Home-2

UCF at

TDECU Stadium

OVERCAST CLOUDS [ 89° ] - Wind SE at 17 MPH

12:00 PM ET (ESP2)	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
UCF	0	+11.5		3-1	3-1-0	2-2-0	36.3	15.3	22.2	54
Houston (20)	0	-11.5	51.5	3-1	2-2-0	4-0-0	44.5	20.5	31.8	-9.6

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Zak Bigelow	CFB	2026-10-03	UCF (+12.5) (-112) at Houston	-	-
Jensen Lewis	CFB	2026-10-03	Houston (-10.5) (-124) vs UCF [ 2.5 units ]	-	-

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 3	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
	DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
UCF Knights	+11.5		48.0		22.2	54.0	22.2	53.6
Houston Cougars	-11.5	51.5	54.5	-11.3	31.8	-9.6	31.4	-9.2

2026 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
UCF			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 26	VS TCU	+142	+3.5	48.5	21-13	W	W	U	64%	35%	16%	31%	73%	76%
3	Sep 19	VS Georgia ST	-1050	-17.5	50.5	44-30	W	L	O	94%	97%	33%	61%	21%	75%
2	Sep 12	at Pittsburgh	+240	+7.5	55.5	7-12	L	W	U	26%	8%	11%	17%	89%	81%
1	Sep 3	VS Bethune-Cookman	-	-43.5	58.5	73-6	W	W	O	0%	0%	61%	51%	55%	49%

2026 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Houston			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 26	at Georgia Southern	-950	-17.5	56.5	42-28	W	L	O	92%	99%	40%	83%	79%	70%
3	Sep 18	at Texas Tech	+260	+7.5	52.5	26-28	L	W	O	58%	30%	60%	59%	54%	74%
2	Sep 12	VS Southern U	-	-51.5	61.5	77-6	W	W	O	0%	0%	70%	74%	87%	75%
1	Sep 5	VS Oregon ST	-1450	-21	50.5	33-20	W	L	O	40%	92%	72%	70%	82%	81%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2025 Nov 7	Houston Cougars UCF Knights	30 27	+1.5 -1.5	-105 -115	47.5	HOUS	HOUS	DOG	Road	Over
2023 Nov 25	Houston Cougars UCF Knights	13 27	+15.5 -15.5	+455 -625	61	CFLA	HOUS	DOG	Road	Under
2020 Oct 31	UCF Knights Houston Cougars	44 21	-3 +3	-157 +137	81.5	CFLA	CFLA	FAV	Road	Under
2019 Nov 2	Houston Cougars UCF Knights	29 44	+21.5 -21.5	+1011 -1900	73.5	CFLA	HOUS	DOG	Road	Under
2016 Oct 29	UCF Knights Houston Cougars	24 31	+9 -9	+260 -325	58.5	HOUS	CFLA	DOG	Road	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	HOU	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
36.3	Points Scored	44.5	HOU	8.3
158.0	Passing Yards	257.3	HOU	99.3
10.4	PYPC	13.0	HOU	2.7
7.0	PYPA	9.4	HOU	2.3
67.8	Completion PCT	71.8	HOU	4.0
197.5	Rushing Yards	248.5	HOU	51.0
5.9	RYPA	6.1	HOU	0.1
49.5	PenaltyYards	53.8	USF	4.3
1.0	Turnovers	0.8	HOU	0.3

Defensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	HOU	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
15.3	Points Scored	20.5	USF	5.3
219.5	Passing Yards	262.3	USF	42.8
10.6	PYPC	12.6	USF	2.1
6.4	PYPA	7.8	USF	1.4
60.1	Completion PCT	61.5	USF	1.3
111.5	Rushing Yards	63.5	HOU	48.0
3.1	RYPA	2.4	HOU	0.7
67.0	PenaltyYards	46.3	USF	20.8
2.3	Turnovers	1.5	USF	0.8

