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FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Florida ST	20	+4		3-2	2-2-1	1-4-0	33.2	21.6	26.1	56.4
Louisville	44	-4	60.5	2-3	3-2-0	4-1-0	38.6	29.2	30.3	-4.2

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Jensen Lewis	CFB	2026-10-09	Florida ST at Louisville - OVER (57.5) (-125) [ 2.5 units ]	64	WIN
Wes Reynolds	CFB	2026-10-09	Florida ST at Louisville - 2H - UNDER (31.5) (-125)	36	LOSS
Matt Youmans	CFB	2026-10-09	Money Line - Louisville (-180) vs Florida ST	44 - 20	WIN
Chris Fallica	CFB	2026-10-09	Team Total - Louisville OVER (31.5) (-110) vs Florida ST	44	WIN

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Friday, October 9	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Florida ST Seminoles	20	+4.0		51.0		26.1	56.4	24.0	57.7
Louisville Cardinals	44	-4.0	60.5	53.5	-6.7	30.3	-4.2	33.7	-9.7

2026 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Florida ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Oct 3	VS Virginia	-108	+1.5	51.5	38-7	W	W	U	68%	53%	47%	58%	95%	92%
4	Sep 26	VS C Arkansas	-	-45.5	62.5	34-7	W	L	U	0%	0%	41%	74%	60%	56%
3	Sep 19	at Alabama	+800	+18.5	50.5	36-50	L	W	O	10%	5%	23%	17%	74%	90%
1	Sep 7	VS SMU	+130	+3	52.5	24-27	L	P	U	45%	43%	23%	24%	69%	69%
1	Aug 29	VS New Mexico ST	-8000	-31.5	53.5	34-17	W	L	U	80%	89%	82%	76%	92%	81%

2026 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Louisville			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Oct 3	at NC State	-238	-5.5	56.5	28-31	L	L	O	76%	86%	62%	78%	85%	79%
4	Sep 26	VS Wake Forest	-485	-11.5	57.5	27-30	L	L	U	66%	97%	48%	77%	86%	82%
3	Sep 19	VS SMU	-155	-3	57.5	41-31	W	W	O	47%	58%	56%	47%	83%	87%
2	Sep 11	VS Villanova	-	-39.5	56.5	59-13	W	W	O	0%	0%	80%	78%	87%	82%
1	Sep 6	(n) Ole Miss	+200	+6.5	54.5	38-41	L	W	O	43%	22%	33%	21%	68%	75%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2023 Dec 2	Florida ST Seminoles Louisville Cardinals	16 6	-1 +1	-115 -105	46.5	FLST	FLST	FAV		Under
2022 Sep 16	Florida ST Seminoles Louisville Cardinals	35 31	-2.5 +2.5	-145 +125	57	FLST	FLST	FAV	Road	Over
2021 Sep 25	Louisville Cardinals Florida ST Seminoles	31 23	+1 -1	-103 -117	60.5	LOUI	LOUI	DOG	Road	Under
2020 Oct 24	Florida ST Seminoles Louisville Cardinals	16 48	+5 -5	+186 -222	62	LOUI	LOUI	FAV	HOME	Over
2019 Sep 21	Louisville Cardinals Florida ST Seminoles	24 35	+6.5 -6.5	+206 -250	61.5	FLST	FLST	FAV	Home	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

FSU	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
33.2	Points Scored	38.6	LOU	5.4
225.0	Passing Yards	287.4	LOU	62.4
15.6	PYPC	14.2	FSU	1.4
9.5	PYPA	9.8	LOU	0.3
61.0	Completion PCT	69.2	LOU	8.2
194.0	Rushing Yards	198.6	LOU	4.6
5.0	RYPA	5.6	LOU	0.6
66.4	PenaltyYards	82.4	FSU	16.0
1.4	Turnovers	0.8	LOU	0.6

Defensive Statistics

FSU	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
21.6	Points Scored	29.2	FSU	7.6
265.6	Passing Yards	266.8	FSU	1.2
12.8	PYPC	13.1	FSU	0.3
7.8	PYPA	8.0	FSU	0.3
60.8	Completion PCT	61.5	FSU	0.6
119.2	Rushing Yards	156.2	FSU	37.0
3.5	RYPA	3.9	FSU	0.5
62.0	PenaltyYards	71.0	LOU	9.0
1.0	Turnovers	1.6	LOU	0.6

