Home-2

SMU at

Amon Carter Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
SMU	17	+6.5		2-1	2-1-0	1-2-0	39.3	14.0	28.1	63.1
TCU	34	-6.5	62	2-1	1-2-0	1-2-0	39.7	21.3	34.9	-6.8

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
SMU			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
3	Sep 16	VS Prairie View A&M	-	-42	63	69-0	W	W	O	0%	0%	68%	62%	91%	42%
2	Sep 9	at Oklahoma	+525	+16.5	68.5	11-28	L	L	U	10%	2%	26%	20%	92%	83%
1	Sep 2	VS Louisiana Tech	-1450	-21	66	38-14	W	W	U	89%	95%	55%	64%	81%	51%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
TCU			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
3	Sep 16	at Houston	-285	-7	64	36-13	W	W	U	60%	86%	55%	65%	86%	73%
2	Sep 9	VS Nicholls ST	-	-41.5	59.5	41-6	W	L	U	0%	0%	92%	84%	81%	65%
1	Sep 2	VS Colorado	-1350	-21	63.5	42-45	L	L	O	32%	60%	51%	44%	49%	46%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Sep 24	TCU horned Frogs SMU Mustangs	42 34	-2.5 +2.5	-125 +105	72	TCU	TCU	FAV	Road	Over
2021 Sep 25	SMU Mustangs TCU horned Frogs	42 34	+9.5 -9.5	+315 -380	65.5	SMET	SMET	DOG	Road	Over
2019 Sep 21	SMU Mustangs TCU horned Frogs	41 38	+8 -8	+258 -318	54.5	SMET	SMET	DOG	Road	Over
2018 Sep 7	TCU horned Frogs SMU Mustangs	42 12	-23.5 +23.5	-1700 +947	59	TCU	TCU	FAV	Road	Under
2017 Sep 16	SMU Mustangs TCU horned Frogs	36 56	+22 -22	+1051 -2000	65.5	TCU	SMET	DOG	Road	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SMU	Statistic	TCU	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
39.3	Points Scored	39.7	TCU	0.3
295.7	Passing Yards	302.0	TCU	6.3
12.9	PYPC	11.9	SMU	0.9
8.1	PYPA	8.1	SMU	0.1
63.3	Completion PCT	67.9	TCU	4.6
167.7	Rushing Yards	213.7	TCU	46.0
4.4	RYPA	5.1	TCU	0.7
41.7	PenaltyYards	67.7	SMU	26.0
1.0	Turnovers	2.0	SMU	1.0

Defensive Statistics

SMU	Statistic	TCU	Edge	Margin
3	Games	3	-	0
14.0	Points Scored	21.3	SMU	7.3
159.7	Passing Yards	304.0	SMU	144.3
10.2	PYPC	12.7	SMU	2.5
6.2	PYPA	7.7	SMU	1.5
61.0	Completion PCT	61.0	TCU	0.0
103.7	Rushing Yards	60.7	TCU	43.0
2.8	RYPA	1.8	TCU	1.0
78.7	PenaltyYards	46.7	SMU	32.0
0.3	Turnovers	1.7	TCU	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SMU	Statistic	TCU	Edge	Margin
1	Games	2	TCU	1
11.0	Points Scored	41.5	TCU	30.5
250.0	Passing Yards	296.0	TCU	46.0
9.6	PYPC	11.4	TCU	1.8
5.6	PYPA	7.9	TCU	2.3
57.8	Completion PCT	69.3	TCU	11.6
117.0	Rushing Yards	195.5	TCU	78.5
3.4	RYPA	5.3	TCU	1.8
15.0	PenaltyYards	64.0	SMU	49.0
2.0	Turnovers	2.0	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

SMU	Statistic	TCU	Edge	Margin
1	Games	2	SMU	1
28.0	Points Scored	25.5	TCU	2.5
176.0	Passing Yards	343.5	SMU	167.5
9.3	PYPC	12.5	SMU	3.2
6.5	PYPA	8.3	SMU	1.8
70.4	Completion PCT	66.3	TCU	4.1
189.0	Rushing Yards	70.5	TCU	118.5
4.0	RYPA	1.9	TCU	2.1
88.0	PenaltyYards	40.0	SMU	48.0
0.0	Turnovers	1.5	TCU	1.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SMU	Statistic	TCU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
38.9	Points Scored	34.7	SMU	4.2
289.3	Passing Yards	242.6	SMU	46.7
11.8	PYPC	12.2	TCU	0.4
7.9	PYPA	7.6	SMU	0.2
66.9	Completion PCT	62.6	SMU	4.3
170.2	Rushing Yards	179.7	TCU	9.5
4.1	RYPA	4.6	TCU	0.5
41.7	PenaltyYards	57.6	SMU	15.9
1.1	Turnovers	1.6	SMU	0.5

Defensive Statistics

SMU	Statistic	TCU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
30.5	Points Scored	28.1	TCU	2.4
210.0	Passing Yards	255.6	SMU	45.6
12.1	PYPC	12.5	SMU	0.5
7.0	PYPA	7.3	SMU	0.3
57.8	Completion PCT	58.0	SMU	0.1
170.4	Rushing Yards	144.1	TCU	26.3
4.7	RYPA	3.9	TCU	0.7
64.0	PenaltyYards	44.6	SMU	19.4
1.0	Turnovers	1.5	TCU	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SMU	Statistic	TCU	Edge	Margin
21	Games	21	-	0
18.4	Points Scored	38.2	TCU	19.8
211.4	Passing Yards	248.3	TCU	36.9
12.6	PYPC	13.3	TCU	0.7
6.3	PYPA	8.2	TCU	1.9
49.6	Completion PCT	61.4	TCU	11.9
101.7	Rushing Yards	188.5	TCU	86.8
2.9	RYPA	4.6	TCU	1.7
46.3	PenaltyYards	68.1	SMU	21.8
2.2	Turnovers	1.6	TCU	0.6

Betting Splits

Saturday,September 23	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
SMU TCU	+6.5 -6.5	19% 81%	22% 78%	62.5 62.5	61% 39%	65% 35%	+220 -270	26% 74%	6% 94%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, September 23	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
SMU Mustangs	17	+6.5		48.5		28.1	63.1	29.8	63.9
TCU horned Frogs	34	-6.5	62.0	51.0	-4.6	34.9	-6.8	34.2	-4.4

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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