Home-2

Doak Campbell Stadium

FEW CLOUDS [ 86° ] - Wind E at 1 MPH

3:30 PM ET ()	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Virginia	0	-2.5		3-1	3-1-0	2-2-0	40.5	13.0	27.8	51.6
Florida ST	0	+2.5	51.5	2-2	1-2-1	1-3-0	32.0	25.3	23.8	4.1

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Dustin Swedelson	CFB	2026-10-03	Virginia (-2.5) (-118) at Florida ST	-	-

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 3	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
	DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Virginia Cavaliers	-2.5		52.0		27.8	51.6	25.9	52.9
Florida ST Seminoles	+2.5	51.5	48.0	1.6	23.8	4.1	27.1	-1.2

2026 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Virginia			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 26	VS Delaware	-1450	-19.5	52.5	42-3	W	W	U	49%	97%	75%	83%	90%	75%
3	Sep 19	(n) West Virginia	-410	-10.5	51.5	27-38	L	L	O	48%	84%	41%	47%	63%	78%
2	Sep 11	VS Norfolk ST	-	-47.5	56.5	59-3	W	W	O	0%	0%	72%	76%	87%	80%
1	Aug 29	VS NC State	-185	-4	50.5	34-8	W	W	U	51%	65%	48%	54%	60%	54%

2026 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Florida ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 26	VS C Arkansas	-	-45.5	62.5	34-7	W	L	U	0%	0%	41%	74%	60%	56%
3	Sep 19	at Alabama	+800	+18.5	50.5	36-50	L	W	O	10%	5%	23%	17%	74%	90%
1	Sep 7	VS SMU	+130	+3	52.5	24-27	L	P	U	45%	43%	23%	24%	69%	69%
1	Aug 29	VS New Mexico ST	-8000	-31.5	53.5	34-17	W	L	U	80%	89%	82%	76%	92%	81%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2025 Sep 26	Florida ST Seminoles Virginia Cavaliers	38 46	-7 +7	-270 +220	59.5	VIRG	VIRG	DOG	Home	Over
2019 Sep 14	Florida ST Seminoles Virginia Cavaliers	24 31	+7 -7	+237 -290	54	VIRG	-	-	-	Over
2014 Nov 8	Virginia Cavaliers Florida ST Seminoles	20 34	+21 -21	+800 -1300	55	FLST	VIRG	DOG	Road	Under
2011 Nov 19	Virginia Cavaliers Florida ST Seminoles	14 13	+17 -17	+575 -725	46.5	VIRG	VIRG	DOG	Road	Under
2010 Oct 2	Florida ST Seminoles Virginia Cavaliers	34 14	-6.5 +6.5	-235 +220	50	FLST	FLST	FAV	Road	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	FSU	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
40.5	Points Scored	32.0	UVA	8.5
254.5	Passing Yards	235.5	UVA	19.0
12.6	PYPC	15.7	FSU	3.1
9.1	PYPA	9.5	FSU	0.4
72.3	Completion PCT	60.6	UVA	11.7
192.8	Rushing Yards	172.3	UVA	20.5
4.5	RYPA	4.7	FSU	0.2
48.8	PenaltyYards	61.8	UVA	13.0
0.5	Turnovers	1.5	UVA	1.0

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	FSU	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
13.0	Points Scored	25.3	UVA	12.3
130.3	Passing Yards	290.0	UVA	159.8
10.4	PYPC	12.9	UVA	2.5
5.0	PYPA	8.4	UVA	3.4
47.6	Completion PCT	64.8	UVA	17.1
116.8	Rushing Yards	139.8	UVA	23.0
3.4	RYPA	4.2	UVA	0.8
45.0	PenaltyYards	65.0	FSU	20.0
1.8	Turnovers	1.3	UVA	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	FSU	Edge	Margin
0	Games	3	FSU	3
0.0	Points Scored	30.7	FSU	30.7
0.0	Passing Yards	188.3	FSU	188.3
0.0	PYPC	13.1	FSU	13.1
0.0	PYPA	8.1	FSU	8.1
0.0	Completion PCT	61.4	FSU	61.4
0.0	Rushing Yards	198.3	FSU	198.3
0.0	RYPA	5.3	FSU	5.3
0.0	PenaltyYards	69.0	UVA	69.0
0.0	Turnovers	1.0	UVA	1.0

