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FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
NC State	24	-8		2-1	0-3-0	2-1-0	31.0	22.0	27.4	48.6
Virginia	21	+8	47	0-3	1-2-0	3-0-0	20.7	42.3	21.2	6.2

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
NC State			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
3	Sep 16	VS VMI	-	-43.5	51.5	45-7	W	L	O	0%	0%	21%	32%	93%	71%
2	Sep 9	VS Notre Dame	+225	+7	49.5	24-45	L	L	O	6%	3%	28%	14%	55%	75%
1	Aug 31	at Connecticut	-700	-14.5	48	24-14	W	L	U	75%	86%	40%	50%	51%	70%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Virginia			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
3	Sep 15	at Maryland	+500	+15.5	48	14-42	L	L	O	9%	9%	30%	32%	79%	79%
2	Sep 9	VS James Madison	+185	+6	40	35-36	L	W	O	70%	53%	47%	56%	41%	66%
1	Sep 2	(n) Tennessee	+1700	+27.5	55.5	13-49	L	L	O	22%	7%	15%	23%	78%	81%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2020 Oct 10	NC State Wolfpack Virginia Cavaliers	38 21	+7 -7	+222 -270	59	NCST	NCST	DOG	Road	Push
2018 Sep 29	Virginia Cavaliers NC State Wolfpack	21 35	+6.5 -6.5	+199 -240	53	NCST	NCST	FAV	Home	Over
2012 Nov 3	Virginia Cavaliers NC State Wolfpack	33 6	+10.5 -10.5	+335 -405	52.5	VIRG	VIRG	DOG	Road	Under
2011 Oct 22	NC State Wolfpack Virginia Cavaliers	28 14	+3 -3	+150 -170	51.5	NCST	NCST	DOG	Road	Under
2007 Oct 27	Virginia Cavaliers NC State Wolfpack	24 29	-3.5 +3.5	- -	44	NCST	NCST	DOG	Home	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NCST	Statistic	UVA	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
31.0	Points Scored	20.7	NCST	10.3
226.3	Passing Yards	248.7	UVA	22.3
10.3	PYPC	13.8	UVA	3.5
6.4	PYPA	8.4	UVA	2.0
62.3	Completion PCT	60.7	NCST	1.6
175.7	Rushing Yards	68.0	NCST	107.7
4.4	RYPA	1.9	NCST	2.4
40.0	PenaltyYards	45.3	NCST	5.3
1.0	Turnovers	1.7	NCST	0.7

Defensive Statistics

NCST	Statistic	UVA	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
22.0	Points Scored	42.3	NCST	20.3
191.7	Passing Yards	260.7	NCST	69.0
13.4	PYPC	12.4	UVA	1.0
7.7	PYPA	8.2	NCST	0.6
57.3	Completion PCT	66.3	NCST	9.0
115.0	Rushing Yards	191.0	NCST	76.0
4.1	RYPA	4.9	NCST	0.8
57.7	PenaltyYards	57.0	NCST	0.7
1.0	Turnovers	0.3	NCST	0.7

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NCST	Statistic	UVA	Edge	Margin
1	Games	1	-	0
24.0	Points Scored	35.0	UVA	11.0
155.0	Passing Yards	377.0	UVA	222.0
9.1	PYPC	18.9	UVA	9.7
6.0	PYPA	14.5	UVA	8.5
65.4	Completion PCT	76.9	UVA	11.5
209.0	Rushing Yards	18.0	NCST	191.0
4.5	RYPA	0.5	NCST	4.0
5.0	PenaltyYards	80.0	NCST	75.0
0.0	Turnovers	1.0	NCST	1.0

Defensive Statistics

NCST	Statistic	UVA	Edge	Margin
1	Games	1	-	0
14.0	Points Scored	36.0	NCST	22.0
113.0	Passing Yards	228.0	NCST	115.0
8.1	PYPC	10.9	NCST	2.8
4.2	PYPA	7.1	NCST	2.9
51.9	Completion PCT	65.6	NCST	13.8
160.0	Rushing Yards	167.0	NCST	7.0
6.2	RYPA	4.9	UVA	1.2
61.0	PenaltyYards	56.0	NCST	5.0
1.0	Turnovers	0.0	NCST	1.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NCST	Statistic	UVA	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
22.6	Points Scored	17.9	NCST	4.7
223.4	Passing Yards	224.6	UVA	1.2
10.8	PYPC	12.1	UVA	1.4
6.2	PYPA	6.9	UVA	0.7
57.0	Completion PCT	56.6	NCST	0.5
116.0	Rushing Yards	90.5	NCST	25.5
3.3	RYPA	2.9	NCST	0.5
48.0	PenaltyYards	58.8	NCST	10.8
1.1	Turnovers	1.9	NCST	0.8

Defensive Statistics

NCST	Statistic	UVA	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
22.1	Points Scored	31.2	NCST	9.1
240.7	Passing Yards	223.5	UVA	17.2
12.7	PYPC	11.7	UVA	1.0
7.3	PYPA	7.2	UVA	0.1
57.3	Completion PCT	61.4	NCST	4.1
97.6	Rushing Yards	164.8	NCST	67.2
3.2	RYPA	4.0	NCST	0.8
65.1	PenaltyYards	56.0	NCST	9.1
1.4	Turnovers	0.9	NCST	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NCST	Statistic	UVA	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
24.4	Points Scored	20.2	NCST	4.2
256.5	Passing Yards	215.0	NCST	41.5
11.4	PYPC	10.6	NCST	0.8
6.8	PYPA	5.8	NCST	1.0
59.8	Completion PCT	55.0	NCST	4.8
121.4	Rushing Yards	131.0	UVA	9.6
3.6	RYPA	3.7	UVA	0.2
49.7	PenaltyYards	45.5	UVA	4.2
1.8	Turnovers	1.8	-	0.0

Betting Splits

Friday,September 22	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
North Carolina ST Virginia	-8 +8	69% 31%	75% 25%	47 47	67% 33%	74% 26%	-325 +260	88% 12%	92% 8%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Friday, September 22	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
NC State Wolfpack	24	-8.0		47.0		27.4	48.6	28.9	46.2
Virginia Cavaliers	21	+8.0	47.0	34.0	11.8	21.2	6.2	17.3	11.6

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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