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    3. Steve Makinen's Weekly Ratings

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    Makinen Weekly Ratings

    DraftKingsPower RatingsEffective StrengthBettor Rating
     Thursday, August 13ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
    Detroit Lions Detroit Lions
    +7.0
    17.5
    15.9
    38.9
    16.9
    38.9
    Cincinnati Bengals Cincinnati Bengals
    -7.0
    38.5
    19.0
    -4.7
    23.0
    -7.1
    22.1
    -5.2
    Green Bay Packers Green Bay Packers
    -1.5
    20.0
    19.1
    37.2
    20.2
    37.7
    Pittsburgh Steelers Pittsburgh Steelers
    +1.5
    39.5
    20.5
    1.1
    18.1
    1.0
    17.6
    2.6
    Indianapolis Colts Indianapolis Colts
    -3.0
    20.0
    19.0
    37.4
    18.4
    37.0
    New England Patriots New England Patriots
    +3.0
    37.5
    20.5
    0.6
    18.5
    0.5
    18.6
    -0.2
    Los Angeles Chargers Los Angeles Chargers
    +1.5
    19.5
    17.1
    36.1
    17.0
    35.9
    Houston Texans Houston Texans
    -1.5
    36.5
    20.0
    -2.0
    19.0
    -2.0
    18.9
    -2.0
    Arizona Cardinals Arizona Cardinals
    -1.5
    17.0
    19.6
    40.7
    20.2
    40.9
    Las Vegas Raiders Las Vegas Raiders
    +1.5
    40.5
    18.5
    -2.0
    21.1
    -1.5
    20.7
    -0.6
    Tennessee Titans Tennessee Titans
    -4.5
    19.0
    20.8
    39.2
    22.0
    38.9
    San Francisco 49ers San Francisco 49ers
    +4.5
    39.5
    18.0
    3.1
    18.3
    2.5
    16.9
    5.2
     Friday, August 14ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    +6.0
    18.0
    16.5
    37.2
    15.9
    36.6
    New York Jets New York Jets
    -6.0
    35.5
    19.0
    -4.5
    20.7
    -4.3
    20.7
    -4.8
    Miami Dolphins Miami Dolphins
    -2.5
    20.5
    20.3
    37.5
    21.3
    37.4
    Wash Commanders Wash Commanders
    +2.5
    36.5
    16.5
    5.2
    17.2
    3.2
    16.1
    5.3
    Denver Broncos Denver Broncos
    -5.5
    23.0
    22.4
    39.1
    23.0
    38.9
    Atlanta Falcons Atlanta Falcons
    +5.5
    38.5
    15.0
    5.7
    16.8
    5.6
    15.9
    7.1
     Saturday, August 15ScoreLineOUPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
    Carolina Panthers Carolina Panthers
    +1.5
    17.5
    17.6
    35.6
    19.3
    38.9
    Buffalo Bills Buffalo Bills
    -1.5
    37.5
    20.0
    0.2
    18.1
    -0.5
    19.7
    -0.4
    Minnesota Vikings Minnesota Vikings
    -1.5
    19.0
    17.8
    38.8
    16.4
    36.8
    New York Giants New York Giants
    +1.5
    41.5
    21.5
    -3.1
    21.0
    -3.3
    20.4
    -4.0
    Cleveland Browns Cleveland Browns
    -1.5
    19.0
    18.8
    37.1
    19.8
    38.4
    Chicago Bears Chicago Bears
    +1.5
    39.5
    21.0
    0.6
    18.2
    0.6
    18.6
    1.2
    Los Angeles Rams Los Angeles Rams
    +2.5
    17.5
    17.9
    36.8
    18.1
    37.7
    Kansas City Chiefs Kansas City Chiefs
    -2.5
    36.5
    18.0
    -1.0
    18.9
    -1.1
    19.6
    -1.5
    Jacksonville Jaguars Jacksonville Jaguars
    +3.0
    18.5
    16.5
    36.0
    17.0
    36.2
    New Orleans Saints New Orleans Saints
    -3.0
    36.5
    18.0
    -2.8
    19.5
    -3.0
    19.3
    -2.3
    Philadelphia Eagles Philadelphia Eagles
    -3.0
    19.0
    20.2
    37.0
    19.3
    36.5
    Baltimore Ravens Baltimore Ravens
    +3.0
    36.5
    20.0
    1.6
    16.8
    3.4
    17.3
    2.0
    Dallas Cowboys Dallas Cowboys
    +3.5
    18.0
    18.3
    39.6
    18.0
    39.4
    Seattle Seahawks Seattle Seahawks
    -3.5
    39.5
    19.5
    -3.1
    21.3
    -3.1
    21.4
    -3.4

    The Power Ratings (PR) are Steve's own manually adjusted ratings updated after every game based upon analysis of live action and box scores. The Power Rating line is reflective of each team's rating and factors in home-field advantage as well as any injury or situational adjustments.

    The Effective Strength Ratings (EffStr or ES) are purely statistical ratings, using the teams' key stats against schedule strength and their previous opponents' averages. These are also adjusted for any key injuries the team had endured or faced against.

    The Bettors Ratings (BtrRtg) are a quantified interpretation of how bettors perceive teams based upon how lines of recent games have moved and closed.

    TIP  Click on team logo to view Betting Splits for game.

    Key points:
    1) On injuries situations where a key line move player is listed as doubtful or out, Steve has already built the adjustments into the ratings. Where the player is questionable or probable, Steve has not, so if that player ends up missing then you need to account for those on your own.

    2) Each morning, Steve goes back and makes postgame adjustments to the ratings based upon results, closing lines, and injuries for the purpose of future numbers.

    3) Point spread projections (proj) are built for the home team.

    How to use these Ratings:
    You want to compare the three different strength ratings to the actual line when it is posted.

    If there is a difference of 3 points or more between a point spread generated by the Rating vs. the actual line at DraftKings Sportsbook, we have marked the game with an star.

    The question you want to ask yourself: Did one of the Strength Ratings identify an opportunity that the betting market missed? If so, you may want to consider that play.

    Questions? Email bill@vsin.com