1
    Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs
    +5.5
    17.5
    16.3
    37.1
    19.1
    41.4
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    -5.5
    37.5
    18.5
    -4.5
    20.8
    -4.5
    22.3
    -3.3
    Dallas Cowboys Dallas Cowboys
    +1.5
    18.5
    18.9
    39.0
    20.2
    40.8
    Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals
    -1.5
    37.5
    18.0
    -1.0
    20.0
    -1.1
    20.6
    -0.4
     Sunday, August 23ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
    Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks
    +4.5
    19.0
    17.5
    40.0
    17.1
    38.8
    Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
    -4.5
    38.5
    20.5
    -5.2
    22.5
    -5.1
    21.7
    -4.7

    The Power Ratings (PR) are Steve's own manually adjusted ratings updated after every game based upon analysis of live action and box scores. The Power Rating line is reflective of each team's rating and factors in home-field advantage as well as any injury or situational adjustments.

    The Effective Strength Ratings (EffStr or ES) are purely statistical ratings, using the teams' key stats against schedule strength and their previous opponents' averages. These are also adjusted for any key injuries the team had endured or faced against.

    The Bettors Ratings (BtrRtg) are a quantified interpretation of how bettors perceive teams based upon how lines of recent games have moved and closed.

    TIP  Click on team logo to view Betting Splits for game.

    Key points:
    1) On injuries situations where a key line move player is listed as doubtful or out, Steve has already built the adjustments into the ratings. Where the player is questionable or probable, Steve has not, so if that player ends up missing then you need to account for those on your own.

    2) Each morning, Steve goes back and makes postgame adjustments to the ratings based upon results, closing lines, and injuries for the purpose of future numbers.

    3) Point spread projections (proj) are built for the home team.

    How to use these Ratings:
    You want to compare the three different strength ratings to the actual line when it is posted.

    If there is a difference of 3 points or more between a point spread generated by the Rating vs. the actual line at DraftKings Sportsbook, we have marked the game with an star.

    The question you want to ask yourself: Did one of the Strength Ratings identify an opportunity that the betting market missed? If so, you may want to consider that play.

    Questions? Email bill@vsin.com