Home-2

LSU at

Davis Wade Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
LSU (14)	41	-9.5		1-1	1-1-0	2-0-0	48.0	27.5	30.6	52.7
Mississippi ST	14	+9.5	54	2-0	1-1-0	0-2-0	39.5	15.5	22	8.6

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
LSU			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
2	Sep 9	VS Grambling ST	-	-56.5	61.5	72-10	W	W	O	0%	0%	23%	36%	85%	71%
1	Sep 3	(n) Florida ST	-130	-2	56.5	24-45	L	L	O	54%	57%	65%	71%	80%	80%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Mississippi ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
2	Sep 9	VS Arizona	-325	-8	60	31-24	W	L	U	86%	92%	57%	63%	57%	48%
1	Sep 2	VS SE Louisiana	-9000	-31	59.5	48-7	W	W	U	76%	96%	75%	80%	91%	42%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Sep 17	Mississippi ST Bulldogs LSU Tigers	16 31	-3 +3	-150 +130	53	LAST	LAST	DOG	Home	Under
2021 Sep 25	LSU Tigers Mississippi ST Bulldogs	28 25	-1.5 +1.5	-122 +102	55	LAST	LAST	FAV	Road	Under
2020 Sep 26	Mississippi ST Bulldogs LSU Tigers	44 34	+14.5 -14.5	+462 -625	57.5	MSST	MSST	DOG	Road	Over
2019 Oct 19	LSU Tigers Mississippi ST Bulldogs	36 13	-19.5 +19.5	-1604 +914	62	LAST	LAST	FAV	Road	Under
2018 Oct 20	Mississippi ST Bulldogs LSU Tigers	3 19	+6 -6	+195 -235	45	LAST	LAST	FAV	Home	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

LSU	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
2	Games	2	-	0
48.0	Points Scored	39.5	LSU	8.5
333.5	Passing Yards	194.5	LSU	139.0
14.5	PYPC	11.8	LSU	2.7
9.4	PYPA	8.5	LSU	0.9
64.8	Completion PCT	71.7	MSST	6.9
207.5	Rushing Yards	221.5	MSST	14.0
5.5	RYPA	5.7	MSST	0.1
25.0	PenaltyYards	52.5	LSU	27.5
1.0	Turnovers	0.5	MSST	0.5

Defensive Statistics

LSU	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
2	Games	2	-	0
27.5	Points Scored	15.5	MSST	12.0
258.0	Passing Yards	232.5	MSST	25.5
13.2	PYPC	9.5	MSST	3.7
8.2	PYPA	6.2	MSST	2.0
61.9	Completion PCT	65.3	LSU	3.4
149.0	Rushing Yards	87.0	MSST	62.0
4.7	RYPA	3.4	MSST	1.3
84.0	PenaltyYards	40.0	LSU	44.0
1.5	Turnovers	3.0	MSST	1.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

LSU	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
0	Games	2	MSST	2
0.0	Points Scored	39.5	MSST	39.5
0.0	Passing Yards	194.5	MSST	194.5
0.0	PYPC	11.8	MSST	11.8
0.0	PYPA	8.5	MSST	8.5
0.0	Completion PCT	71.7	MSST	71.7
0.0	Rushing Yards	221.5	MSST	221.5
0.0	RYPA	5.7	MSST	5.7
0.0	PenaltyYards	52.5	LSU	52.5
0.0	Turnovers	0.5	LSU	0.5

Defensive Statistics

LSU	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
0	Games	2	LSU	2
0.0	Points Scored	15.5	LSU	15.5
0.0	Passing Yards	232.5	LSU	232.5
0.0	PYPC	9.5	LSU	9.5
0.0	PYPA	6.2	LSU	6.2
0.0	Completion PCT	65.3	LSU	65.3
0.0	Rushing Yards	87.0	LSU	87.0
0.0	RYPA	3.4	LSU	3.4
0.0	PenaltyYards	40.0	MSST	40.0
0.0	Turnovers	3.0	MSST	3.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

LSU	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
38.8	Points Scored	29.9	LSU	8.9
289.9	Passing Yards	269.1	LSU	20.8
13.0	PYPC	9.4	LSU	3.6
8.7	PYPA	6.1	LSU	2.5
66.6	Completion PCT	64.8	LSU	1.8
195.4	Rushing Yards	104.9	LSU	90.5
5.3	RYPA	4.1	LSU	1.2
45.1	PenaltyYards	55.2	LSU	10.1
1.2	Turnovers	1.2	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

LSU	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
25.6	Points Scored	22.2	MSST	3.4
224.2	Passing Yards	212.4	MSST	11.8
12.3	PYPC	11.1	MSST	1.3
7.0	PYPA	6.9	MSST	0.1
56.7	Completion PCT	61.9	LSU	5.2
156.5	Rushing Yards	132.9	MSST	23.6
4.3	RYPA	3.7	MSST	0.6
62.4	PenaltyYards	53.0	LSU	9.4
1.1	Turnovers	1.8	MSST	0.7

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

LSU	Statistic	MSST	Edge	Margin
23	Games	23	-	0
33.7	Points Scored	17.3	LSU	16.4
229.8	Passing Yards	224.2	LSU	5.6
12.9	PYPC	12.0	LSU	0.9
8.2	PYPA	6.5	LSU	1.7
64.0	Completion PCT	54.2	LSU	9.7
156.1	Rushing Yards	107.3	LSU	48.8
4.0	RYPA	3.3	LSU	0.7
54.7	PenaltyYards	46.9	MSST	7.8
1.2	Turnovers	2.6	LSU	1.4

Betting Splits

Saturday,September 16	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
LSU Mississippi ST	-9.5 +9.5	67% 33%	66% 34%	54 54	84% 16%	81% 19%	-375 +295	86% 14%	93% 7%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, September 16	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
LSU Tigers	41	-9.5		60.5		30.6	52.7	31.3	54.6
Mississippi ST Bulldogs	14	+9.5	54.0	52.5	6.0	22.0	8.6	23.3	8.0

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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