Home-2

UNLV at

Falcon Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
UNLV	31	+3		8-2	9-1-0	5-5-0	36.4	24.3	21.3	49
Air Force	27	-3	46	8-2	4-6-0	4-6-0	28.5	15.7	27.7	-6.4

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
UNLV			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
11	Nov 10	VS Wyoming	-148	-3	49	34-14	W	W	U	68%	69%	66%	71%	46%	74%
10	Nov 4	at New Mexico	-675	-15	57.5	56-14	W	W	O	77%	97%	90%	72%	39%	54%
9	Oct 28	at Fresno ST	+330	+11	56	24-31	L	W	U	27%	7%	32%	41%	50%	71%
8	Oct 21	VS Colorado ST	-290	-6.5	60.5	25-23	W	L	U	55%	81%	48%	63%	65%	61%
7	Oct 14	at Nevada	-278	-7	52	45-27	W	W	O	82%	97%	73%	81%	14%	53%
5	Sep 30	VS Hawaii	-440	-10.5	58	44-20	W	W	O	74%	97%	67%	74%	43%	47%
4	Sep 23	at UTEP	-105	+1	49.5	45-28	W	W	O	35%	54%	33%	62%	75%	57%
3	Sep 16	VS Vanderbilt	+164	+4.5	57.5	40-37	W	W	O	34%	21%	33%	30%	22%	34%
2	Sep 9	at Michigan	-	+38	58	7-35	L	W	U	0%	0%	19%	16%	55%	53%
1	Sep 2	VS Bryant	-	-16.5	66	44-14	W	W	U	0%	0%	26%	86%	81%	24%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Air Force			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
11	Nov 11	at Hawaii	-1100	-19.5	46.5	13-27	L	L	U	90%	93%	83%	76%	75%	64%
10	Nov 4	(n) Army	-1100	-18.5	33	3-23	L	L	U	93%	97%	51%	66%	39%	56%
9	Oct 28	at Colorado ST	-625	-14.5	47	30-13	W	W	U	69%	91%	37%	41%	75%	68%
8	Oct 21	at Navy	-440	-11.5	34	17-6	W	L	U	87%	95%	36%	61%	41%	61%
7	Oct 14	VS Wyoming	-395	-11	41.5	34-27	W	L	O	71%	89%	56%	36%	52%	77%
5	Sep 30	VS San Diego ST	-410	-10.5	43.5	49-10	W	W	O	88%	93%	45%	72%	62%	82%
4	Sep 22	at San Jose ST	-265	-6.5	45.5	45-20	W	W	O	87%	85%	72%	75%	57%	71%
3	Sep 15	VS Utah ST	-340	-9.5	45.5	39-21	W	W	O	64%	84%	55%	54%	39%	51%
2	Sep 9	(n) Sam Houston ST	-650	-14.5	36.5	13-3	W	L	U	85%	93%	69%	67%	14%	75%
1	Sep 2	VS Robert Morris	-	-47	51.5	42-7	W	L	U	0%	0%	19%	17%	86%	59%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 15	Air Force Falcons UNLV Rebels	42 7	-10 +10	-365 +300	50	AFRC	AFRC	FAV	Road	Under
2021 Nov 26	UNLV Rebels Air Force Falcons	14 48	+18.5 -18.5	+650 -1000	49.5	AFRC	AFRC	FAV	HOME	Over
2018 Oct 19	Air Force Falcons UNLV Rebels	41 35	-9.5 +9.5	-340 +274	54.5	AFRC	UNLV	DOG	Home	Over
2017 Oct 14	UNLV Rebels Air Force Falcons	30 34	+10 -10	+292 -365	64.5	AFRC	UNLV	DOG	Road	Under
2014 Nov 8	Air Force Falcons UNLV Rebels	48 21	-4.5 +4.5	-195 +166	57	AFRC	AFRC	FAV	Road	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNLV	Statistic	AF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
36.4	Points Scored	28.5	UNLV	7.9
226.9	Passing Yards	86.9	UNLV	140.0
13.0	PYPC	21.2	AF	8.2
8.3	PYPA	11.9	AF	3.6
64.1	Completion PCT	56.2	UNLV	7.9
197.2	Rushing Yards	275.9	AF	78.7
4.7	RYPA	5.0	AF	0.4
55.0	PenaltyYards	27.2	AF	27.8
1.1	Turnovers	1.5	UNLV	0.4