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

FSU	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
1	Games	3	LOU	2
36.0	Points Scored	42.3	LOU	6.3
377.0	Passing Yards	292.0	FSU	85.0
22.2	PYPC	14.1	FSU	8.1
13.0	PYPA	10.1	FSU	2.9
58.6	Completion PCT	71.3	LOU	12.6
94.0	Rushing Yards	200.0	LOU	106.0
2.7	RYPA	5.3	LOU	2.6
40.0	PenaltyYards	96.7	FSU	56.7
3.0	Turnovers	0.3	LOU	2.7

Defensive Statistics

FSU	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
1	Games	3	FSU	2
50.0	Points Scored	24.7	LOU	25.3
320.0	Passing Yards	208.3	LOU	111.7
13.9	PYPC	11.2	LOU	2.8
10.7	PYPA	7.1	LOU	3.6
76.7	Completion PCT	63.6	LOU	13.0
247.0	Rushing Yards	169.7	LOU	77.3
6.9	RYPA	4.4	LOU	2.4
55.0	PenaltyYards	77.0	LOU	22.0
0.0	Turnovers	1.7	LOU	1.7

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

FSU	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
28.4	Points Scored	31.2	LOU	2.8
228.3	Passing Yards	228.9	LOU	0.6
14.9	PYPC	12.5	FSU	2.4
8.7	PYPA	8.2	FSU	0.5
58.2	Completion PCT	65.6	LOU	7.4
181.4	Rushing Yards	187.8	LOU	6.4
4.8	RYPA	5.3	LOU	0.5
49.7	PenaltyYards	71.0	FSU	21.3
1.6	Turnovers	0.8	LOU	0.8

Defensive Statistics

FSU	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
21.4	Points Scored	25.5	FSU	4.1
215.6	Passing Yards	244.5	FSU	28.9
11.7	PYPC	11.4	LOU	0.3
7.3	PYPA	7.2	LOU	0.1
62.3	Completion PCT	63.1	FSU	0.8
142.3	Rushing Yards	136.6	LOU	5.7
3.8	RYPA	3.8	FSU	0.1
55.4	PenaltyYards	66.9	LOU	11.5
1.0	Turnovers	1.2	LOU	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

FSU	Statistic	LOU	Edge	Margin
12	Games	12	-	0
27.9	Points Scored	28.0	LOU	0.1
250.4	Passing Yards	240.5	FSU	9.9
13.6	PYPC	13.1	FSU	0.5
7.6	PYPA	7.3	FSU	0.3
55.8	Completion PCT	56.2	LOU	0.4
169.6	Rushing Yards	164.8	FSU	4.8
4.5	RYPA	4.4	FSU	0.1
60.4	PenaltyYards	68.8	FSU	8.4
1.6	Turnovers	1.6	-	0.0

Player	Pos	Injury
Florida ST
Darryll Desir	DL	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Friday vs Louisville
Daniel Hughes	P	Undisclosed - is probable Friday vs Louisville
Antonio Cromartie Jr	DB	Undisclosed - is probable Friday vs Louisville
Karon Maycock	LB	Undisclosed - is probable Friday vs Louisville
Mikai Gbayor	LB	Undisclosed - is probable Friday vs Louisville

Player	Position	Injury
Louisville
Demeco Kennedy	DL	Undisclosed - is "?" to return Friday vs Florida State
Daylen Russell	DL	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Friday vs Florida State
Joshua Donald	DL	Undisclosed - is probable Friday vs Florida State
Anwar ONeal	OL	Undisclosed - is probable Friday vs Florida State
Adonijah Green	DL	Undisclosed - is probable Friday vs Florida State
Lincoln Kienholz	QB	Undisclosed - is probable Friday vs Florida State
Cason Henry	OL	Undisclosed - is "?" Friday vs Florida State
TJ Banks	DB	Undisclosed - is "?" Friday vs Florida State
Koen Entringer	DB	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Friday vs Florida State
Ellis McAdoo	OL	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Friday vs Florida State