Home-2

O'Brien Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Tennessee ST	17	+4.5		6-3	4-4-0	4-4-0	25.9	23.0	20.1	44.4
E Illinois	30	-4.5	44.5	6-3	5-4-0	5-4-0	22.4	20.7	24.3	-4.2

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Tennessee ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
10	Nov 4	at Charleston Souther	-	-8	42.5	21-35	L	L	O	0%	0%	99%	88%	0%	0%
9	Oct 28	VS Lindenwood	-	-13	52.5	43-20	W	W	O	0%	0%	97%	88%	99%	67%
8	Oct 21	VS Lincoln-CA	-	-	-	54-0	W	N	N	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
7	Oct 14	VS Norfolk ST	-	-10.5	48.5	24-17	W	L	U	0%	0%	8%	44%	93%	50%
6	Oct 7	at Kennesaw ST	-	+3	42	27-20	W	W	O	0%	0%	83%	50%	93%	62%
5	Sep 30	at Tennessee-Martin	-	+20	56	10-20	L	W	U	0%	0%	67%	57%	0%	0%
3	Sep 16	VS Gardner Webb	-	+10	54.5	27-25	W	W	U	0%	0%	0%	6%	0%	0%
2	Sep 9	(n) Ark-Pine Bluff	-	-11	49	24-14	W	L	U	0%	0%	100%	92%	0%	50%
1	Sep 2	at Notre Dame	-	+49	55	3-56	L	L	O	0%	0%	48%	55%	86%	84%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
E Illinois			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
10	Nov 4	at Lindenwood	-	-11	52.5	16-10	W	L	U	0%	0%	91%	78%	0%	0%
8	Oct 21	VS Bryant	-	-5	47	25-24	W	L	O	0%	0%	0%	23%	0%	33%
7	Oct 14	at SE Missouri ST	-	+14.5	49	28-35	L	W	O	0%	0%	41%	50%	86%	50%
6	Oct 7	VS Tennessee-Martin	-	+15	51	27-28	L	W	O	0%	0%	25%	52%	96%	75%
5	Sep 30	at Northwestern ST	-	-7	49.5	19-10	W	W	U	0%	0%	65%	74%	100%	100%
4	Sep 23	VS Mcneese ST	-	-12	47.5	31-28	W	L	O	0%	0%	76%	74%	0%	0%
3	Sep 16	VS Illinois ST	-	+10.5	42.5	14-13	W	W	U	0%	0%	66%	40%	100%	100%
2	Sep 9	at Bowling Green	+600	+17	49	15-38	L	L	O	20%	25%	55%	43%	27%	71%
1	Aug 31	at Indiana ST	+410	+13.5	47.5	27-0	W	W	U	5%	8%	85%	55%	0%	17%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 22	E Illinois Tennessee ST	17 37	+8 -8	+245 -295	50	TNST	TNST	FAV	Home	Over
2021 Oct 23	Tennessee ST E Illinois	28 0	+7 -7	+230 -270	41	TNST	TNST	DOG	Road	Under
2019 Nov 9	E Illinois Tennessee ST	49 38	+6 -6	- -	46.5	EILL	EILL	DOG	Road	Over
2018 Sep 22	Tennessee ST E Illinois	41 40	- -	- -	-	TNST	-	-	-	-
2017 Sep 30	E Illinois Tennessee ST	19 16	- -	- -	-	EILL	-	-	-	-

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TNST	Statistic	EILL	Edge	Margin
9	Games	9	-	0
25.9	Points Scored	22.4	TNST	3.5
164.8	Passing Yards	264.0	EILL	99.2
11.4	PYPC	11.6	EILL	0.2
6.0	PYPA	7.0	EILL	1.1
52.2	Completion PCT	60.7	EILL	8.4
161.2	Rushing Yards	108.3	TNST	52.9
4.1	RYPA	3.3	TNST	0.9
60.7	PenaltyYards	54.3	EILL	6.3
1.3	Turnovers	1.0	EILL	0.3

