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    3. Steve Makinen's Daily Ratings

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    Makinen Daily Ratings

    DraftKingsPower RatingsEffective StrengthBettor Rating
     Monday, February 2FinalLineOURestPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
     Syracuse
    77
    +11.5
    1
    79.5
    71.9
    155.3
    72.8
    155.6
     North Carolina
    87
    -11.5
    158.5
    1
    87.0
    -10.6
    83.4
    -11.5
    82.8
    -10.0
    Pro Picks at a Glance - ( Wes Reynolds ) Team Total - Syracuse UNDER (73.5) (-110) at North Carolina
     Tennessee Tech
    90
    +7.5
    1
    59.5
    71.9
    153.3
    72.3
    153.1
     Tennessee ST
    85
    -7.5
    153.5
    3
    66.0
    -9.2
    81.4
    -9.4
    80.8
    -8.5
     Kansas
    64
    +3.5
    1
    90.0
    75.7
    155.1
    73.9
    151.7
     Texas Tech
    61
    -3.5
    155.5
    1
    88.5
    -1.6
    79.4
    -3.7
    77.8
    -3.9
     Idaho ST
    65
    +7.5
    1
    69.0
    66.0
    137.6
    66.3
    136.9
     Portland ST
    88
    -7.5
    136.5
    1
    72.0
    -5.4
    71.6
    -5.6
    70.7
    -4.4
     Weber ST
    90
    +1.5
    1
    68.5
    80.3
    163.0
    82.3
    163.3
     Sacramento ST
    104
    -1.5
    162.5
    1
    65.0
    3.0
    82.7
    -2.4
    81.1
    1.2
     Boston U
    72
    -2.5
    1
    63.5
    70.4
    138.4
    70.5
    140.0
     Holy Cross
    64
    +2.5
    139.5
    1
    59.5
    1.9
    68.1
    2.3
    69.5
    1.0
     Florida A&M
    66
    +3.5
    1
    60.0
    70.3
    143.9
    70.1
    144.3
     Alabama ST
    79
    -3.5
    139.5
    1
    60.0
    -2.0
    73.6
    -3.3
    74.2
    -4.1
     SE Louisiana
    54
    +5.5
    1
    64.5
    63.5
    133.4
    63.4
    131.5
     Lamar
    73
    -5.5
    132.5
    1
    68.5
    -6.5
    69.9
    -6.5
    68.1
    -4.7
     McNeese ST
    60
    -2.5
    1
    79.0
    70.9
    141.5
    72.3
    142.4
     Stephen F Austin
    67
    +2.5
    141.5
    1
    76.5
    0.4
    70.6
    0.3
    70.2
    2.1
     New Orleans
    94
    -1.5
    1
    68.5
    76.1
    151.9
    77.0
    150.8
     East Texas A&M
    85
    +1.5
    151.5
    1
    62.5
    3.3
    75.8
    0.2
    73.8
    3.2
     Nicholls ST
    61
    -1.5
    1
    65.5
    73.3
    146.3
    73.9
    146.1
     Northwestern ST
    58
    +1.5
    147.5
    1
    63.0
    -0.4
    73.0
    0.3
    72.3
    1.6
     Houston Christian
    57
    +9.5
    1
    62.5
    64.9
    139.9
    65.6
    139.9
     UTRGV
    74
    -9.5
    141.5
    1
    70.5
    -10.6
    75.0
    -10.2
    74.4
    -8.8
     Southern U
    96
    -5.5
    1
    64.0
    78.5
    153.1
    78.2
    152.3
     Jackson ST
    91
    +5.5
    152.5
    1
    56.5
    5.3
    74.6
    3.8
    74.1
    4.1
     MD-E Shore
    63
    +3.5
    1
    58.5
    67.5
    136.3
    65.1
    133.0
     NC Central
    65
    -3.5
    134.5
    15
    57.0
    -1.4
    68.9
    -1.4
    67.9
    -2.8
     Grambling ST
    74
    -5.5
    1
    63.5
    75.4
    143.1
    74.7
    143.2
     Alcorn ST
    50
    +5.5
    143.5
    1
    56.0
    4.9
    67.7
    7.7
    68.6
    6.1
     Bethune-Cookman
    80
    -2.5
    1
    67.0
    72.2
    142.2
    72.5
    143.6
     Alabama A&M
    62
    +2.5
    141.5
    1
    63.0
    0.5
    70.0
    2.3
    71.2
    1.3
     Incarnate Word
    71
    +4.5
    1
    65.0
    66.4
    139.4
    66.4
    138.1
     Texas A&M CC
    69
    -4.5
    140.5
    1
    68.5
    -7.0
    73.0
    -6.6
    71.7
    -5.3
     Howard
    72
    -14.5
    1
    64.5
    80.6
    148.0
    80.2
    147.8
     Coppin ST
    53
    +14.5
    146.5
    1
    48.0
    13.5
    67.5
    13.1
    67.7
    12.5

    The Power Ratings (PR) are Steve's own manually adjusted ratings updated after every game based upon analysis of live action and box scores. The Power Rating line is reflective of each team's rating and factors in home-field advantage as well as any injury or situational adjustments.

    The Effective Strength Ratings (EffStr or ES) are purely statistical ratings, using the teams' key stats against schedule strength and their previous opponents' averages. These are also adjusted for any key injuries the team had endured or faced against.

    The Bettors Ratings (BtrRtg) are a quantified interpretation of how bettors perceive teams based upon how lines of recent games have moved and closed.

    TIP  Click on team logo to view Betting Splits for game.

    Key points:
    1) On injuries situations where a key line move player is listed as doubtful or out, Steve has already built the adjustments into the ratings. Where the player is questionable or probable, Steve has not, so if that player ends up missing then you need to account for those on your own.

    2) Each morning, Steve goes back and makes postgame adjustments to the ratings based upon results, closing lines, and injuries for the purpose of future numbers.

    3) Point spread projections (proj) are built for the home team.

    How to use these Ratings:
    You want to compare the three different strength ratings to the actual line when it is posted.

    If there is a difference of 3 points or more between a point spread generated by the Rating vs. the actual line at DraftKings Sportsbook, we have marked the game with an star.

    The question you want to ask yourself: Did one of the Strength Ratings identify an opportunity that the betting market missed? If so, you may want to consider that play.

    Questions? Email bill@vsin.com