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    3. Steve Makinen's Daily Ratings

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    Makinen Daily Ratings

    DraftKingsPower RatingsEffective StrengthBettor Rating
     Sunday, January 4FinalLineOURestPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
     Creighton
    54
    +3.5
    4
    82.0
    69.5
    141.5
    69.8
    140.1
     Seton Hall
    56
    -3.5
    143.5
    4
    81.5
    -2.2
    72.0
    -2.5
    70.4
    -0.6
     Richmond
    83
    -2.5
    3
    74.0
    70.1
    139.7
    70.4
    138.7
     Fordham
    75
    +2.5
    142.5
    3
    70.0
    2.9
    69.6
    0.5
    68.4
    2.0
     Sacred Heart
    78
    -5.5
    1
    63.0
    71.8
    142.1
    72.7
    140.3
     Canisius
    82
    +5.5
    141.5
    1
    58.0
    2.2
    70.3
    1.5
    67.6
    5.1
     Manhattan
    66
    +6.5
    1
    61.0
    70.5
    147.0
    71.3
    147.8
     Merrimack
    73
    -6.5
    148.5
    1
    65.5
    -7.2
    76.5
    -6.0
    76.5
    -5.2
     FL Atlantic
    66
    -3.5
    3
    76.0
    78.8
    154.3
    77.9
    153.0
     Tulane
    69
    +3.5
    158.5
    3
    69.0
    3.6
    75.4
    3.4
    75.1
    2.8
     UAB
    109
    +8.5
    3
    75.5
    77.7
    161.9
    76.8
    161.5
     South Florida
    106
    -8.5
    163.5
    5
    80.0
    -7.5
    84.2
    -6.5
    84.8
    -8.0
     Denver
    88
    +11.5
    0
    65.5
    74.6
    159.6
    76.1
    160.3
     ST Thomas-MN
    92
    -11.5
    163.5
    0
    71.5
    -9.3
    85.0
    -10.4
    84.3
    -8.2
     Sam Houston ST
    67
    +4.5
    1
    74.0
    75.5
    155.3
    75.9
    157.4
     Middle Tenn ST
    68
    -4.5
    156.5
    1
    74.0
    -3.7
    79.8
    -4.3
    81.5
    -5.6
     Iona
    38
    +4.5
    1
    69.5
    72.2
    148.2
    70.0
    146.3
     Marist
    83
    -4.5
    148.5
    1
    70.5
    -3.9
    76.0
    -3.8
    76.4
    -6.4
     Fairfield
    83
    -3.5
    1
    63.5
    71.6
    138.7
    71.0
    138.7
     Niagara
    75
    +3.5
    138.5
    1
    58.0
    3.5
    67.2
    4.4
    67.7
    3.3
     Marquette
    57
    +17.5
    4
    75.0
    62.5
    144.2
    62.6
    143.5
     Connecticut
    73
    -17.5
    144.5
    3
    92.5
    -20.3
    81.7
    -19.1
    81.0
    -18.4
     Kennesaw ST
    52
    -8.5
    1
    72.0
    78.2
    150.0
    79.0
    151.4
     Delaware
    67
    +8.5
    148.5
    1
    61.5
    8.1
    71.8
    6.3
    72.5
    6.5
     Jacksonville ST
    69
    +9.5
    1
    66.5
    62.0
    133.5
    61.5
    134.1
     Liberty
    78
    -9.5
    134.5
    1
    76.5
    -12.1
    71.6
    -9.6
    72.7
    -11.2
     Wright ST
    81
    -8.5
    2
    72.5
    84.3
    163.9
    87.7
    164.9
     IUPUI
    77
    +8.5
    162.5
    2
    57.5
    12.3
    79.6
    4.6
    77.3
    10.4
     Siena
    74
    -8.5
    1
    70.0
    71.7
    134.6
    69.9
    130.5
     Rider
    65
    +8.5
    135.5
    5
    58.0
    9.2
    62.8
    8.9
    60.7
    9.2
     MT ST Marys
    69
    +7.5
    1
    62.0
    69.8
    149.5
    68.7
    148.9
     Quinnipiac
    80
    -7.5
    150.5
    1
    70.5
    -10.8
    79.7
    -9.9
    80.2
    -11.5
     Cleveland ST
    71
    +11.5
    5
    58.5
    75.7
    159.3
    73.9
    158.5
     IPFW
    74
    -11.5
    159.5
    2
    65.5
    -10.0
    83.6
    -7.9
    84.6
    -10.7
     New Mexico ST
    82
    +1.5
    1
    72.0
    67.2
    133.2
    67.9
    135.0
     Missouri ST
    89
    -1.5
    134.5
    1
    68.0
    1.1
    66.1
    1.1
    67.1
    0.8
     Louisiana Tech
    61
    +9.5
    1
    67.0
    66.4
    143.2
    67.0
    142.6
     W Kentucky
    66
    -9.5
    145.5
    1
    72.0
    -8.3
    76.9
    -10.5
    75.6
    -8.6
     Robert Morris
    73
    +1.5
    1
    69.0
