Home-2

Yager Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Bowling Green	0	+8		2-3	3-2-0	3-2-0	22.6	29.0	22.3	51.1
Miami OH	27	-8	43	4-1	4-1-0	3-2-0	32.0	22.6	28.8	-6.5

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Bowling Green			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Sep 30	at Georgia Tech	+850	+21	48.5	38-27	W	W	O	20%	3%	36%	29%	42%	67%
4	Sep 23	VS Ohio	+350	+12.5	46	7-38	L	L	U	29%	5%	40%	42%	75%	69%
3	Sep 16	at Michigan	-	+40.5	53.5	6-31	L	W	U	0%	0%	47%	48%	69%	71%
2	Sep 9	VS E Illinois	-900	-17	49	38-15	W	W	O	80%	75%	45%	57%	27%	71%
1	Sep 2	at Liberty	+245	+7.5	48.5	24-34	L	L	O	19%	11%	88%	35%	42%	63%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Miami OH			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Sep 30	at Kent ST	-575	-14	50.5	23-3	W	W	U	85%	97%	67%	67%	48%	55%
4	Sep 23	VS Delaware ST	-	-41	49.5	62-20	W	W	O	0%	0%	35%	34%	64%	70%
3	Sep 16	at Cincinnati	+455	+14	44.5	31-24	W	W	O	8%	2%	47%	23%	70%	86%
2	Sep 9	at Massachusetts	-265	-7	44	41-28	W	W	O	63%	86%	39%	55%	48%	66%
1	Sep 1	at Miami FL	+575	+16.5	45	3-38	L	L	U	11%	7%	33%	30%	68%	75%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 15	Miami OH RedHawks Bowling Green Falcons	13 17	-7 +7	-265 +225	45	BGRN	BGRN	DOG	Home	Under
2021 Nov 16	Bowling Green Falcons Miami OH RedHawks	7 34	+17 -17	+525 -750	52	MIAO	MIAO	FAV	HOME	Under
2019 Nov 13	Bowling Green Falcons Miami OH RedHawks	3 44	+16.5 -16.5	+506 -700	47.5	MIAO	MIAO	FAV	HOME	Under
2018 Sep 22	Miami OH RedHawks Bowling Green Falcons	38 23	-6.5 +6.5	-255 +211	55	MIAO	MIAO	FAV	Road	Over
2017 Oct 7	Bowling Green Falcons Miami OH RedHawks	37 29	+16.5 -16.5	+536 -753	51	BGRN	BGRN	DOG	Road	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BG	Statistic	MIAO	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
22.6	Points Scored	32.0	MIAO	9.4
199.2	Passing Yards	219.8	MIAO	20.6
11.3	PYPC	17.4	MIAO	6.1
6.8	PYPA	9.9	MIAO	3.1
59.9	Completion PCT	56.8	BG	3.1
138.0	Rushing Yards	171.6	MIAO	33.6
4.1	RYPA	5.2	MIAO	1.1
79.4	PenaltyYards	45.2	MIAO	34.2
2.4	Turnovers	1.0	MIAO	1.4

Defensive Statistics

BG	Statistic	MIAO	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
29.0	Points Scored	22.6	MIAO	6.4
217.0	Passing Yards	239.2	BG	22.2
13.7	PYPC	12.1	MIAO	1.7
8.9	PYPA	7.6	MIAO	1.3
64.8	Completion PCT	63.1	MIAO	1.7
137.2	Rushing Yards	139.6	BG	2.4
4.2	RYPA	3.8	MIAO	0.4
44.6	PenaltyYards	65.4	MIAO	20.8
2.0	Turnovers	1.0	BG	1.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BG	Statistic	MIAO	Edge	Margin
3	Games	1	BG	2
22.7	Points Scored	62.0	MIAO	39.3
174.7	Passing Yards	180.0	MIAO	5.3
11.4	PYPC	12.0	MIAO	0.6
6.2	PYPA	8.2	MIAO	2.0
54.1	Completion PCT	68.2	MIAO	14.1
149.0	Rushing Yards	466.0	MIAO	317.0
4.0	RYPA	10.8	MIAO	6.9
71.3	PenaltyYards	45.0	MIAO	26.3
2.7	Turnovers	0.0	MIAO	2.7

Defensive Statistics

BG	Statistic	MIAO	Edge	Margin
3	Games	1	MIAO	2
30.7	Points Scored	20.0	MIAO	10.7
211.3	Passing Yards	274.0	BG	62.7
15.1	PYPC	13.1	MIAO	2.1
9.1	PYPA	8.3	MIAO	0.8
60.0	Completion PCT	63.6	BG	3.6
161.3	Rushing Yards	77.0	MIAO	84.3
4.8	RYPA	2.8	MIAO	2.0
35.7	PenaltyYards	57.0	MIAO	21.3
2.7	Turnovers	0.0	BG	2.7

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BG	Statistic	MIAO	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
20.7	Points Scored	27.5	MIAO	6.8
224.8	Passing Yards	209.1	BG	15.7
11.5	PYPC	14.9	MIAO	3.5
7.2	PYPA	8.2	MIAO	1.0
62.4	Completion PCT	54.7	BG	7.7
106.9	Rushing Yards	141.2	MIAO	34.3
3.5	RYPA	4.1	MIAO	0.6
68.2	PenaltyYards	39.6	MIAO	28.6
2.5	Turnovers	0.7	MIAO	1.8

Defensive Statistics

BG	Statistic	MIAO	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
29.1	Points Scored	22.3	MIAO	6.8
218.2	Passing Yards	243.3	BG	25.1
13.6	PYPC	11.8	MIAO	1.7
8.1	PYPA	7.5	MIAO	0.6
59.9	Completion PCT	63.6	BG	3.7
159.5	Rushing Yards	157.5	MIAO	2.0
4.2	RYPA	4.4	BG	0.2
41.9	PenaltyYards	66.1	MIAO	24.2
1.7	Turnovers	1.4	BG	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BG	Statistic	MIAO	Edge	Margin
19	Games	19	-	0
23.1	Points Scored	26.4	MIAO	3.3
204.9	Passing Yards	229.5	MIAO	24.6
10.6	PYPC	13.0	MIAO	2.5
6.2	PYPA	7.7	MIAO	1.6
58.5	Completion PCT	59.4	MIAO	0.9
139.6	Rushing Yards	130.6	BG	9.0
3.9	RYPA	3.5	BG	0.3
56.2	PenaltyYards	50.8	MIAO	5.4
2.0	Turnovers	2.0	-	0.0

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 7	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Bowling Green Miami OH	+8 -8	60% 40%	33% 67%	43 43	44% 56%	81% 19%	+280 -355	10% 90%	3% 97%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 7	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Bowling Green Falcons	0	+8.0		31.0		22.3	51.1	20.4	51.1
Miami OH RedHawks	27	-8.0	43.0	36.5	-9.0	28.8	-6.5	30.7	-10.3

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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