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	HOU	Edge	Margin
1	Games	2	HOU	1
7.0	Points Scored	55.0	HOU	48.0
186.0	Passing Yards	254.0	HOU	68.0
9.3	PYPC	14.5	HOU	5.2
6.0	PYPA	10.2	HOU	4.2
64.5	Completion PCT	70.0	HOU	5.5
20.0	Rushing Yards	308.0	HOU	288.0
0.9	RYPA	7.2	HOU	6.3
50.0	PenaltyYards	55.0	USF	5.0
0.0	Turnovers	1.0	USF	1.0

Defensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	HOU	Edge	Margin
1	Games	2	USF	1
12.0	Points Scored	13.0	USF	1.0
212.0	Passing Yards	251.5	USF	39.5
11.8	PYPC	12.9	USF	1.1
7.3	PYPA	7.4	USF	0.1
62.1	Completion PCT	57.4	HOU	4.7
103.0	Rushing Yards	10.0	HOU	93.0
2.4	RYPA	0.4	HOU	2.0
64.0	PenaltyYards	43.0	USF	21.0
0.0	Turnovers	1.5	HOU	1.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	HOU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
26.7	Points Scored	35.0	HOU	8.3
194.5	Passing Yards	236.3	HOU	41.8
10.4	PYPC	11.5	HOU	1.1
6.7	PYPA	8.0	HOU	1.3
64.0	Completion PCT	69.6	HOU	5.6
148.4	Rushing Yards	212.2	HOU	63.8
4.9	RYPA	5.0	HOU	0.1
54.4	PenaltyYards	39.0	HOU	15.4
1.6	Turnovers	1.3	HOU	0.3

Defensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	HOU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
23.7	Points Scored	24.6	USF	0.9
215.4	Passing Yards	253.9	USF	38.5
10.6	PYPC	12.8	USF	2.3
6.6	PYPA	7.5	USF	0.9
62.4	Completion PCT	58.6	HOU	3.8
136.4	Rushing Yards	106.6	HOU	29.8
3.5	RYPA	3.6	USF	0.1
53.5	PenaltyYards	67.6	HOU	14.1
1.6	Turnovers	1.6	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

USF	Statistic	HOU	Edge	Margin
12	Games	12	-	0
29.3	Points Scored	29.5	HOU	0.3
230.2	Passing Yards	257.0	HOU	26.8
13.2	PYPC	11.6	USF	1.6
8.3	PYPA	7.0	USF	1.3
63.1	Completion PCT	60.1	USF	3.0
182.2	Rushing Yards	173.3	USF	8.9
4.4	RYPA	4.8	HOU	0.4
49.5	PenaltyYards	56.3	USF	6.8
2.0	Turnovers	2.1	USF	0.1

Player	Pos	Injury
UCF
Zack Palmer	WR	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Houston
Alhassan Iddrissu	DE	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Houston
Jayden Jennings	LB	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Houston
Keyone Jenkins	QB	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Houston
Jayden Bellamy	DB	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Houston
Jonathan Bibbs	WR	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Houston
Dylan Burk	TE	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs Houston
Owen Spell	OL	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Houston
Trenton Turner	DT	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Houston
Lewis Carter	LB	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Houston
Antonio Branch	DB	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Houston
Dante Carr	QB	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Houston
Duane Thomas Jr	WR	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Houston
Dylan Wade	TE	Shoulder - is "?" Saturday vs Houston
Alonza Barnett III	QB	Hamstring - is out indefinitely

Player	Position	Injury
Houston
Ejiro Egodogbare	DL	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Central Florida
JD Rhym	DB	Undisclosed - is probable Saturday vs Central Florida
Muizz Tounkara	WR	Foot - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Central Florida
Jeffrey Strozier Jr	WR	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Central Florida
Quindario Lee	DL	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Central Florida
Mudassir Abdullah	DB	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Saturday vs Central Florida
Evan Noel	K	Undisclosed - is OUT Saturday vs Central Florida
Bryson Castile	LB	Undisclosed - is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Central Florida
Myles Rowser	DB	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs Central Florida
Stephon Johnson	WR	Undisclosed - is "?" Saturday vs Central Florida