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FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
North Carolina (17)	41	-7		3-0	2-1-0	1-2-0	34.0	21.3	32	54.5
Pittsburgh	24	+7	49.5	1-2	1-2-0	2-1-0	24.0	17.0	22.4	9.6

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
North Carolina			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
3	Sep 16	VS Minnesota	-265	-7	52	31-13	W	W	U	63%	92%	48%	75%	41%	47%
2	Sep 9	VS Appalachian ST	-1050	-19	58	40-34	W	L	O	90%	95%	60%	64%	89%	86%
1	Sep 2	(n) South Carolina	-142	-2.5	63.5	31-17	W	W	U	47%	50%	67%	66%	78%	74%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Pittsburgh			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
3	Sep 16	at West Virginia	+120	+2.5	47.5	6-17	L	L	U	25%	32%	16%	24%	56%	81%
2	Sep 9	VS Cincinnati	-265	-6.5	45	21-27	L	L	O	44%	72%	53%	48%	68%	85%
1	Sep 2	VS Wofford	-	-37.5	48.5	45-7	W	W	O	0%	0%	64%	61%	75%	78%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 29	Pittsburgh Panthers North Carolina Tar Heels	24 42	+3 -3	+125 -145	65.5	NCAR	NCAR	FAV	Home	Over
2021 Nov 11	North Carolina Tar Heels Pittsburgh Panthers	23 30	+6.5 -6.5	+195 -235	72	PITT	PITT	FAV	HOME	Under
2019 Nov 14	North Carolina Tar Heels Pittsburgh Panthers	27 34	+4.5 -4.5	+172 -205	48.5	PITT	PITT	FAV	HOME	Over
2018 Sep 22	Pittsburgh Panthers North Carolina Tar Heels	35 38	-3 +3	-155 +135	48	NCAR	NCAR	DOG	Home	Over
2017 Nov 9	North Carolina Tar Heels Pittsburgh Panthers	34 31	+10 -10	+292 -365	50.5	NCAR	NCAR	DOG	Road	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNC	Statistic	PITT	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
34.0	Points Scored	24.0	UNC	10.0
297.0	Passing Yards	178.0	UNC	119.0
12.0	PYPC	13.4	PITT	1.3
8.7	PYPA	6.4	UNC	2.4
72.6	Completion PCT	47.6	UNC	24.9
197.3	Rushing Yards	143.3	UNC	54.0
4.9	RYPA	3.9	UNC	1.0
52.0	PenaltyYards	54.0	UNC	2.0
1.3	Turnovers	1.3	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

UNC	Statistic	PITT	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
21.3	Points Scored	17.0	PITT	4.3
253.7	Passing Yards	114.0	PITT	139.7
12.1	PYPC	9.2	PITT	2.8
6.8	PYPA	6.2	PITT	0.6
56.3	Completion PCT	67.3	UNC	11.0
129.0	Rushing Yards	122.0	PITT	7.0
3.7	RYPA	3.3	PITT	0.4
43.3	PenaltyYards	54.0	PITT	10.7
1.0	Turnovers	1.0	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNC	Statistic	PITT	Edge	Margin
0	Games	2	PITT	2
0.0	Points Scored	33.0	PITT	33.0
0.0	Passing Yards	226.5	PITT	226.5
0.0	PYPC	14.2	PITT	14.2
0.0	PYPA	7.1	PITT	7.1
0.0	Completion PCT	50.0	PITT	50.0
0.0	Rushing Yards	150.0	PITT	150.0
0.0	RYPA	4.1	PITT	4.1
0.0	PenaltyYards	48.5	UNC	48.5
0.0	Turnovers	0.5	UNC	0.5

Defensive Statistics

UNC	Statistic	PITT	Edge	Margin
0	Games	2	UNC	2
0.0	Points Scored	17.0	UNC	17.0
0.0	Passing Yards	141.0	UNC	141.0
0.0	PYPC	9.1	UNC	9.1
0.0	PYPA	6.4	UNC	6.4
0.0	Completion PCT	70.5	UNC	70.5
0.0	Rushing Yards	107.5	UNC	107.5
0.0	RYPA	3.5	UNC	3.5
0.0	PenaltyYards	55.0	PITT	55.0
0.0	Turnovers	1.0	PITT	1.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNC	Statistic	PITT	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
29.2	Points Scored	26.9	UNC	2.3
293.4	Passing Yards	200.6	UNC	92.8
11.5	PYPC	13.0	PITT	1.5
7.5	PYPA	6.8	UNC	0.7
65.4	Completion PCT	52.2	UNC	13.2
149.9	Rushing Yards	164.6	PITT	14.7
4.0	RYPA	4.3	PITT	0.2
49.4	PenaltyYards	60.8	UNC	11.4
0.9	Turnovers	1.6	UNC	0.7

Defensive Statistics

UNC	Statistic	PITT	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
26.8	Points Scored	21.0	PITT	5.8
252.9	Passing Yards	207.1	PITT	45.8
12.3	PYPC	11.6	PITT	0.7
7.5	PYPA	6.9	PITT	0.6
60.7	Completion PCT	59.3	PITT	1.3
139.6	Rushing Yards	90.1	PITT	49.5
4.1	RYPA	3.0	PITT	1.1
44.6	PenaltyYards	47.2	PITT	2.6
0.9	Turnovers	1.6	PITT	0.7

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNC	Statistic	PITT	Edge	Margin
11	Games	11	-	0
30.7	Points Scored	27.9	UNC	2.8
282.6	Passing Yards	245.2	UNC	37.4
12.7	PYPC	13.2	PITT	0.5
8.1	PYPA	7.8	UNC	0.3
63.6	Completion PCT	59.1	UNC	4.5
123.3	Rushing Yards	167.0	PITT	43.7
3.5	RYPA	4.3	PITT	0.7
54.6	PenaltyYards	47.4	PITT	7.3
0.9	Turnovers	1.2	UNC	0.3

Betting Splits

Saturday,September 23	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
North Carolina Pittsburgh	-7 +7	72% 28%	80% 20%	49.5 49.5	69% 31%	72% 28%	-265 +215	91% 9%	96% 4%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, September 23	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
North Carolina Tar Heels	41	-7.0		54.5		32.0	54.5	31.4	54.7
Pittsburgh Panthers	24	+7.0	49.5	45.5	6.9	22.4	9.6	23.4	8.0

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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