    78.5
    161.6
    78.3
    161.6
     Oakland
    96
    -1.5
    161.5
    2
    71.0
    -4.2
    83.1
    -4.6
    83.4
    -5.1
     Tulsa
    67
    -2.5
    3
    79.5
    71.4
    140.0
    70.1
    138.5
     North Texas
    72
    +2.5
    138.5
    3
    72.0
    3.8
    68.6
    2.8
    68.5
    1.6
     Youngstown ST
    79
    +4.5
    2
    70.0
    70.9
    146.3
    71.8
    146.2
     N Kentucky
    94
    -4.5
    146.5
    2
    68.0
    -0.7
    75.4
    -4.5
    74.5
    -2.7
     N Iowa
    62
    -4.5
    2
    76.5
    69.2
    129.4
    67.5
    126.7
     Evansville
    48
    +4.5
    131.5
    2
    64.5
    9.1
    60.2
    9.1
    59.2
    8.3
     Texas-El Paso
    64
    +6.5
    1
    65.0
    71.1
    150.9
    71.6
    150.1
     Florida INTL
    76
    -6.5
    152.5
    1
    71.0
    -9.2
    79.8
    -8.8
    78.6
    -7.0
     Indiana ST
    72
    +6.5
    2
    69.0
    69.1
    145.2
    69.7
    144.5
     Drake
    74
    -6.5
    149.5
    5
    71.5
    -5.7
    76.1
    -7.0
    74.8
    -5.1
     Illinois-Chicago
    59
    +2.5
    2
    68.5
    70.8
    144.3
    70.8
    142.2
     Valparaiso
    66
    -2.5
    144.5
    2
    69.0
    -3.2
    73.5
    -2.8
    71.4
    -0.6
     S Illinois
    68
    +6.5
    2
    74.0
    77.2
    161.6
    75.5
    160.7
     Belmont
    67
    -6.5
    158.5
    2
    79.0
    -8.3
    84.4
    -7.3
    85.3
    -9.8
     Bradley
    66
    +5.5
    2
    74.5
    78.0
    161.6
    78.7
    161.0
     Murray ST
    86
    -5.5
    162.5
    2
    78.0
    -5.9
    83.6
    -5.7
    82.4
    -3.7
     Portland
    68
    +11.5
    1
    66.0
    67.7
    146.2
    66.6
    144.7
     San Francisco
    73
    -11.5
    147.5
    1
    76.0
    -11.4
    78.5
    -10.8
    78.2
    -11.6
     Pepperdine
    69
    +11.5
    1
    65.0
    63.0
    137.8
    63.0
    136.9
     Pacific
    74
    -11.5
    138.5
    1
    73.5
    -12.0
    74.8
    -11.8
    74.0
    -11.0
     San Diego
    70
    +17.5
    1
    68.0
    71.5
    158.0
    72.1
    160.1
     Santa Clara
    98
    -17.5
    161.5
    1
    80.0
    -15.0
    86.5
    -15.0
    88.1
    -16.0
     Oregon ST
    67
    +6.5
    1
    68.5
    67.5
    142.8
    68.1
    142.4
     Washington ST
    81
    -6.5
    140.5
    1
    70.5
    -5.9
    75.3
    -7.7
    74.4
    -6.3
     Washington
    80
    +8.5
    5
    83.0
    70.6
    150.2
    69.2
    148.9
     Indiana
    90
    -8.5
    152.5
    12
    88.0
    -10.7
    79.6
    -9.0
    79.7
    -10.5
     Seattle U
    76
    +11.5
    1
    75.0
    63.8
    140.4
    62.2
    138.4
     ST Marys
    93
    -11.5
    139.5
    1
    85.0
    -13.4
    76.6
    -12.8
    76.2
    -14.0
     Loyola-Marymount
    47
    +25.5
    1
    74.0
    65.8
    153.7
    63.8
    151.3
     Gonzaga
    82
    -25.5
    153.5
    1
    96.0
    -25.4
    87.9
    -22.0
    87.6
    -23.8
     New Haven
    61
    +7.5
    1
    60.0
    59.2
    127.5
    60.5
    128.6
     C Conn ST
    72
    -7.5
    130.5
    1
    65.0
    -6.9
    68.3
    -9.1
    68.2
    -7.7
     LIU-Brooklyn
    74
    -7.5
    1
    68.0
    79.8
    152.3
    80.2
    153.7
     Chicago ST
    55
    +7.5
    151.5
    1
    58.0
    6.6
    72.5
    7.3
    73.5
    6.7
     Lemoyne
    60
    +2.5
    1
    63.0
    71.8
    143.0
    69.3
    140.9
     Mercyhurst
    74
    -2.5
    141.5
    1
    60.5
    -0.3
    71.3
    0.5
    71.6
    -2.3
     Stonehill
    69
    +7.5
    1
    57.0
    65.6
    140.4
    65.3
    138.0
     Wagner
    60
    -7.5
    139.5
    1
    63.0
    -9.0
    74.8
    -9.2
    72.7
    -7.4
     Fairleigh Dickinson
    82
    -2.5
    1
    56.5
    73.0
    144.1
    74.6
    146.1
     ST Francis-PA
    85
    +2.5
    143.5
    1
    51.0
    3.1
    71.1
    1.9
    71.6
    3.0

