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    3. Steve Makinen's Daily Ratings

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    Makinen Daily Ratings

    DraftKingsPower RatingsEffective StrengthBettor Rating
     Sunday, December 7FinalLineOURestPRLineScoreProjEdgeScoreProjEdge
     Fairfield
    63
    +3.5
    1
    63.5
    69.4
    141.8
    68.8
    141.5
     Merrimack
    74
    -3.5
    144.5
    2
    64.0
    -3.4
    72.4
    -3.0
    72.7
    -3.9
     S Indiana
    55
    +10.5
    3
    60.0
    74.1
    158.1
    71.6
    155.9
     Indiana ST
    77
    -10.5
    158.5
    4
    67.5
    -11.2
    84.0
    -9.9
    84.4
    -12.8
     Missouri
    60
    +5.5
    4
    84.5
    72.2
    150.3
    73.5
    150.8
     Kansas
    80
    -5.5
    150.5
    4
    88.0
    -6.9
    78.1
    -5.9
    77.3
    -3.8
     Weber ST
    65
    +7.5
    3
    69.5
    75.7
    155.4
    75.6
    157.0
     ST Thomas-MN
    88
    -7.5
    154.5
    3
    69.0
    -3.0
    79.7
    -4.0
    81.4
    -5.8
     Illinois-Chicago
    66
    +12.5
    3
    68.0
    69.8
    153.1
    69.5
    152.3
     Yale
    80
    -12.5
    148.5
    3
    79.0
    -14.8
    83.4
    -13.6
    82.8
    -13.3
     Niagara
    43
    +5.5
    1
    57.5
    63.6
    132.6
    62.2
    131.8
     ST Peters
    71
    -5.5
    131.5
    1
    61.0
    -5.8
    68.9
    -5.3
    69.6
    -7.4
     Utah ST
    79
    -10.5
    2
    83.0
    76.3
    140.9
    77.2
    142.8
     Charlotte
    53
    +10.5
    139.5
    4
    68.5
    11.2
    64.6
    11.7
    65.7
    11.5
     Iona
    81
    +1.5
    1
    69.5
    82.5
    163.8
    81.7
    164.3
     Sacred Heart
    69
    -1.5
    163.5
    3
    65.5
    0.9
    81.3
    1.3
    82.6
    -0.9
     Manhattan
    68
    +7.5
    1
    61.0
    65.5
    141.1
    65.2
    139.7
     Marist
    80
    -7.5
    140.5
    1
    71.0
    -12.1
    75.6
    -10.1
    74.6
    -9.4
     Rider
    58
    +14.5
    2
    58.0
    66.8
    148.1
    65.5
    146.5
     Quinnipiac
    72
    -14.5
    147.5
    1
    71.5
    -15.8
    81.3
    -14.5
    81.1
    -15.6
     Canisius
    52
    +17.5
    1
    57.0
    57.0
    129.3
    55.6
    127.5
     Siena
    74
    -17.5
    131.5
    1
    71.0
    -16.8
    72.3
    -15.2
    71.9
    -16.3
     Texas-San Antonio
    55
    +33.5
    6
    64.0
    66.2
    166.4
    68.0
    165.9
     Alabama
    97
    -33.5
    171.5
    3
    92.5
    -32.7
    100.2
    -34.1
    98.0
    -30.0
     ST Marys
    70
    -8.5
    8
    84.0
    74.7
    138.6
    74.4
    139.3
     Davidson
    61
    +8.5
    137.5
    2
    72.5
    9.0
    63.9
    10.8
    64.9
    9.5
     LSU
    58
    +5.5
    3
    86.0
    74.9
    151.0
    74.4
    152.7
     Texas Tech
    82
    -5.5
    154.5
    6
    86.5
    -0.6
    76.0
    -1.1
    78.3
    -3.9
     C Michigan
    65
    +24.5
    4
    62.5
    66.0
    155.1
    65.6
    155.0
     Saint Louis
    107
    -24.5
    160.5
    4
    84.0
    -24.4
    89.1
    -23.0
    89.4
    -23.8
     UNLV
    75
    +9.5
    9
    73.0
    78.7
    166.2
    79.3
    165.5
     Stanford
    74
    -9.5
    164.5
    5
    78.5
    -8.7
    87.5
    -8.9
    86.3
    -7.0
     Hofstra
    80
    +8.5
    3
    73.0
    64.3
    135.2
    62.9
    135.0
     Pittsburgh
    73
    -8.5
    134.5
    4
    76.5
    -6.9
    70.9
    -6.6
    72.2
    -9.3
     San Francisco
    65
    +4.5
    3
    75.5
    73.6
    149.3
    72.8
    149.4
     Mississippi ST
    62
    -4.5
    150.5
    3
    79.5
    -3.2
    75.6
    -2.0
    76.7
    -3.9
     Towson
    61
    +9.5
    3
    73.0
    69.6
    147.5
    68.0
    145.0
     C Florida
    86
    -9.5
    148.5
    7
    80.0
    -10.2
