Shohei Ohtani presents compelling value on the under despite the hefty juice, with our projections showing him recording just 11.9 outs against an 18.5 line for a significant 35.2% Poisson edge. While his recent averages hover around the number at 18.6 outs over his last five starts, the projection suggests meaningful regression is due.

The Dodgers have been managing Ohtani's workload carefully in his first season back from elbow surgery, and facing Colorado at Dodger Stadium could present an opportunity for a shorter outing if the offense provides early run support. With the under hitting at a 40% clip in his last five starts, there's clear precedent for Ohtani falling short of this number even when his averages suggest otherwise.