Home-2

Gillette Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Commanders	20	+3.5		3-5	3-4-1	4-4-0	21.4	28.5	19.3	42.4
Patriots	17	-3.5	40.5	2-6	2-6-0	3-5-0	14.8	26.0	23	-3.7

Pro Picks at a Glance

VSiN Expert	Sport	Event Date	Selection	Score	Result
Wes Reynolds	NFL	2023-11-05	Commanders at Patriots - 2H - UNDER (21)	13	WIN
Dustin Swedelson	NFL	2023-11-05	Mac Jones OVER 1.5 Passing TD (+160)	1	LOSS
Eli Hershkovich	NFL	2023-11-05	Commanders (+3) at Patriots	20 - 17	WIN
Mike Palm	NFL	2023-11-05	Commanders (+3) at Patriots	20 - 17	WIN
Tanner Kern	NFL	2023-11-05	Commanders (+3) at Patriots	20 - 17	WIN
Gill Alexander	NFL	2023-11-05	Commanders (+3.5) at Patriots	20 - 17	WIN
Matt Brown	NFL	2023-11-05	Commanders (+3.5) at Patriots	20 - 17	WIN

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Sunday, November 5	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Wash Commanders	20	+3.5		20.5		19.3	42.4	20.6	41.7
New England Patriots	17	-3.5	40.5	20.5	-2.8	23.0	-3.7	21.2	-0.6

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Washington			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 29	VS Philadelphia	+245	+7	42.5	31-38	L	P	O	8%	6%	32%	27%	37%	65%
7	Oct 22	at NY Giants	-162	-3	37	7-14	L	L	U	57%	70%	59%	65%	43%	53%
6	Oct 15	at Atlanta	+105	+1.5	42	24-16	W	W	U	44%	50%	48%	43%	71%	57%
5	Oct 5	VS Chicago	-258	-6	45.5	20-40	L	L	O	60%	65%	58%	67%	62%	61%
4	Oct 1	at Philadelphia	+350	+9.5	43	31-34	L	W	O	8%	5%	37%	27%	63%	70%
3	Sep 24	VS Buffalo	+205	+5.5	44	3-37	L	L	U	17%	13%	18%	28%	70%	73%
2	Sep 17	at Denver	+164	+4	38.5	35-33	W	W	O	34%	36%	34%	51%	34%	42%
1	Sep 10	VS Arizona	-340	-7	38	20-16	W	L	U	86%	90%	81%	79%	40%	51%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
New England			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
8	Oct 29	at Miami	+300	+7.5	46.5	17-31	L	L	O	10%	8%	35%	34%	47%	57%
7	Oct 22	VS Buffalo	+310	+7.5	41	29-25	W	W	O	9%	5%	46%	16%	44%	55%
6	Oct 15	at Las Vegas	+124	+3	41.5	17-21	L	L	U	34%	23%	44%	34%	30%	26%
5	Oct 8	VS New Orleans	-135	-2.5	38.5	0-34	L	L	U	64%	47%	74%	57%	34%	34%
4	Oct 1	at Dallas	+230	+6.5	43	3-38	L	L	U	25%	17%	33%	34%	39%	51%
3	Sep 24	at NY Jets	-142	-2.5	35.5	15-10	W	W	U	70%	67%	46%	74%	53%	46%
2	Sep 17	VS Miami	+114	+2.5	46.5	17-24	L	L	U	33%	26%	41%	24%	54%	64%
1	Sep 10	VS Philadelphia	+154	+3.5	44	20-25	L	L	O	18%	11%	30%	20%	25%	49%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2019 Oct 6	New England Patriots Wash Commanders	33 7	-16 +16	-1109 +715	42	NWE	NWE	FAV	Road	Under
2015 Nov 8	Wash Commanders New England Patriots	10 27	+13.5 -13.5	+700 +1000	51.5	NWE	NWE	FAV	HOME	Under
2011 Dec 11	New England Patriots Wash Commanders	34 27	-7.5 +7.5	-375 +315	46.5	NWE	WAS	DOG	Home	Over
2007 Oct 28	Wash Commanders New England Patriots	7 52	+14.5 -14.5	- -	46.5	NWE	NWE	FAV	HOME	Over
2003 Sep 28	New England Patriots Wash Commanders	17 20	+3 -3	- -	43.5	WAS	-	-	-	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WAS	Statistic	NWE	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
21.4	Points Scored	14.8	WAS	6.6
233.8	Passing Yards	200.4	WAS	33.4
9.1	PYPC	8.9	WAS	0.2
6.1	PYPA	5.8	WAS	0.3
66.9	Completion PCT	64.8	WAS	2.1
85.9	Rushing Yards	84.4	WAS	1.5
4.3	RYPA	3.6	WAS	0.8
49.5	PenaltyYards	50.1	WAS	0.6
1.5	Turnovers	1.6	WAS	0.1

