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Warren Mcguirk Alumni Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Arkansas ST	52	+2.5		2-2	1-2-1	2-2-0	19.5	38.5	29.1	58.8
Massachusetts	28	-2.5	56	1-4	2-3-0	4-1-0	26.2	36.6	29.7	-0.6

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Arkansas ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 23	VS Southern Miss	+195	+6.5	46.5	44-37	W	W	O	25%	11%	49%	34%	14%	45%
3	Sep 16	VS Stony Brook	-	-24	48	31-7	W	P	U	0%	0%	39%	68%	43%	76%
2	Sep 9	VS Memphis	+950	+21	57	3-37	L	L	U	28%	8%	18%	23%	39%	72%
1	Sep 2	at Oklahoma	-	+36	57.5	0-73	L	L	O	0%	0%	20%	32%	81%	73%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Massachusetts			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 23	VS New Mexico	-148	-3	48.5	31-34	L	L	O	62%	71%	60%	64%	37%	32%
3	Sep 16	at E Michigan	+240	+7.5	50.5	17-19	L	W	U	21%	7%	69%	38%	50%	55%
2	Sep 9	VS Miami OH	+215	+7	44	28-41	L	L	O	37%	14%	61%	45%	48%	66%
1	Sep 2	at Auburn	-	+35	52	14-59	L	L	O	0%	0%	48%	47%	92%	77%
1	Aug 26	at New Mexico ST	+225	+7	45.5	41-30	W	W	O	13%	9%	35%	28%	48%	62%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Nov 12	Massachusetts Minutemen Arkansas ST Red Wolves	33 35	+17.5 -17.5	+625 -900	49.5	ARST	MASS	DOG	Road	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

ARST	Statistic	MASS	Edge	Margin
4	Games	5	MASS	1
19.5	Points Scored	26.2	MASS	6.7
174.8	Passing Yards	247.0	MASS	72.3
12.3	PYPC	14.5	MASS	2.3
6.2	PYPA	8.7	MASS	2.5
50.9	Completion PCT	59.9	MASS	9.0
162.3	Rushing Yards	144.0	ARST	18.3
4.5	RYPA	4.2	ARST	0.4
51.5	PenaltyYards	76.0	ARST	24.5
1.5	Turnovers	1.6	ARST	0.1

Defensive Statistics

ARST	Statistic	MASS	Edge	Margin
4	Games	5	ARST	1
38.5	Points Scored	36.6	MASS	1.9
274.3	Passing Yards	220.4	MASS	53.9
11.9	PYPC	17.5	ARST	5.6
8.4	PYPA	9.5	ARST	1.1
70.2	Completion PCT	54.3	MASS	15.9
173.5	Rushing Yards	198.6	ARST	25.1
4.5	RYPA	5.5	ARST	1.0
48.8	PenaltyYards	58.0	MASS	9.3
0.5	Turnovers	1.4	MASS	0.9

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

ARST	Statistic	MASS	Edge	Margin
1	Games	2	MASS	1
0.0	Points Scored	29.5	MASS	29.5
160.0	Passing Yards	271.0	MASS	111.0
12.3	PYPC	14.3	MASS	2.0
5.9	PYPA	9.0	MASS	3.1
48.2	Completion PCT	63.3	MASS	15.2
48.0	Rushing Yards	129.5	MASS	81.5
2.1	RYPA	3.5	MASS	1.4
111.0	PenaltyYards	78.5	MASS	32.5
1.0	Turnovers	1.0	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

ARST	Statistic	MASS	Edge	Margin
1	Games	2	ARST	1
73.0	Points Scored	37.5	MASS	35.5
422.0	Passing Yards	247.0	MASS	175.0
14.1	PYPC	23.5	ARST	9.5
12.8	PYPA	12.7	MASS	0.1
90.9	Completion PCT	53.9	MASS	37.1
220.0	Rushing Yards	140.0	MASS	80.0
4.5	RYPA	3.8	MASS	0.7
65.0	PenaltyYards	62.5	ARST	2.5
0.0	Turnovers	1.5	MASS	1.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

ARST	Statistic	MASS	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
18.5	Points Scored	19.7	MASS	1.2
190.1	Passing Yards	210.5	MASS	20.4
11.2	PYPC	12.8	MASS	1.6
6.1	PYPA	7.1	MASS	1.1
54.5	Completion PCT	55.9	MASS	1.4
98.7	Rushing Yards	133.8	MASS	35.1
3.5	RYPA	3.7	MASS	0.3
51.9	PenaltyYards	65.8	ARST	13.9
1.1	Turnovers	1.8	ARST	0.7

Defensive Statistics

ARST	Statistic	MASS	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
34.0	Points Scored	33.2	MASS	0.8
241.6	Passing Yards	178.5	MASS	63.1
11.9	PYPC	16.8	ARST	4.9
7.6	PYPA	9.1	ARST	1.5
63.6	Completion PCT	54.1	MASS	9.6
183.1	Rushing Yards	205.3	ARST	22.2
4.3	RYPA	5.5	ARST	1.2
42.7	PenaltyYards	51.6	MASS	8.9
1.0	Turnovers	1.2	MASS	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

ARST	Statistic	MASS	Edge	Margin
1	Games	1	-	0
35.0	Points Scored	33.0	ARST	2.0
142.0	Passing Yards	307.0	MASS	165.0
14.2	PYPC	12.8	ARST	1.4
7.9	PYPA	7.1	ARST	0.8
55.6	Completion PCT	55.8	MASS	0.3
133.0	Rushing Yards	168.0	MASS	35.0
5.5	RYPA	3.3	ARST	2.3
62.0	PenaltyYards	25.0	MASS	37.0
1.0	Turnovers	2.0	ARST	1.0

Betting Splits

Saturday,September 30	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Arkansas ST Massachusetts	+2 -2	7% 93%	25% 75%	56 56	93% 7%	42% 58%	+114 -135	15% 85%	41% 59%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, September 30	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Arkansas ST Red Wolves	52	+2.5		23.0		29.1	58.8	25.6	53.3
Massachusetts Minutemen	28	-2.5	56.0	24.0	-1.1	29.7	-0.6	27.8	-2.2

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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