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Glass Bowl

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
N Illinois	33	+14		1-3	1-3-0	2-2-0	15.8	23.8	20.5	50
Toledo	35	-14	48.5	3-1	2-2-0	3-1-0	42.3	20.3	29.6	-9.1

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
N Illinois			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 23	VS Tulsa	-192	-4	54.5	14-22	L	L	U	8%	63%	41%	49%	60%	57%
3	Sep 16	at Nebraska	+350	+12	42.5	11-35	L	L	O	23%	4%	33%	25%	33%	61%
2	Sep 9	VS S Illinois	-310	-8	59	11-14	L	L	U	34%	89%	65%	77%	64%	39%
1	Sep 2	at Boston College	+245	+8	50	27-24	W	W	O	9%	7%	74%	40%	31%	37%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Toledo			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 23	VS W Michigan	-1350	-21.5	51.5	49-31	W	L	O	78%	94%	53%	54%	46%	67%
3	Sep 16	VS San Jose ST	-340	-8.5	56.5	21-17	W	L	U	60%	92%	76%	66%	66%	77%
2	Sep 9	VS Texas Southern	-	-40	63	71-3	W	W	O	0%	0%	64%	43%	87%	50%
1	Sep 2	at Illinois	+235	+7.5	45.5	28-30	L	W	O	31%	13%	56%	45%	28%	58%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 8	Toledo Rockets N Illinois Huskies	52 32	-6.5 +6.5	-230 +195	59	TOL	TOL	FAV	Road	Over
2021 Oct 9	N Illinois Huskies Toledo Rockets	22 20	+13 -13	+370 -465	51.5	NILL	NILL	DOG	Road	Under
2020 Dec 5	Toledo Rockets N Illinois Huskies	41 24	-9 +9	- +267	53.5	TOL	TOL	FAV	Road	Over
2019 Nov 13	N Illinois Huskies Toledo Rockets	31 28	+1 -1	-110 -110	55.5	NILL	NILL	DOG	Road	Over
2018 Nov 7	Toledo Rockets N Illinois Huskies	15 38	+3.5 -3.5	+146 -168	54	NILL	NILL	FAV	Home	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NILL	Statistic	TOL	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
15.8	Points Scored	42.3	TOL	26.5
180.0	Passing Yards	230.3	TOL	50.3
10.1	PYPC	12.5	TOL	2.3
5.4	PYPA	7.9	TOL	2.5
53.4	Completion PCT	63.8	TOL	10.4
105.5	Rushing Yards	215.5	TOL	110.0
2.9	RYPA	5.2	TOL	2.3
38.3	PenaltyYards	62.8	NILL	24.5
2.0	Turnovers	2.0	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

NILL	Statistic	TOL	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
23.8	Points Scored	20.3	TOL	3.5
144.0	Passing Yards	174.8	NILL	30.8
10.5	PYPC	10.9	NILL	0.4
5.4	PYPA	6.1	NILL	0.7
51.9	Completion PCT	56.1	NILL	4.3
155.0	Rushing Yards	143.5	TOL	11.5
4.3	RYPA	3.6	TOL	0.6
57.8	PenaltyYards	72.3	TOL	14.5
1.3	Turnovers	2.0	TOL	0.8

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NILL	Statistic	TOL	Edge	Margin
2	Games	3	TOL	1
19.0	Points Scored	47.0	TOL	28.0
147.5	Passing Yards	230.3	TOL	82.8
9.5	PYPC	12.8	TOL	3.3
4.5	PYPA	8.8	TOL	4.3
47.0	Completion PCT	68.4	TOL	21.4
96.0	Rushing Yards	225.3	TOL	129.3
2.7	RYPA	5.5	TOL	2.8
22.5	PenaltyYards	70.3	NILL	47.8
1.0	Turnovers	2.3	NILL	1.3

Defensive Statistics

NILL	Statistic	TOL	Edge	Margin
2	Games	3	NILL	1
29.5	Points Scored	17.0	TOL	12.5
163.0	Passing Yards	162.7	TOL	0.3
10.5	PYPC	10.6	NILL	0.1
5.3	PYPA	5.6	NILL	0.3
50.0	Completion PCT	52.3	NILL	2.3
185.0	Rushing Yards	137.0	TOL	48.0
5.1	RYPA	3.3	TOL	1.8
81.5	PenaltyYards	63.0	NILL	18.5
1.0	Turnovers	2.3	TOL	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NILL	Statistic	TOL	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
20.0	Points Scored	31.1	TOL	11.1
158.1	Passing Yards	236.1	TOL	78.0
11.0	PYPC	12.8	TOL	1.9
5.7	PYPA	7.3	TOL	1.6
51.8	Completion PCT	57.0	TOL	5.2
164.3	Rushing Yards	179.5	TOL	15.2
4.2	RYPA	4.2	TOL	0.0
55.7	PenaltyYards	67.8	NILL	12.1
1.6	Turnovers	1.9	NILL	0.3

Defensive Statistics

NILL	Statistic	TOL	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
25.8	Points Scored	21.4	TOL	4.4
186.1	Passing Yards	165.5	TOL	20.6
12.9	PYPC	11.3	TOL	1.7
7.0	PYPA	5.9	TOL	1.1
53.9	Completion PCT	52.1	TOL	1.8
155.0	Rushing Yards	127.5	TOL	27.5
4.0	RYPA	3.5	TOL	0.6
57.4	PenaltyYards	67.6	TOL	10.2
1.6	Turnovers	1.4	NILL	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NILL	Statistic	TOL	Edge	Margin
23	Games	23	-	0
29.9	Points Scored	31.3	TOL	1.4
209.1	Passing Yards	255.7	TOL	46.7
12.0	PYPC	12.7	TOL	0.8
6.9	PYPA	8.2	TOL	1.2
57.8	Completion PCT	64.0	TOL	6.2
195.8	Rushing Yards	199.3	TOL	3.5
4.8	RYPA	4.9	TOL	0.1
49.4	PenaltyYards	57.7	NILL	8.3
1.4	Turnovers	1.8	NILL	0.4

Betting Splits

Saturday,September 30	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Northern Illinois Toledo	+14 -14	43% 57%	23% 77%	48.5 48.5	62% 38%	75% 25%	+455 -625	25% 75%	2% 98%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, September 30	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
N Illinois Huskies	33	+14.0		28.5		20.5	50.0	22.5	52.5
Toledo Rockets	35	-14.0	48.5	42.5	-16.9	29.6	-9.1	30.1	-7.6

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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