    The Power Ratings (PR) are Steve's own manually adjusted ratings updated after every game based upon analysis of live action and box scores. The Power Rating line is reflective of each team's rating and factors in home-field advantage as well as any injury or situational adjustments.

    The Effective Strength Ratings (EffStr or ES) are purely statistical ratings, using the teams' key stats against schedule strength and their previous opponents' averages. These are also adjusted for any key injuries the team had endured or faced against.

    The Bettors Ratings (BtrRtg) are a quantified interpretation of how bettors perceive teams based upon how lines of recent games have moved and closed.

    TIP  Click on team logo to view Betting Splits for game.

    Key points:
    1) On injuries situations where a key line move player is listed as doubtful or out, Steve has already built the adjustments into the ratings. Where the player is questionable or probable, Steve has not, so if that player ends up missing then you need to account for those on your own.

    2) Each morning, Steve goes back and makes postgame adjustments to the ratings based upon results, closing lines, and injuries for the purpose of future numbers.

    3) Point spread projections (proj) are built for the home team.

    How to use these Ratings:
    You want to compare the three different strength ratings to the actual line when it is posted.

    If there is a difference of 3 points or more between a point spread generated by the Rating vs. the actual line at DraftKings Sportsbook, we have marked the game with an star.

    The question you want to ask yourself: Did one of the Strength Ratings identify an opportunity that the betting market missed? If so, you may want to consider that play.

    Questions? Email bill@vsin.com