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FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Wisconsin	25	-3		4-2	2-4-0	2-4-0	27.2	17.8	23.5	42.3
Illinois	21	+3	40.5	3-4	1-6-0	2-4-1	20.3	28.1	18.7	4.8

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Wisconsin			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	Oct 14	VS Iowa	-340	-9	33.5	6-15	L	L	U	84%	93%	50%	44%	63%	48%
6	Oct 7	VS Rutgers	-500	-13	44	24-13	W	L	U	88%	94%	38%	41%	57%	70%
4	Sep 22	at Purdue	-250	-6	54	38-17	W	W	O	61%	80%	79%	66%	58%	55%
3	Sep 16	VS Georgia Southern	-1200	-20.5	65.5	35-14	W	W	U	89%	96%	70%	66%	46%	20%
2	Sep 9	at Washington ST	-218	-5.5	58	22-31	L	L	U	60%	91%	55%	69%	51%	44%
1	Sep 2	VS Buffalo	-8000	-28.5	52.5	38-17	W	L	O	84%	97%	75%	77%	44%	43%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Illinois			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	Oct 14	at Maryland	+400	+13.5	52	27-24	W	W	U	6%	2%	15%	11%	70%	60%
6	Oct 6	VS Nebraska	-155	-3	42	7-20	L	L	U	49%	55%	46%	45%	69%	51%
5	Sep 30	at Purdue	-105	+1	53	19-44	L	L	O	46%	45%	42%	28%	9%	15%
4	Sep 23	VS FL Atlantic	-700	-15.5	45.5	23-17	W	L	U	72%	97%	87%	73%	26%	48%
3	Sep 16	VS Penn ST	+425	+14	47.5	13-30	L	L	U	3%	3%	18%	13%	79%	84%
2	Sep 8	at Kansas	+140	+3.5	57	23-34	L	L	P	25%	28%	48%	35%	65%	59%
1	Sep 2	VS Toledo	-290	-7.5	45.5	30-28	W	L	O	69%	87%	44%	55%	28%	58%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 1	Illinois Fighting Illini Wisconsin Badgers	34 10	+6 -6	+205 -245	43.5	ILLI	ILLI	DOG	Road	Over
2021 Oct 9	Wisconsin Badgers Illinois Fighting Illini	24 0	-12 +12	-430 +345	42	WISC	WISC	FAV	Road	Under
2020 Oct 23	Illinois Fighting Illini Wisconsin Badgers	7 45	+20.5 -20.5	+826 -1372	51.5	WISC	WISC	FAV	Home	Over
2019 Oct 19	Wisconsin Badgers Illinois Fighting Illini	23 24	-29.5 +29.5	- -	50.5	ILLI	ILLI	DOG	HOME	Under
2018 Oct 20	Illinois Fighting Illini Wisconsin Badgers	20 49	+24 -24	+1156 -2421	53	WISC	WISC	FAV	Home	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WIS	Statistic	ILL	Edge	Margin
6	Games	7	ILL	1
27.2	Points Scored	20.3	WIS	6.9
212.8	Passing Yards	247.0	ILL	34.2
9.8	PYPC	11.5	ILL	1.8
6.1	PYPA	7.2	ILL	1.1
62.1	Completion PCT	62.2	ILL	0.1
185.7	Rushing Yards	124.6	WIS	61.1
5.0	RYPA	3.9	WIS	1.1
48.5	PenaltyYards	62.1	WIS	13.6
1.7	Turnovers	2.0	WIS	0.3

Defensive Statistics

WIS	Statistic	ILL	Edge	Margin
6	Games	7	WIS	1
17.8	Points Scored	28.1	WIS	10.3
213.0	Passing Yards	234.3	WIS	21.3
10.2	PYPC	11.4	WIS	1.2
5.9	PYPA	6.8	WIS	0.9
57.9	Completion PCT	59.5	WIS	1.6
122.2	Rushing Yards	164.1	WIS	42.0
3.8	RYPA	4.2	WIS	0.4
54.2	PenaltyYards	49.0	WIS	5.2
1.7	Turnovers	1.3	WIS	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WIS	Statistic	ILL	Edge	Margin
2	Games	4	ILL	2
30.0	Points Scored	18.3	WIS	11.8
235.5	Passing Yards	273.8	ILL	38.3
11.0	PYPC	11.3	ILL	0.3
6.9	PYPA	7.2	ILL	0.2
63.2	Completion PCT	63.4	ILL	0.2
142.5	Rushing Yards	113.3	WIS	29.3
4.0	RYPA	3.7	WIS	0.3
50.0	PenaltyYards	62.3	WIS	12.3
2.0	Turnovers	2.5	WIS	0.5

Defensive Statistics

WIS	Statistic	ILL	Edge	Margin
2	Games	4	WIS	2
24.0	Points Scored	23.8	ILL	0.3
226.5	Passing Yards	214.8	ILL	11.8
10.8	PYPC	11.2	WIS	0.4
6.4	PYPA	5.8	ILL	0.5
59.2	Completion PCT	52.4	ILL	6.8
137.5	Rushing Yards	151.3	WIS	13.8
4.2	RYPA	3.9	ILL	0.3
62.0	PenaltyYards	58.5	WIS	3.5
1.5	Turnovers	1.3	WIS	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WIS	Statistic	ILL	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
22.8	Points Scored	21.0	WIS	1.8
184.3	Passing Yards	229.6	ILL	45.3
9.8	PYPC	11.2	ILL	1.4
5.7	PYPA	7.1	ILL	1.4
58.5	Completion PCT	63.8	ILL	5.3
180.1	Rushing Yards	119.8	WIS	60.3
4.7	RYPA	3.7	WIS	0.9
45.6	PenaltyYards	54.2	WIS	8.6
1.7	Turnovers	1.6	ILL	0.1

Defensive Statistics

WIS	Statistic	ILL	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
18.5	Points Scored	23.8	WIS	5.3
202.6	Passing Yards	228.9	WIS	26.3
11.0	PYPC	11.0	ILL	0.1
6.4	PYPA	6.5	WIS	0.2
57.7	Completion PCT	59.4	WIS	1.7
99.9	Rushing Yards	158.7	WIS	58.8
3.0	RYPA	4.1	WIS	1.1
42.7	PenaltyYards	46.7	ILL	4.0
1.3	Turnovers	1.8	ILL	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WIS	Statistic	ILL	Edge	Margin
20	Games	20	-	0
32.1	Points Scored	20.2	WIS	11.9
187.5	Passing Yards	189.1	ILL	1.6
12.9	PYPC	11.7	WIS	1.3
7.8	PYPA	6.1	WIS	1.7
60.0	Completion PCT	52.2	WIS	7.9
213.5	Rushing Yards	131.6	WIS	81.9
4.7	RYPA	4.1	WIS	0.7
50.9	PenaltyYards	42.1	ILL	8.8
1.3	Turnovers	2.1	WIS	0.8

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 21	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Wisconsin Illinois	-3 +3	63% 37%	78% 22%	40.5 40.5	36% 64%	48% 52%	-155 +130	82% 18%	75% 25%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 21	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Wisconsin Badgers	25	-3.0		52.0		23.5	42.3	23.5	40.8
Illinois Fighting Illini	21	+3.0	40.5	43.0	2.8	18.7	4.8	17.3	6.2

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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