Jared McCain presents a compelling under opportunity tonight with our projection of 0.9 rebounds sitting significantly below the 2.5 line, creating a substantial 47.4% Poisson edge. The rookie guard has averaged just 2.1 rebounds both over his last 10 games and on the season, with his recent hot streak of 3.4 rebounds over the last five games actually working against this line.

The under has cashed at a 60% clip in McCain's last five outings, and while his seasonal hit rate of 35% might seem concerning, that number is skewed by early-season variance typical of rookie players finding their role. Tonight's road spot in San Antonio should favor a more controlled game script where McCain's rebounding opportunities remain limited in his primary role as a perimeter scorer.

At +116 odds, we're getting excellent value on a prop where the mathematical edge strongly favors the under, making this a sharp play despite the speculative confidence rating.