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	FSU	Edge	Margin
0	Games	3	UVA	3
0.0	Points Scored	17.0	UVA	17.0
0.0	Passing Yards	280.0	UVA	280.0
0.0	PYPC	12.5	UVA	12.5
0.0	PYPA	7.7	UVA	7.7
0.0	Completion PCT	61.5	UVA	61.5
0.0	Rushing Yards	104.0	UVA	104.0
0.0	RYPA	3.2	UVA	3.2
0.0	PenaltyYards	68.3	FSU	68.3
0.0	Turnovers	1.7	FSU	1.7

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	FSU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
29.6	Points Scored	25.9	UVA	3.7
235.7	Passing Yards	241.1	FSU	5.4
10.9	PYPC	15.2	FSU	4.3
7.1	PYPA	8.6	FSU	1.5
65.6	Completion PCT	57.0	UVA	8.6
178.7	Rushing Yards	166.6	UVA	12.1
4.4	RYPA	4.5	FSU	0.1
43.0	PenaltyYards	49.1	UVA	6.1
1.0	Turnovers	1.5	UVA	0.5

Defensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	FSU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
14.7	Points Scored	22.7	UVA	8.0
142.8	Passing Yards	214.9	UVA	72.1
10.8	PYPC	11.7	UVA	0.9
5.5	PYPA	7.4	UVA	1.9
51.0	Completion PCT	63.1	UVA	12.1
107.1	Rushing Yards	151.8	UVA	44.7
3.2	RYPA	4.0	UVA	0.8
45.4	PenaltyYards	55.1	FSU	9.7
1.4	Turnovers	1.1	UVA	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

UVA	Statistic	FSU	Edge	Margin
12	Games	12	-	0
16.4	Points Scored	31.0	FSU	14.6
238.6	Passing Yards	250.7	FSU	12.1
10.2	PYPC	13.1	FSU	2.9
6.5	PYPA	7.7	FSU	1.2
63.6	Completion PCT	59.0	UVA	4.6
57.8	Rushing Yards	194.7	FSU	136.9
1.9	RYPA	4.9	FSU	3.0
53.8	PenaltyYards	73.3	UVA	19.5
2.3	Turnovers	1.7	FSU	0.7

Player	Pos	Injury
Virginia
JaSon Prevard	S	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Florida State
Devon Baxter	DE	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs Florida State
Grant Ellinger	OL	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs Florida State
Peyton Lewis	RB	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs Florida State
Bull Richardson	DT	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Florida State
Noah Hartsoe	OL	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Florida State
Gavin Johnson	DE	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Florida State
Isaiah Reese	LB	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Florida State
Jack Stevens	RB	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Florida State
Alex Dunn	DB	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Florida State
Triston Ward	WR	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Florida State
Jaylen Jones	S	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Florida State
Dillon Newton-Short	WR	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Florida State
Jason Hammond	DT	Elbow - is out indefinitely
Tim Hamann	K	Undisclosed - is out indefinitely
Solomon Beebe	RB	Suspension - is out indefinitely

Player	Position	Injury
Florida ST
Gavin Markey	TE	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Virginia
Chuck Kennon	DB	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Virginia
TaeShaun Gelsey	WR	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Virginia
Jordan Crutchfield	DB	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Virginia
Xavier Tiller	TE	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Virginia
Donny Hiebert	DB	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Virginia
Caleb LaVallee	LB	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Virginia
KJ Kirkland	DB	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Virginia
Chris Jones	LB	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Virginia
Ashlynd Barker	DB	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Virginia
Quindarrius Jones	DB	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Virginia
Antonio Cromartie Jr	DB	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Virginia
Zae Thomas	DB	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Virginia
Jamari Howard	DB	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Virginia
Karson Hobbs	DB	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Virginia
Devin Carter	WR	Back - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Virginia
Darryll Desir	DL	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Virginia
Daylen Green	LB	Undisclosed - is out for season
Samuel Singleton Jr	RB	Lower Body - is out indefinitely
Blake Nichelson	LB	Undisclosed - is out indefinitely
Izayia Williams	LB	Knee - is out for season
Jaden ONeal	QB	Undisclosed - is out for season