Defensive Statistics

WAS	Statistic	NWE	Edge	Margin
8	Games	8	-	0
28.5	Points Scored	26.0	NWE	2.5
256.8	Passing Yards	223.3	NWE	33.5
11.8	PYPC	9.6	NWE	2.2
7.5	PYPA	6.4	NWE	1.1
63.5	Completion PCT	66.7	WAS	3.2
117.4	Rushing Yards	97.9	NWE	19.5
4.2	RYPA	3.4	NWE	0.8
53.3	PenaltyYards	42.6	WAS	10.6
1.5	Turnovers	0.9	WAS	0.6

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WAS	Statistic	NWE	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
24.3	Points Scored	16.5	WAS	7.8
210.5	Passing Yards	221.3	NWE	10.8
9.2	PYPC	8.4	WAS	0.8
5.8	PYPA	5.6	WAS	0.2
63.5	Completion PCT	67.5	NWE	4.1
94.3	Rushing Yards	76.3	WAS	18.0
4.1	RYPA	3.4	WAS	0.7
56.8	PenaltyYards	46.0	NWE	10.8
0.3	Turnovers	2.0	WAS	1.8

Defensive Statistics

WAS	Statistic	NWE	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
24.3	Points Scored	27.0	WAS	2.8
283.5	Passing Yards	206.0	NWE	77.5
12.7	PYPC	9.4	NWE	3.4
7.8	PYPA	6.3	NWE	1.5
61.4	Completion PCT	67.7	WAS	6.3
109.5	Rushing Yards	114.8	WAS	5.3
4.0	RYPA	3.8	NWE	0.2
52.5	PenaltyYards	56.8	NWE	4.3
1.8	Turnovers	1.0	WAS	0.8

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WAS	Statistic	NWE	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
20.7	Points Scored	16.4	WAS	4.3
215.2	Passing Yards	200.9	WAS	14.3
9.2	PYPC	8.9	WAS	0.4
6.1	PYPA	5.7	WAS	0.3
65.6	Completion PCT	64.4	WAS	1.2
97.4	Rushing Yards	85.9	WAS	11.5
4.1	RYPA	3.7	WAS	0.4
43.0	PenaltyYards	46.0	WAS	3.0
1.6	Turnovers	1.6	-	0.0

Defensive Statistics

WAS	Statistic	NWE	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
25.8	Points Scored	26.4	WAS	0.6
232.7	Passing Yards	227.0	NWE	5.7
11.8	PYPC	9.9	NWE	1.9
7.1	PYPA	6.5	NWE	0.6
59.7	Completion PCT	65.4	WAS	5.7
114.9	Rushing Yards	95.9	NWE	19.0
4.1	RYPA	3.4	NWE	0.7
52.0	PenaltyYards	43.2	WAS	8.8
1.4	Turnovers	1.2	WAS	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WAS	Statistic	NWE	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
14.2	Points Scored	32.6	NWE	18.4
179.0	Passing Yards	315.6	NWE	136.6
9.8	PYPC	12.0	NWE	2.1
5.6	PYPA	8.0	NWE	2.3
57.2	Completion PCT	66.7	NWE	9.4
103.6	Rushing Yards	125.6	NWE	22.0
4.5	RYPA	4.2	WAS	0.3
57.4	PenaltyYards	49.8	NWE	7.6
2.0	Turnovers	1.8	NWE	0.2

Active Betting Splits

Top Selections Week 16

Count	PCT	Selection	Result
4	100%	Ohio ST (-7) vs Tennessee	WIN
3	100%	Texas (-12.5) vs Clemson	WIN
3	75%	Clemson at Texas - UNDER (50.5)	LOSS
3	75%	SMU at Penn ST - UNDER (53)	WIN
Count	PCT	Selection	Result
4	100%	Seahawks (+3) vs Vikings	-
3	100%	Commanders (+3.5) vs Eagles	-
3	100%	Titans (+3.5) at Colts	-

Top Selections Week 16

Count	PCT	Selection	Result
20	100%	Montana ST (-8) vs S Dakota	WIN
26	96%	Texas-San Antonio (-10) vs Coastal Carolina	-
30	94%	Clemson at Texas - UNDER (50.5)	LOSS
22	88%	Tennessee at Ohio ST - UNDER (46)	LOSS
18	86%	South Florida (+3.5) vs San Jose ST	-
23	82%	SMU at Penn ST - UNDER (53)	WIN
Count	PCT	Selection	Result
15	94%	Steelers at Ravens - UNDER (44.5)	LOSS
9	90%	Buccaneers at Cowboys - OVER (48.5)	-
10	83%	Cardinals at Panthers - OVER (47.5)	-
28	80%	49ers (PK) at Dolphins	-
9	75%	Raiders (-1.5) vs Jaguars	-