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FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Bowling Green	24	+3		2-4	3-3-0	3-3-0	18.8	28.7	26.2	51.2
Buffalo	14	-3	45	2-4	4-2-0	4-2-0	28.2	33.5	25.1	1.1

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Bowling Green			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
6	Oct 7	at Miami OH	+280	+8	43	0-27	L	L	U	10%	3%	60%	33%	44%	81%
5	Sep 30	at Georgia Tech	+850	+21	48.5	38-27	W	W	O	20%	3%	36%	29%	42%	67%
4	Sep 23	VS Ohio	+350	+12.5	46	7-38	L	L	U	29%	5%	40%	42%	75%	69%
3	Sep 16	at Michigan	-	+40.5	53.5	6-31	L	W	U	0%	0%	47%	48%	69%	71%
2	Sep 9	VS E Illinois	-900	-17	49	38-15	W	W	O	80%	75%	45%	57%	27%	71%
1	Sep 2	at Liberty	+245	+7.5	48.5	24-34	L	L	O	19%	11%	88%	35%	42%	63%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Buffalo			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
6	Oct 7	VS C Michigan	+124	+3	52	37-13	W	W	U	56%	35%	29%	30%	21%	58%
5	Sep 30	at Akron	+130	+3	53	13-10	W	W	U	53%	26%	32%	26%	63%	55%
4	Sep 23	at Louisiana	+295	+10	57.5	38-45	L	W	O	7%	4%	10%	16%	15%	52%
3	Sep 16	VS Liberty	+130	+3	54	27-55	L	L	O	54%	33%	58%	35%	65%	70%
2	Sep 9	VS Fordham	-2100	-23.5	55.5	37-40	L	L	O	75%	91%	93%	81%	97%	62%
1	Sep 2	at Wisconsin	+2200	+28.5	52.5	17-38	L	W	O	16%	3%	25%	23%	44%	43%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 8	Buffalo Bulls Bowling Green Falcons	38 7	-2 +2	-125 +105	55.5	BUFF	BUFF	FAV	Road	Under
2021 Oct 30	Bowling Green Falcons Buffalo Bulls	56 44	+13.5 -13.5	+415 -525	51.5	BGRN	BGRN	DOG	Road	Over
2020 Nov 17	Buffalo Bulls Bowling Green Falcons	42 17	-31.5 +31.5	- -	58.5	BUFF	BGRN	DOG	Home	Over
2019 Nov 29	Bowling Green Falcons Buffalo Bulls	7 49	+28 -28	+1628 -5500	54	BUFF	BUFF	FAV	HOME	Over
2018 Nov 23	Buffalo Bulls Bowling Green Falcons	44 14	-15 +15	-675 +492	63	BUFF	BUFF	FAV	Road	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BG	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
6	Games	6	-	0
18.8	Points Scored	28.2	BUF	9.3
178.0	Passing Yards	217.3	BUF	39.3
10.8	PYPC	9.6	BG	1.2
6.3	PYPA	5.9	BG	0.4
58.2	Completion PCT	61.0	BUF	2.8
125.5	Rushing Yards	119.8	BG	5.7
4.0	RYPA	3.5	BG	0.5
76.7	PenaltyYards	56.3	BUF	20.3
2.2	Turnovers	0.8	BUF	1.3

Defensive Statistics

BG	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
6	Games	6	-	0
28.7	Points Scored	33.5	BG	4.8
209.2	Passing Yards	251.2	BG	42.0
13.4	PYPC	11.4	BUF	1.9
9.0	PYPA	7.5	BUF	1.5
67.1	Completion PCT	65.4	BUF	1.8
145.3	Rushing Yards	192.5	BG	47.2
4.1	RYPA	5.5	BG	1.4
44.7	PenaltyYards	47.5	BUF	2.8
1.8	Turnovers	1.7	BG	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BG	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
4	Games	3	BG	1
17.0	Points Scored	33.7	BUF	16.7
149.0	Passing Yards	257.7	BUF	108.7
10.5	PYPC	10.6	BUF	0.1
5.5	PYPA	6.8	BUF	1.3
52.8	Completion PCT	64.6	BUF	11.8
127.5	Rushing Yards	102.3	BG	25.2
3.9	RYPA	3.2	BG	0.7
69.3	PenaltyYards	53.7	BUF	15.6
2.3	Turnovers	1.0	BUF	1.3

Defensive Statistics

BG	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
4	Games	3	BUF	1
29.8	Points Scored	36.0	BG	6.3
201.0	Passing Yards	311.0	BG	110.0
14.1	PYPC	13.9	BUF	0.2
9.1	PYPA	8.2	BUF	1.0
64.8	Completion PCT	58.8	BUF	6.0
167.5	Rushing Yards	151.7	BUF	15.8
4.5	RYPA	4.4	BUF	0.2
38.0	PenaltyYards	67.7	BUF	29.7
2.3	Turnovers	1.3	BG	0.9

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BG	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
19.4	Points Scored	26.9	BUF	7.5
215.9	Passing Yards	218.9	BUF	3.0
11.7	PYPC	10.0	BG	1.7
7.1	PYPA	6.0	BG	1.1
60.1	Completion PCT	60.0	BG	0.1
100.2	Rushing Yards	128.9	BUF	28.7
3.4	RYPA	3.3	BG	0.1
69.5	PenaltyYards	55.3	BUF	14.2
2.3	Turnovers	1.0	BUF	1.3

Defensive Statistics

BG	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
30.9	Points Scored	30.5	BUF	0.4
216.1	Passing Yards	238.3	BG	22.2
13.5	PYPC	11.2	BUF	2.3
8.3	PYPA	6.9	BUF	1.4
61.5	Completion PCT	61.1	BUF	0.4
165.4	Rushing Yards	181.3	BG	15.9
4.2	RYPA	5.4	BG	1.2
42.4	PenaltyYards	46.4	BUF	4.0
1.6	Turnovers	1.7	BUF	0.1

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BG	Statistic	BUF	Edge	Margin
20	Games	20	-	0
27.8	Points Scored	27.7	BG	0.1
218.0	Passing Yards	204.3	BG	13.8
13.3	PYPC	11.5	BG	1.8
7.4	PYPA	6.4	BG	1.0
55.5	Completion PCT	55.5	BG	0.0
157.9	Rushing Yards	182.6	BUF	24.7
4.0	RYPA	4.3	BUF	0.3
51.6	PenaltyYards	56.9	BG	5.3
1.8	Turnovers	1.6	BUF	0.2

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 14	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Bowling Green Buffalo	+3 -3	78% 22%	47% 53%	45 45	51% 49%	76% 24%	+130 -155	33% 67%	17% 83%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 14	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Bowling Green Falcons	24	+3.0		29.5		26.2	51.2	25.1	49.4
Buffalo Bulls	14	-3.0	45.0	29.0	-3.2	25.1	1.1	24.4	0.7

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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