Defensive Statistics

UNLV	Statistic	AF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
24.3	Points Scored	15.7	AF	8.6
256.8	Passing Yards	159.3	AF	97.5
13.4	PYPC	9.5	AF	3.8
8.0	PYPA	5.9	AF	2.1
59.8	Completion PCT	61.9	UNLV	2.0
124.5	Rushing Yards	86.0	AF	38.5
3.7	RYPA	2.9	AF	0.8
42.1	PenaltyYards	48.9	AF	6.8
2.1	Turnovers	0.9	UNLV	1.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNLV	Statistic	AF	Edge	Margin
5	Games	4	UNLV	1
35.4	Points Scored	41.0	AF	5.6
228.0	Passing Yards	106.5	UNLV	121.5
13.6	PYPC	25.1	AF	11.5
8.7	PYPA	18.5	AF	9.8
64.1	Completion PCT	73.9	AF	9.8
190.4	Rushing Yards	340.3	AF	149.9
4.7	RYPA	6.1	AF	1.3
57.2	PenaltyYards	21.0	AF	36.2
1.0	Turnovers	0.8	AF	0.3

Defensive Statistics

UNLV	Statistic	AF	Edge	Margin
5	Games	4	AF	1
27.0	Points Scored	16.3	AF	10.8
255.4	Passing Yards	173.8	AF	81.7
13.2	PYPC	10.5	AF	2.6
8.1	PYPA	6.4	AF	1.8
61.8	Completion PCT	60.6	AF	1.2
135.8	Rushing Yards	77.8	AF	58.1
4.0	RYPA	2.7	AF	1.4
49.6	PenaltyYards	34.3	UNLV	15.4
2.2	Turnovers	1.3	UNLV	1.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNLV	Statistic	AF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
36.4	Points Scored	28.5	UNLV	7.9
226.9	Passing Yards	86.9	UNLV	140.0
13.0	PYPC	21.2	AF	8.2
8.3	PYPA	11.9	AF	3.6
64.1	Completion PCT	56.2	UNLV	7.9
197.2	Rushing Yards	275.9	AF	78.7
4.7	RYPA	5.0	AF	0.4
55.0	PenaltyYards	27.2	AF	27.8
1.1	Turnovers	1.5	UNLV	0.4

Defensive Statistics

UNLV	Statistic	AF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
24.3	Points Scored	15.7	AF	8.6
256.8	Passing Yards	159.3	AF	97.5
13.4	PYPC	9.5	AF	3.8
8.0	PYPA	5.9	AF	2.1
59.8	Completion PCT	61.9	UNLV	2.0
124.5	Rushing Yards	86.0	AF	38.5
3.7	RYPA	2.9	AF	0.8
42.1	PenaltyYards	48.9	AF	6.8
2.1	Turnovers	0.9	UNLV	1.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UNLV	Statistic	AF	Edge	Margin
19	Games	19	-	0
23.6	Points Scored	34.6	AF	11.1
192.6	Passing Yards	110.0	UNLV	82.6
12.5	PYPC	16.5	AF	4.0
7.3	PYPA	9.5	AF	2.2
58.8	Completion PCT	58.0	UNLV	0.8
165.8	Rushing Yards	335.0	AF	169.2
4.3	RYPA	5.4	AF	1.0
41.8	PenaltyYards	39.4	AF	2.4
1.8	Turnovers	1.3	AF	0.5

Betting Splits

Saturday,November 18	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
UNLV Air Force	+3 -3	54% 46%	50% 50%	46.5 46.5	67% 33%	55% 45%	+124 -148	49% 51%	36% 64%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, November 18	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
UNLV Rebels	31	+3.0		41.5		21.3	49.0	15.5	47.1
Air Force Falcons	27	-3.0	46.0	40.5	-2.0	27.7	-6.4	31.7	-16.2

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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