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Mackay Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Air Force	36	-5.5		1-1	1-1-0	1-1-0	33.0	19.0	23.6	49.1
Nevada	33	+5.5	50.5	1-2	1-2-0	1-2-0	25.3	20.3	25.6	-2

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Zak Bigelow	CFB	2026-09-26	Air Force (-5.5) (-110) at Nevada	36 - 33	LOSS

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, September 26	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Air Force Falcons	36	-5.5		36.5		23.6	49.1	26.7	47.5
Nevada Wolf Pack	33	+5.5	50.5	29.5	5.5	25.6	-2.0	20.8	5.9

2026 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Air Force			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
2	Sep 12	VS N Dakota ST	+102	+1.5	48.5	32-38	L	L	O	34%	42%	53%	42%	27%	56%
1	Sep 5	VS Duquesne	-4000	-31.5	55.5	34-0	W	W	U	61%	91%	91%	63%	7%	37%

2026 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Nevada			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
3	Sep 19	at Middle Tenn ST	-180	-3.5	50.5	20-27	L	L	U	48%	68%	52%	56%	93%	72%
2	Sep 12	VS Montana ST	+180	+4.5	51.5	7-20	L	L	U	40%	46%	51%	73%	62%	64%
1	Sep 5	VS W Kentucky	-108	+1.5	51.5	49-14	W	W	O	60%	54%	93%	54%	74%	80%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2024 Nov 23	Air Force Falcons Nevada Wolf Pack	22 19	+3 -3	+124 -148	44.5	AFRC	AFRC	DOG	Road	Under
2022 Sep 23	Nevada Wolf Pack Air Force Falcons	20 48	+24.5 -24.5	+1300 -2800	46.5	AFRC	AFRC	FAV	Home	Over
2021 Nov 19	Air Force Falcons Nevada Wolf Pack	41 39	-2 +2	-130 +110	54.5	AFRC	-	-	-	Over
2018 Sep 29	Nevada Wolf Pack Air Force Falcons	28 25	+4 -4	+151 -175	62.5	NVRE	NVRE	DOG	Road	Under
2017 Oct 20	Air Force Falcons Nevada Wolf Pack	45 42	-6 +6	-235 +195	65	AFRC	NVRE	DOG	HOME	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

AF	Statistic	NEV	Edge	Margin
2	Games	3	NEV	1
33.0	Points Scored	25.3	AF	7.7
99.0	Passing Yards	171.7	NEV	72.7
16.5	PYPC	12.0	AF	4.5
9.0	PYPA	6.7	AF	2.3
54.6	Completion PCT	55.8	NEV	1.3
319.0	Rushing Yards	194.3	AF	124.7
5.2	RYPA	5.3	NEV	0.0
57.5	PenaltyYards	60.0	AF	2.5
0.5	Turnovers	2.7	AF	2.2

Defensive Statistics

AF	Statistic	NEV	Edge	Margin
2	Games	3	AF	1
19.0	Points Scored	20.3	AF	1.3
140.5	Passing Yards	185.0	AF	44.5
11.7	PYPC	10.1	NEV	1.6
6.2	PYPA	6.0	NEV	0.2
53.3	Completion PCT	59.8	AF	6.5
100.0	Rushing Yards	157.3	AF	57.3
3.5	RYPA	3.9	AF	0.5
32.5	PenaltyYards	89.3	NEV	56.8
1.5	Turnovers	0.7	AF	0.8

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

AF	Statistic	NEV	Edge	Margin
0	Games	2	NEV	2
0.0	Points Scored	28.0	NEV	28.0
0.0	Passing Yards	165.0	NEV	165.0
0.0	PYPC	11.8	NEV	11.8
0.0	PYPA	6.4	NEV	6.4
0.0	Completion PCT	53.9	NEV	53.9
0.0	Rushing Yards	252.5	NEV	252.5
0.0	RYPA	6.6	NEV	6.6
0.0	PenaltyYards	63.0	AF	63.0
0.0	Turnovers	2.5	AF	2.5

Defensive Statistics

AF	Statistic	NEV	Edge	Margin
0	Games	2	AF	2
0.0	Points Scored	17.0	AF	17.0
0.0	Passing Yards	191.0	AF	191.0
0.0	PYPC	9.8	AF	9.8
0.0	PYPA	6.1	AF	6.1
0.0	Completion PCT	61.9	AF	61.9
0.0	Rushing Yards	157.5	AF	157.5
0.0	RYPA	3.8	AF	3.8
0.0	PenaltyYards	92.0	NEV	92.0
0.0	Turnovers	1.0	NEV	1.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

AF	Statistic	NEV	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
27.3	Points Scored	21.0	AF	6.3
107.8	Passing Yards	156.4	NEV	48.6
15.6	PYPC	9.8	AF	5.8
8.9	PYPA	5.9	AF	3.0
57.0	Completion PCT	60.6	NEV	3.6
275.8	Rushing Yards	155.9	AF	119.9
4.8	RYPA	4.6	AF	0.2
32.2	PenaltyYards	52.1	AF	19.9
0.8	Turnovers	2.1	AF	1.3

Defensive Statistics

AF	Statistic	NEV	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
24.7	Points Scored	26.3	AF	1.6
223.4	Passing Yards	201.6	NEV	21.8
12.8	PYPC	11.5	NEV	1.4
8.6	PYPA	7.0	NEV	1.6
66.7	Completion PCT	60.7	NEV	6.0
145.9	Rushing Yards	158.6	AF	12.7
5.0	RYPA	4.3	NEV	0.7
39.9	PenaltyYards	67.1	NEV	27.2
1.0	Turnovers	1.2	NEV	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

AF	Statistic	NEV	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
39.5	Points Scored	32.8	AF	6.8
73.3	Passing Yards	268.8	NEV	195.5
15.8	PYPC	11.9	AF	3.9
8.4	PYPA	7.5	AF	0.9
52.9	Completion PCT	62.9	NEV	10.1
392.1	Rushing Yards	145.0	AF	247.1
5.6	RYPA	4.6	AF	1.0
42.0	PenaltyYards	42.9	AF	0.9
1.3	Turnovers	0.9	NEV	0.4

Player	Pos	Injury
Air Force
Houston Hendrix	DB	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs Navy
Jonah Dawson	WR	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs Navy
Noah Daniels	DL	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs Navy
Chaz Barnett	DL	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs Navy

Player	Position	Injury
Nevada