Home-2

Valley Children's Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
New Mexico	25	+21.5		3-7	4-6-0	8-2-0	26.1	36.0	17.4	57
Fresno ST	17	-21.5	58.5	8-2	4-6-0	6-3-1	32.4	23.7	39.5	-22.1

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
New Mexico			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
11	Nov 11	at Boise ST	+1600	+27.5	59.5	14-42	L	L	U	36%	7%	40%	54%	55%	77%
10	Nov 4	VS UNLV	+490	+15	57.5	14-56	L	L	O	23%	3%	10%	28%	39%	54%
9	Oct 28	at Nevada	-115	-1	50	24-34	L	L	O	78%	67%	59%	57%	54%	56%
8	Oct 21	VS Hawaii	+110	+2	59.5	42-21	W	W	O	65%	53%	23%	38%	50%	41%
7	Oct 14	VS San Jose ST	+190	+6.5	54.5	24-52	L	L	O	13%	9%	71%	40%	57%	56%
5	Sep 30	at Wyoming	+490	+14.5	40.5	26-35	L	W	O	6%	1%	21%	18%	32%	73%
4	Sep 23	at Massachusetts	+124	+3	48.5	34-31	W	W	O	38%	29%	40%	36%	37%	32%
3	Sep 16	VS New Mexico ST	-142	-2.5	52	17-27	L	L	U	95%	71%	87%	80%	35%	66%
2	Sep 9	VS Tennessee Tech	-1100	-16.5	51.5	56-10	W	W	O	63%	90%	17%	78%	85%	63%
1	Sep 2	at Texas A&M	-	+38	49.5	10-52	L	L	O	0%	0%	35%	43%	68%	82%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Fresno ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
11	Nov 11	at San Jose ST	+110	+2	53	18-42	L	L	O	31%	49%	25%	40%	61%	88%
10	Nov 4	VS Boise ST	-142	-2.5	54	37-30	W	W	O	64%	77%	60%	80%	80%	72%
9	Oct 28	VS UNLV	-425	-11	56	31-24	W	L	U	73%	93%	68%	59%	50%	71%
7	Oct 13	at Utah ST	-225	-5.5	56	37-32	W	L	O	70%	79%	62%	73%	81%	68%
6	Oct 7	at Wyoming	-192	-5.5	43	19-24	L	L	P	62%	90%	47%	61%	59%	86%
5	Sep 30	VS Nevada	-3200	-25.5	50.5	27-9	W	L	U	78%	94%	86%	85%	69%	85%
4	Sep 23	VS Kent ST	-4000	-27.5	47.5	53-10	W	W	O	72%	90%	62%	55%	30%	80%
3	Sep 16	at Arizona ST	-170	-3.5	47.5	29-0	W	W	U	54%	51%	73%	58%	77%	84%
2	Sep 9	VS E Washington	-	-30.5	63.5	34-31	W	L	O	0%	0%	79%	67%	54%	39%
1	Sep 2	at Purdue	+150	+3.5	46.5	39-35	W	W	O	22%	17%	34%	27%	36%	57%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 22	Fresno ST Bulldogs New Mexico Lobos	41 9	-9.5 +9.5	-360 +295	40	FRES	FRES	FAV	Road	Over
2021 Nov 13	New Mexico Lobos Fresno ST Bulldogs	7 34	+24 -24	+1350 -2300	51	FRES	FRES	FAV	HOME	Under
2020 Dec 12	New Mexico Lobos Fresno ST Bulldogs	49 39	+17 -17	+548 -	55.5	NMEX	NMEX	DOG	HOME	Over
2018 Oct 20	Fresno ST Bulldogs New Mexico Lobos	38 7	-14.5 +14.5	-640 +471	52	FRES	FRES	FAV	Road	Under
2017 Oct 14	New Mexico Lobos Fresno ST Bulldogs	0 38	-2.5 +2.5	-135 +115	54.5	FRES	FRES	DOG	HOME	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNM	Statistic	FRES	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
26.1	Points Scored	32.4	FRES	6.3
224.1	Passing Yards	289.4	FRES	65.3
13.0	PYPC	10.8	UNM	2.2
7.8	PYPA	7.1	UNM	0.7
59.7	Completion PCT	65.3	FRES	5.6
161.9	Rushing Yards	107.6	UNM	54.3
4.8	RYPA	3.6	UNM	1.2
82.1	PenaltyYards	43.9	FRES	38.2
1.3	Turnovers	1.0	FRES	0.3