    77.8
    -8.2
    77.0
    -9.0
     Belmont
    83
    -3.5
    3
    78.0
    76.8
    152.0
    75.0
    150.7
     Middle Tenn ST
    62
    +3.5
    153.5
    5
    73.0
    0.6
    75.2
    1.6
    75.8
    -0.8
     Nevada
    78
    +2.5
    4
    76.0
    75.6
    148.4
    75.6
    148.8
     Washington ST
    64
    -2.5
    145.5
    4
    70.0
    2.2
    72.8
    2.8
    73.3
    2.3
     Creighton
    50
    +5.5
    4
    81.5
    74.6
    156.1
    73.8
    153.1
     Nebraska
    71
    -5.5
    155.5
    7
    84.0
    -5.6
    81.5
    -6.9
    79.4
    -5.6
     Georgetown
    61
    +10.5
    3
    77.5
    69.6
    150.4
    70.8
    153.3
     North Carolina
    81
    -10.5
    149.5
    4
    86.5
    -12.0
    80.7
    -11.1
    82.6
    -11.8
     Texas A&M
    80
    -1.5
    4
    83.0
    81.5
    163.4
    80.9
    164.4
     SMU
    93
    +1.5
    164.5
    3
    83.0
    -2.7
    81.9
    -0.4
    83.5
    -2.6
     UW-Green Bay
    58
    +6.5
    2
    64.0
    68.1
    144.7
    64.3
    138.1
     Wright ST
    86
    -6.5
    142.5
    3
    70.5
    -9.6
    76.6
    -8.5
    73.9
    -9.6
     TCU
    65
    -9.5
    1
    82.5
    70.4
    135.4
    69.9
    133.9
     North Texas
    55
    +9.5
    135.5
    4
    72.0
    7.3
    65.0
    5.4
    64.0
    5.9
     Cornell
    90
    +2.5
    3
    70.5
    83.7
    166.3
    82.8
    164.8
     Samford
    93
    -2.5
    166.5
    1
    66.0
    1.3
    82.6
    1.1
    82.1
    0.7
     Texas-El Paso
    68
    +12.5
    11
    66.0
    61.3
    133.5
    62.0
    134.2
     Seattle U
    75
    -12.5
    136.5
    3
    75.0
    -12.7
    72.2
    -10.9
    72.2
    -10.2
     Air Force
    56
    +9.5
    3
    61.0
    61.9
    134.4
    62.4
    134.7
     Navy
    61
    -9.5
    133.5
    3
    68.5
    -10.1
    72.4
    -10.5
    72.4
    -10.0
     C Conn ST
    56
    +1.5
    3
    66.0
    68.3
    139.2
    67.3
    139.1
     Northeastern
    73
    -1.5
    138.5
    3
    66.0
    -3.2
    70.9
    -2.6
    71.9
    -4.6
     FL Atlantic
    81
    -2.5
    6
    73.5
    79.0
    154.5
    78.3
    154.2
     FL Gulf Coast
    76
    +2.5
    150.5
    3
    69.5
    1.2
    75.4
    3.6
    76.0
    2.3
     Austin Peay
    50
    +2.5
    3
    69.5
    74.4
    151.2
    72.9
    147.5
     UTRGV
    63
    -2.5
    151.5
    3
    68.5
    -2.5
    76.8
    -2.4
    74.7
    -1.8
     ST Francis-PA
    56
    +13.5
    3
    55.0
    73.0
    157.1
    71.7
    155.9
     Radford
    89
    -13.5
    154.5
    3
    63.5
    -11.5
    84.1
    -11.2
    84.2
    -12.5
     Alabama ST
    64
    +6.5
    10
    64.0
    68.5
    145.1
    67.8
    142.7
     Tennessee-Martin
    74
    -6.5
    144.5
    4
    67.0
    -6.0
    76.7
    -8.2
    75.0
    -7.2
     LA Monroe
    76
    +19.5
    3
    54.5
    60.4
    140.3
    61.0
    142.7
     Stephen F Austin
    96
    -19.5
    142.5
    3
    72.5
    -21.3
    79.9
    -19.5
    81.7
    -20.7
     Northwestern ST
    76
    +7.5
    1
    61.0
    64.2
    134.3
    65.1
    134.6
     SE Louisiana
    68
    -7.5
    133.5
    7
    65.5
    -6.3
    70.0
    -5.8
    69.5
    -4.4
     Alabama A&M
    58
    +11.5
    3
    63.0
    66.6
    144.7
    66.7
    143.4
     Lipscomb
    92
    -11.5
    146.5
    3
    70.5
    -11.0
    78.1
    -11.5
    76.7
    -10.0
     C Arkansas
    68
    +2.5
    3
    65.5
    71.2
    143.4
    71.8
    143.1
     East Texas A&M
    75
    -2.5
    145.5
    1
    62.0
    0.6
    72.2
    -0.9
    71.4
    0.4
     N Florida
    58
    +42.5
    4
    57.0
    57.5
    163.9
    60.1
    165.0
     Gonzaga
    109
    -42.5
    166.5
    1
    97.5
    -44.2
    106.4
    -48.9
    105.0
    -44.9

