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Ross-Ade Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Illinois	19	+1		2-2	0-4-0	1-2-1	22.3	27.3	26.1	52
Purdue	44	-1	53	1-3	1-3-0	2-2-0	24.0	32.3	25.9	0.1

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Illinois			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 23	VS FL Atlantic	-700	-15.5	45.5	23-17	W	L	U	72%	97%	87%	73%	26%	48%
3	Sep 16	VS Penn ST	+425	+14	47.5	13-30	L	L	U	3%	3%	18%	13%	79%	84%
2	Sep 8	at Kansas	+140	+3.5	57	23-34	L	L	P	25%	28%	48%	35%	65%	59%
1	Sep 2	VS Toledo	-290	-7.5	45.5	30-28	W	L	O	69%	87%	44%	55%	28%	58%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Purdue			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 22	VS Wisconsin	+205	+6	54	17-38	L	L	O	39%	20%	21%	34%	58%	55%
3	Sep 16	VS Syracuse	-105	+1	57	20-35	L	L	U	62%	64%	55%	50%	57%	52%
2	Sep 9	at Virginia Tech	-112	-1	49	24-17	W	W	U	49%	47%	49%	36%	61%	64%
1	Sep 2	VS Fresno ST	-180	-3.5	46.5	35-39	L	L	O	78%	83%	66%	73%	36%	57%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Nov 12	Purdue Boilermakers Illinois Fighting Illini	31 24	+6 -6	+195 -230	44.5	PURD	PURD	DOG	Road	Over
2021 Sep 25	Illinois Fighting Illini Purdue Boilermakers	9 13	+10.5 -10.5	+340 -425	53.5	PURD	ILLI	DOG	Road	Under
2020 Oct 31	Purdue Boilermakers Illinois Fighting Illini	31 24	-10 +10	-355 +285	56.5	PURD	ILLI	DOG	Home	Under
2019 Oct 26	Illinois Fighting Illini Purdue Boilermakers	24 6	+9.5 -9.5	+281 -350	54.5	ILLI	ILLI	DOG	Road	Under
2018 Oct 13	Purdue Boilermakers Illinois Fighting Illini	46 7	-11 +11	-420 +330	62	PURD	PURD	FAV	Road	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

ILL	Statistic	PURD	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
22.3	Points Scored	24.0	PURD	1.8
252.0	Passing Yards	256.8	PURD	4.8
11.6	PYPC	11.0	ILL	0.6
7.5	PYPA	6.9	ILL	0.6
64.9	Completion PCT	62.8	ILL	2.1
142.8	Rushing Yards	140.5	ILL	2.3
4.3	RYPA	4.0	ILL	0.3
69.3	PenaltyYards	70.8	ILL	1.5
2.5	Turnovers	1.8	PURD	0.8

Defensive Statistics

ILL	Statistic	PURD	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
27.3	Points Scored	32.3	ILL	5.0
245.5	Passing Yards	255.8	ILL	10.3
11.4	PYPC	12.5	ILL	1.1
6.5	PYPA	7.3	ILL	0.8
56.6	Completion PCT	58.2	ILL	1.6
177.3	Rushing Yards	148.3	PURD	29.0
4.7	RYPA	4.1	PURD	0.7
49.5	PenaltyYards	66.5	PURD	17.0
1.0	Turnovers	1.3	PURD	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

ILL	Statistic	PURD	Edge	Margin
1	Games	3	PURD	2
23.0	Points Scored	24.0	PURD	1.0
202.0	Passing Yards	259.7	PURD	57.7
10.6	PYPC	11.1	PURD	0.5
7.2	PYPA	6.8	ILL	0.4
67.9	Completion PCT	61.4	ILL	6.5
139.0	Rushing Yards	127.7	ILL	11.3
5.0	RYPA	4.1	ILL	0.8
58.0	PenaltyYards	78.3	ILL	20.3
2.0	Turnovers	2.3	ILL	0.3

Defensive Statistics

ILL	Statistic	PURD	Edge	Margin
1	Games	3	ILL	2
34.0	Points Scored	37.3	ILL	3.3
277.0	Passing Yards	249.3	PURD	27.7
13.2	PYPC	11.7	PURD	1.5
9.6	PYPA	7.4	PURD	2.1
72.4	Completion PCT	63.4	PURD	9.0
262.0	Rushing Yards	194.0	PURD	68.0
6.0	RYPA	4.7	PURD	1.3
34.0	PenaltyYards	80.3	PURD	46.3
2.0	Turnovers	1.0	ILL	1.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

ILL	Statistic	PURD	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
22.2	Points Scored	20.6	ILL	1.6
224.3	Passing Yards	241.6	PURD	17.3
10.9	PYPC	10.8	ILL	0.1
7.3	PYPA	6.5	ILL	0.9
67.1	Completion PCT	59.6	ILL	7.5
134.0	Rushing Yards	121.3	ILL	12.7
3.7	RYPA	3.6	ILL	0.2
61.6	PenaltyYards	55.7	PURD	5.9
1.5	Turnovers	1.5	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

ILL	Statistic	PURD	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
21.3	Points Scored	30.8	ILL	9.5
223.8	Passing Yards	223.0	PURD	0.8
10.9	PYPC	12.1	ILL	1.2
6.3	PYPA	7.1	ILL	0.8
58.0	Completion PCT	58.9	ILL	0.9
146.1	Rushing Yards	170.6	ILL	24.5
4.2	RYPA	4.6	ILL	0.4
50.9	PenaltyYards	59.8	PURD	8.9
1.9	Turnovers	1.2	ILL	0.7

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

ILL	Statistic	PURD	Edge	Margin
20	Games	20	-	0
23.2	Points Scored	26.9	PURD	3.7
194.5	Passing Yards	223.1	PURD	28.6
11.3	PYPC	10.8	ILL	0.5
6.3	PYPA	6.8	PURD	0.5
56.0	Completion PCT	63.0	PURD	7.0
171.2	Rushing Yards	176.5	PURD	5.3
4.5	RYPA	4.4	ILL	0.1
56.2	PenaltyYards	53.9	PURD	2.3
2.1	Turnovers	1.5	PURD	0.6

Betting Splits

Saturday,September 30	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Illinois Purdue	+1 -1	42% 58%	28% 72%	53.5 53.5	9% 91%	15% 85%	-105 -115	46% 54%	45% 55%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, September 30	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Illinois Fighting Illini	19	+1.0		46.0		26.1	52.0	26.7	51.2
Purdue Boilermakers	44	-1.0	53.0	42.5	1.6	25.9	0.1	24.6	2.1

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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