Home-2

Williams Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
New Mexico ST	17	+9.5		1-1	1-1-0	2-0-0	44.0	31.0	22.9	56.5
Liberty	33	-9.5	54.5	1-0	1-0-0	1-0-0	34.0	24.0	33.6	-10.8

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
New Mexico ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
1	Sep 2	VS W Illinois	-1650	-21	55	58-21	W	W	O	79%	91%	71%	69%	63%	57%
1	Aug 26	VS Massachusetts	-278	-7	45.5	30-41	L	L	O	87%	91%	65%	72%	48%	62%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Liberty			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
1	Sep 2	VS Bowling Green	-305	-7.5	48.5	34-24	W	W	O	81%	89%	12%	65%	42%	63%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Nov 26	New Mexico ST Aggies Liberty Flames	49 14	+24 -24	+1300 -2800	50.5	NMST	NMST	DOG	Road	Over
2019 Nov 30	New Mexico ST Aggies Liberty Flames	28 49	+16 -16	+534 -750	68	LIBR	LIBR	FAV	HOME	Over
2019 Oct 5	Liberty Flames New Mexico ST Aggies	20 13	-4.5 +4.5	-199 +169	64	LIBR	LIBR	FAV	Road	Under
2018 Nov 24	New Mexico ST Aggies Liberty Flames	21 28	+7.5 -7.5	+249 -305	72	LIBR	NMST	DOG	Road	Under
2018 Oct 6	Liberty Flames New Mexico ST Aggies	41 49	-3 +3	-155 +135	65	NMST	NMST	DOG	Home	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
2	Games	1	NMST	1
44.0	Points Scored	34.0	NMST	10.0
314.0	Passing Yards	143.0	NMST	171.0
19.6	PYPC	13.0	NMST	6.6
13.1	PYPA	7.2	NMST	5.9
66.7	Completion PCT	55.0	NMST	11.7
240.0	Rushing Yards	246.0	LIBR	6.0
6.1	RYPA	5.0	NMST	1.1
50.0	PenaltyYards	51.0	NMST	1.0
1.5	Turnovers	1.0	LIBR	0.5

Defensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
2	Games	1	LIBR	1
31.0	Points Scored	24.0	LIBR	7.0
203.5	Passing Yards	137.0	LIBR	66.5
15.7	PYPC	12.5	LIBR	3.2
8.7	PYPA	4.4	LIBR	4.2
55.3	Completion PCT	35.5	LIBR	19.8
116.5	Rushing Yards	191.0	NMST	74.5
3.5	RYPA	6.2	NMST	2.6
69.5	PenaltyYards	86.0	LIBR	16.5
0.0	Turnovers	5.0	LIBR	5.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
0	Games	1	LIBR	1
0.0	Points Scored	34.0	LIBR	34.0
0.0	Passing Yards	143.0	LIBR	143.0
0.0	PYPC	13.0	LIBR	13.0
0.0	PYPA	7.2	LIBR	7.2
0.0	Completion PCT	55.0	LIBR	55.0
0.0	Rushing Yards	246.0	LIBR	246.0
0.0	RYPA	5.0	LIBR	5.0
0.0	PenaltyYards	51.0	NMST	51.0
0.0	Turnovers	1.0	NMST	1.0

Defensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
0	Games	1	NMST	1
0.0	Points Scored	24.0	NMST	24.0
0.0	Passing Yards	137.0	NMST	137.0
0.0	PYPC	12.5	NMST	12.5
0.0	PYPA	4.4	NMST	4.4
0.0	Completion PCT	35.5	NMST	35.5
0.0	Rushing Yards	191.0	NMST	191.0
0.0	RYPA	6.2	NMST	6.2
0.0	PenaltyYards	86.0	LIBR	86.0
0.0	Turnovers	5.0	LIBR	5.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
34.2	Points Scored	28.5	NMST	5.7
224.0	Passing Yards	214.5	NMST	9.5
15.7	PYPC	12.1	NMST	3.5
9.5	PYPA	7.4	NMST	2.1
60.3	Completion PCT	61.0	LIBR	0.7
179.6	Rushing Yards	172.6	NMST	7.0
4.9	RYPA	4.6	NMST	0.3
53.4	PenaltyYards	45.6	LIBR	7.8
0.8	Turnovers	1.8	NMST	1.0

Defensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
20.0	Points Scored	25.4	NMST	5.4
181.7	Passing Yards	188.7	NMST	7.0
10.9	PYPC	11.1	NMST	0.2
6.2	PYPA	6.4	NMST	0.1
57.4	Completion PCT	57.2	LIBR	0.1
117.2	Rushing Yards	152.6	NMST	35.4
3.4	RYPA	3.9	NMST	0.5
60.4	PenaltyYards	56.6	NMST	3.8
1.1	Turnovers	1.7	LIBR	0.6

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
32.0	Points Scored	30.4	NMST	1.6
273.4	Passing Yards	213.6	NMST	59.8
11.7	PYPC	10.1	NMST	1.6
7.1	PYPA	5.8	NMST	1.3
60.9	Completion PCT	57.6	NMST	3.3
150.8	Rushing Yards	177.2	LIBR	26.4
4.5	RYPA	4.2	NMST	0.3
71.0	PenaltyYards	68.0	LIBR	3.0
1.6	Turnovers	1.4	LIBR	0.2

Betting Splits

Saturday,September 9	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
New Mexico ST Liberty	+9.5 -9.5	46% 54%	30% 70%	54.5 54.5	26% 74%	71% 29%	+300 -380	13% 87%	5% 95%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, September 9	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
New Mexico ST Aggies	17	+9.5		25.0		22.9	56.5	21.8	58.2
Liberty Flames	33	-9.5	54.5	33.5	-12.2	33.6	-10.8	36.4	-14.6

Active Betting Splits

Top Selections Week 1

Count	PCT	Selection	Result
4	100%	Louisiana (-13.5) at Kennesaw ST	WIN
3	100%	Syracuse (+3) vs Georgia Tech	WIN
3	100%	Oregon (-18) vs Boise ST	LOSS
3	100%	Michigan ST (+9.5) at Maryland	WIN
3	100%	Boise ST at Oregon - OVER (61.5)	WIN
5	83%	Iowa ST (+3) at Iowa	WIN
3	75%	Michigan (+7) vs Texas	LOSS
Count	PCT	Selection	Result
6	100%	Patriots at Bengals - UNDER (40.5)	WIN
6	100%	Titans (+3.5) at Bears	LOSS
4	100%	Panthers (+4) at Saints	LOSS
8	89%	Jets (+4.5) at 49ers	LOSS
4	80%	Commanders at Buccaneers - UNDER (42)	LOSS
4	80%	Cardinals (+6.5) at Bills	WIN

Top Selections Week 1

Count	PCT	Selection	Result
30	100%	Oregon (-18) vs Boise ST	LOSS
23	100%	Boise ST at Oregon - OVER (61.5)	WIN
12	100%	N Illinois (+28) at Notre Dame	WIN
11	100%	Colorado at Nebraska - OVER (55.5)	LOSS
20	83%	Washington ST (PK) vs Texas Tech	WIN
12	80%	Tennessee (-9) vs NC State	WIN
15	75%	Syracuse (+3) vs Georgia Tech	WIN
Count	PCT	Selection	Result
11	100%	Patriots at Bengals - UNDER (40.5)	WIN
56	97%	Jets (+4.5) at 49ers	LOSS
10	91%	Cardinals at Bills - OVER (47)	WIN
39	89%	Panthers (+4) at Saints	LOSS
31	89%	Cardinals (+6.5) at Bills	WIN
9	82%	Steelers at Falcons - UNDER (41)	WIN
33	80%	Titans (+3.5) at Bears	LOSS
8	80%	Vikings at Giants - UNDER (41)	WIN
8	80%	Bengals (-7.5) vs Patriots	LOSS
19	76%	Commanders (+4) at Buccaneers	LOSS