    The Power Ratings (PR) are Steve's own manually adjusted ratings updated after every game based upon analysis of live action and box scores. The Power Rating line is reflective of each team's rating and factors in home-field advantage as well as any injury or situational adjustments.

    The Effective Strength Ratings (EffStr or ES) are purely statistical ratings, using the teams' key stats against schedule strength and their previous opponents' averages. These are also adjusted for any key injuries the team had endured or faced against.

    The Bettors Ratings (BtrRtg) are a quantified interpretation of how bettors perceive teams based upon how lines of recent games have moved and closed.

    TIP  Click on team logo to view Betting Splits for game.

    Key points:
    1) On injuries situations where a key line move player is listed as doubtful or out, Steve has already built the adjustments into the ratings. Where the player is questionable or probable, Steve has not, so if that player ends up missing then you need to account for those on your own.

    2) Each morning, Steve goes back and makes postgame adjustments to the ratings based upon results, closing lines, and injuries for the purpose of future numbers.

    3) Point spread projections (proj) are built for the home team.

    How to use these Ratings:
    You want to compare the three different strength ratings to the actual line when it is posted.

    If there is a difference of 3 points or more between a point spread generated by the Rating vs. the actual line at DraftKings Sportsbook, we have marked the game with an star.

    The question you want to ask yourself: Did one of the Strength Ratings identify an opportunity that the betting market missed? If so, you may want to consider that play.

    Questions? Email bill@vsin.com