Home-2

Williams Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
New Mexico ST	27	+11.5		3-2	2-3-0	2-3-0	22.2	22.8	18.3	44.9
Liberty	30	-11.5	48.5	2-4	2-4-0	1-5-0	17.3	20.7	26.6	-8.3

DraftKings Betting Splits

Tuesday,Oct 14	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
New Mexico ST Liberty	+10.5 -10.5	56% 44%	59% 41%	48.5 48.5	29% 71%	43% 57%	+340 -440	20% 80%	21% 79%

Circa Sports Betting Splits

Tuesday,Oct 14	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
New Mexico ST Liberty	+10.5 -10.5	66% 34%	69% 31%	48.5 48.5	63% 37%	53% 47%	325 -400	93% 7%	83% 17%

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Dustin Swedelson	CFB	2025-10-14	New Mexico ST at Liberty - UNDER (46.5) (-109)	57	LOSS
Dan Saley	CFB	2025-10-14	New Mexico ST (-10) (-110) at Liberty	27 - 30	LOSS
Jensen Lewis	CFB	2025-10-14	New Mexico ST at Liberty - UNDER (46.5) (-110)	57	LOSS

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Tuesday, October 14	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
New Mexico ST Aggies	27	+11.5		22.5		18.3	44.9	15.9	45.6
Liberty Flames	30	-11.5	48.5	32.0	-11.8	26.6	-8.3	29.7	-13.8

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
New Mexico ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
6	Oct 2	VS Sam Houston ST	+110	+2.5	52.5	37-10	W	W	U	36%	59%	45%	58%	75%	65%
5	Sep 27	at New Mexico	+525	+16.5	53.5	20-38	L	L	O	32%	3%	39%	47%	87%	66%
3	Sep 13	at Louisiana Tech	+275	+10	42.5	14-49	L	L	O	18%	11%	52%	49%	26%	80%
2	Sep 6	VS Tulsa	+136	+3.5	52.5	21-14	W	W	U	25%	21%	21%	31%	33%	42%
1	Aug 30	VS Bryant	-1200	-19.5	53.5	19-3	W	L	U	91%	97%	83%	81%	59%	40%

2025 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Liberty			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	Oct 8	at UTEP	-125	-2.5	46.5	19-8	W	W	U	50%	47%	34%	46%	71%	61%
5	Sep 27	at Old Dominion	+470	+14.5	53.5	7-21	L	W	U	15%	4%	78%	41%	92%	75%
4	Sep 20	VS James Madison	+260	+7.5	46.5	13-31	L	L	U	25%	7%	32%	33%	56%	84%
3	Sep 13	at Bowling Green	-218	-6	51.5	13-23	L	L	U	49%	79%	43%	53%	2%	65%
2	Sep 6	at Jacksonville ST	-225	-6	50.5	24-34	L	L	O	30%	83%	70%	69%	34%	54%
1	Aug 30	VS Maine	-4500	-25.5	51.5	28-7	W	L	U	52%	95%	81%	72%	9%	10%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2024 Sep 7	Liberty Flames New Mexico ST Aggies	30 24	-22 +22	-2100 +1100	54	LIBR	NMST	DOG	Home	Push
2023 Dec 1	New Mexico ST Aggies Liberty Flames	35 49	+10.5 -10.5	+330 -425	58	LIBR	LIBR	FAV	HOME	Over
2023 Sep 9	New Mexico ST Aggies Liberty Flames	17 33	+9.5 -9.5	+300 -380	54.5	LIBR	LIBR	FAV	HOME	Under
2022 Nov 26	New Mexico ST Aggies Liberty Flames	49 14	+24 -24	+1300 -2800	50.5	NMST	NMST	DOG	Road	Over
2019 Nov 30	New Mexico ST Aggies Liberty Flames	28 49	+16 -16	+534 -750	68	LIBR	LIBR	FAV	HOME	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
5	Games	6	LIBR	1
22.2	Points Scored	17.3	NMST	4.9
260.8	Passing Yards	186.8	NMST	74.0
13.2	PYPC	13.5	LIBR	0.3
7.5	PYPA	7.3	NMST	0.2
57.2	Completion PCT	54.3	NMST	3.0
50.8	Rushing Yards	163.7	LIBR	112.9
1.9	RYPA	3.9	LIBR	2.0
65.8	PenaltyYards	48.2	LIBR	17.6
1.4	Turnovers	1.5	NMST	0.1

Defensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
5	Games	6	NMST	1
22.8	Points Scored	20.7	LIBR	2.1
245.0	Passing Yards	154.2	LIBR	90.8
11.3	PYPC	11.1	LIBR	0.2
7.6	PYPA	6.1	LIBR	1.5
66.7	Completion PCT	54.3	LIBR	12.4
153.8	Rushing Yards	196.8	NMST	43.0
3.8	RYPA	5.1	NMST	1.3
69.0	PenaltyYards	45.3	NMST	23.7
1.8	Turnovers	1.5	NMST	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
2	Games	2	-	0
17.0	Points Scored	20.5	LIBR	3.5
285.0	Passing Yards	136.0	NMST	149.0
15.0	PYPC	10.5	NMST	4.5
8.0	PYPA	5.0	NMST	3.0
53.5	Completion PCT	48.2	NMST	5.4
21.0	Rushing Yards	176.0	LIBR	155.0
0.9	RYPA	4.3	LIBR	3.4
84.5	PenaltyYards	42.0	LIBR	42.5
2.0	Turnovers	0.0	LIBR	2.0

Defensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
2	Games	2	-	0
43.5	Points Scored	19.0	LIBR	24.5
282.5	Passing Yards	172.5	LIBR	110.0
16.1	PYPC	11.5	LIBR	4.6
11.1	PYPA	6.2	LIBR	4.9
68.6	Completion PCT	53.6	LIBR	15.1
242.5	Rushing Yards	205.5	LIBR	37.0
4.7	RYPA	5.6	NMST	0.8
78.0	PenaltyYards	46.0	NMST	32.0
1.5	Turnovers	1.5	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
22.6	Points Scored	20.2	NMST	2.4
213.2	Passing Yards	153.5	NMST	59.7
13.4	PYPC	13.1	NMST	0.3
7.0	PYPA	6.4	NMST	0.6
52.0	Completion PCT	49.0	NMST	3.0
127.1	Rushing Yards	205.1	LIBR	78.0
3.5	RYPA	4.7	LIBR	1.3
49.4	PenaltyYards	43.8	LIBR	5.6
1.7	Turnovers	1.7	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
29.0	Points Scored	22.5	LIBR	6.5
267.0	Passing Yards	168.9	LIBR	98.1
12.5	PYPC	11.7	LIBR	0.8
8.1	PYPA	6.4	LIBR	1.7
64.7	Completion PCT	54.3	LIBR	10.3
148.5	Rushing Yards	190.6	NMST	42.1
4.1	RYPA	4.7	NMST	0.6
60.7	PenaltyYards	43.4	NMST	17.3
1.6	Turnovers	1.4	NMST	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NMST	Statistic	LIBR	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
29.5	Points Scored	33.0	LIBR	3.5
252.0	Passing Yards	239.9	NMST	12.1
12.5	PYPC	12.2	NMST	0.3
7.3	PYPA	7.3	NMST	0.0
58.6	Completion PCT	59.7	LIBR	1.2
152.5	Rushing Yards	218.3	LIBR	65.8
4.6	RYPA	5.1	LIBR	0.5
67.0	PenaltyYards	75.5	NMST	8.5
1.6	Turnovers	1.0	LIBR	0.6

Player	Pos	Injury
New Mexico ST
Jerry Lydiatt	TE	Undisclosed - is out for season
Dijon Stanley	RB	Undisclosed - is Questionable Wednesday vs Missouri St
Tyler Martinez	LB	Lower Body - is Questionable
Dijon Stanley	RB	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs Liberty
Dakerric Hobbs	CB	Undisclosed - is out for season
Kai Wheeler	OL	Concussion - is OUT Tuesday vs Liberty
Roscoe Burton	RB	Undisclosed - is out for season
AJ Williams	WR	Undisclosed - is out for season

Player	Position	Injury
Liberty
Caden Williams	RB	Undisclosed - is Questionable November 1st vs Delaware
Elijah Canion	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable November 1st vs Delaware
Brylan Green	S	Lower Body - is Questionable
Joseph Carter	LB	Foot - left last game, is doubtful
Julian Gray	RB	Undisclosed - is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs New Mexico State
Evan Dickens	RB	Concussion - is upgraded to probable Tuesday vs New Mexico State
Donte Lee jr	WR	Undisclosed - is Questionable Tuesday vs New Mexico State
Evan Dickens	RB	Concussion - is Questionable Tuesday vs New Mexico State
Cal Grubbs	OL	Undisclosed - is out for season
Ryan Burger	QB	Concussion - is out for season

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