Defensive Statistics

TNST	Statistic	EILL	Edge	Margin
9	Games	9	-	0
23.0	Points Scored	20.7	EILL	2.3
184.7	Passing Yards	228.7	TNST	44.0
12.6	PYPC	12.0	EILL	0.6
6.5	PYPA	7.0	TNST	0.4
52.0	Completion PCT	58.1	TNST	6.1
142.4	Rushing Yards	133.4	EILL	9.0
3.7	RYPA	3.9	TNST	0.2
46.2	PenaltyYards	54.1	EILL	7.9
1.2	Turnovers	2.6	EILL	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TNST	Statistic	EILL	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
15.3	Points Scored	24.3	EILL	9.0
139.0	Passing Yards	254.3	EILL	115.3
9.4	PYPC	9.6	EILL	0.2
4.5	PYPA	6.3	EILL	1.8
47.6	Completion PCT	65.4	EILL	17.9
113.8	Rushing Yards	139.3	EILL	25.5
3.1	RYPA	3.7	EILL	0.6
57.8	PenaltyYards	53.8	EILL	4.0
1.5	Turnovers	1.3	EILL	0.3

Defensive Statistics

TNST	Statistic	EILL	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
32.8	Points Scored	23.3	EILL	9.5
198.5	Passing Yards	196.8	EILL	1.8
13.0	PYPC	11.6	EILL	1.5
7.6	PYPA	6.0	EILL	1.6
58.1	Completion PCT	51.5	EILL	6.6
174.8	Rushing Yards	171.0	EILL	3.8
4.5	RYPA	5.2	TNST	0.7
47.0	PenaltyYards	56.3	EILL	9.3
1.0	Turnovers	2.3	EILL	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TNST	Statistic	EILL	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
25.5	Points Scored	23.3	TNST	2.2
160.9	Passing Yards	269.1	EILL	108.2
11.4	PYPC	12.3	EILL	0.9
6.0	PYPA	7.2	EILL	1.2
52.2	Completion PCT	58.4	EILL	6.2
156.5	Rushing Yards	108.6	TNST	47.9
4.0	RYPA	3.2	TNST	0.8
60.6	PenaltyYards	53.4	EILL	7.2
1.2	Turnovers	1.3	TNST	0.1

Defensive Statistics

TNST	Statistic	EILL	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
22.1	Points Scored	22.0	EILL	0.1
183.0	Passing Yards	228.5	TNST	45.5
12.4	PYPC	12.1	EILL	0.3
6.6	PYPA	7.1	TNST	0.5
53.1	Completion PCT	58.3	TNST	5.3
151.4	Rushing Yards	128.3	EILL	23.1
3.9	RYPA	3.8	EILL	0.1
47.6	PenaltyYards	56.5	EILL	8.9
1.4	Turnovers	2.3	EILL	0.9

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

TNST	Statistic	EILL	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
27.4	Points Scored	26.6	TNST	0.8
228.9	Passing Yards	158.8	TNST	70.1
12.4	PYPC	10.0	TNST	2.4
7.4	PYPA	5.1	TNST	2.2
59.7	Completion PCT	51.4	TNST	8.3
119.0	Rushing Yards	171.3	EILL	52.3
3.1	RYPA	4.6	EILL	1.5
63.9	PenaltyYards	52.0	EILL	11.9
2.1	Turnovers	1.9	EILL	0.2

Betting Splits

Saturday,November 11	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Tennessee ST Eastern Illinois	- -4.5	0% 100%	0% 100%	44.5 46	100% 0%	67% 33%	- -	0% 0%	0% 0%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, November 11	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Tennessee ST	17	+4.5		12.0		20.1	44.4	21.7	44.8
E Illinois	30	-4.5	44.5	13.0	-2.9	24.3	-4.2	23.2	-1.5

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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