Defensive Statistics

UNM	Statistic	FRES	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
36.0	Points Scored	23.7	FRES	12.3
243.1	Passing Yards	223.1	FRES	20.0
15.1	PYPC	12.1	FRES	3.0
9.3	PYPA	6.8	FRES	2.6
61.7	Completion PCT	56.1	FRES	5.6
173.0	Rushing Yards	144.7	FRES	28.3
5.1	RYPA	4.0	FRES	1.1
69.5	PenaltyYards	53.7	UNM	15.8
0.6	Turnovers	2.0	FRES	1.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNM	Statistic	FRES	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
21.6	Points Scored	36.4	FRES	14.8
208.6	Passing Yards	284.2	FRES	75.6
12.7	PYPC	11.2	UNM	1.5
7.1	PYPA	7.6	FRES	0.5
55.8	Completion PCT	67.6	FRES	11.8
129.4	Rushing Yards	123.8	UNM	5.6
4.2	RYPA	4.4	FRES	0.2
76.2	PenaltyYards	32.4	FRES	43.8
1.4	Turnovers	1.2	FRES	0.2

Defensive Statistics

UNM	Statistic	FRES	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
38.8	Points Scored	20.8	FRES	18.0
233.0	Passing Yards	216.2	FRES	16.8
15.1	PYPC	10.9	FRES	4.2
9.6	PYPA	6.1	FRES	3.4
63.1	Completion PCT	55.9	FRES	7.2
193.8	Rushing Yards	129.6	FRES	64.2
5.0	RYPA	3.5	FRES	1.4
74.8	PenaltyYards	63.6	UNM	11.2
0.0	Turnovers	2.0	FRES	2.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNM	Statistic	FRES	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
26.1	Points Scored	32.4	FRES	6.3
224.1	Passing Yards	289.4	FRES	65.3
13.0	PYPC	10.8	UNM	2.2
7.8	PYPA	7.1	UNM	0.7
59.7	Completion PCT	65.3	FRES	5.6
161.9	Rushing Yards	107.6	UNM	54.3
4.8	RYPA	3.6	UNM	1.2
82.1	PenaltyYards	43.9	FRES	38.2
1.3	Turnovers	1.0	FRES	0.3

Defensive Statistics

UNM	Statistic	FRES	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
36.0	Points Scored	23.7	FRES	12.3
243.1	Passing Yards	223.1	FRES	20.0
15.1	PYPC	12.1	FRES	3.0
9.3	PYPA	6.8	FRES	2.6
61.7	Completion PCT	56.1	FRES	5.6
173.0	Rushing Yards	144.7	FRES	28.3
5.1	RYPA	4.0	FRES	1.1
69.5	PenaltyYards	53.7	UNM	15.8
0.6	Turnovers	2.0	FRES	1.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNM	Statistic	FRES	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
19.5	Points Scored	42.9	FRES	23.4
117.5	Passing Yards	341.8	FRES	224.3
13.2	PYPC	14.4	FRES	1.2
6.7	PYPA	9.7	FRES	3.0
50.4	Completion PCT	67.1	FRES	16.8
200.9	Rushing Yards	194.1	UNM	6.8
4.9	RYPA	4.9	FRES	0.0
58.0	PenaltyYards	36.1	FRES	21.9
0.8	Turnovers	0.9	UNM	0.1

Betting Splits

Saturday,November 18	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
New Mexico Fresno ST	+22 -22	43% 57%	37% 63%	58 58	74% 26%	60% 40%	+1000 -1800	12% 88%	6% 94%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, November 18	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
New Mexico Lobos	25	+21.5		20.0		17.4	57.0	15.3	56.3
Fresno ST Bulldogs	17	-21.5	58.5	41.5	-24.3	39.5	-22.1	41.1	-25.8

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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