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FBC Mortgage Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Baylor	36	+8.5		1-3	0-3-1	1-3-0	20.0	26.8	23.6	59.1
UCF	35	-8.5	56	3-1	2-2-0	3-1-0	38.3	20.0	35.5	-11.9

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Baylor			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 23	VS Texas	+575	+17.5	48.5	6-38	L	L	U	5%	3%	24%	19%	73%	91%
3	Sep 16	VS LIU-Post	-	-46	54	30-7	W	L	U	0%	0%	33%	40%	60%	82%
2	Sep 9	VS Utah	+230	+7	45.5	13-20	L	P	U	9%	5%	28%	14%	77%	83%
1	Sep 2	VS Texas ST	-4500	-27	59	31-42	L	L	O	80%	96%	73%	78%	25%	62%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
UCF			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 23	at Kansas ST	+195	+6	52.5	31-44	L	L	O	18%	15%	42%	26%	52%	69%
3	Sep 16	VS Villanova	-	-27	55	48-14	W	W	O	0%	0%	71%	72%	71%	69%
2	Sep 9	at Boise ST	-180	-3.5	58	18-16	W	L	U	70%	67%	65%	64%	57%	78%
1	Aug 31	VS Kent ST	-	-35.5	53	56-6	W	W	O	0%	0%	53%	43%	54%	60%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2013 Jan 1	Baylor Bears UCF Knights	42 52	-17 +17	-700 +510	74.5	CFLA	CFLA	DOG		Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BAY	Statistic	USF	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
20.0	Points Scored	38.3	USF	18.3
265.0	Passing Yards	304.8	USF	39.8
13.1	PYPC	15.4	USF	2.3
7.0	PYPA	10.4	USF	3.5
53.3	Completion PCT	67.5	USF	14.2
139.8	Rushing Yards	260.3	USF	120.5
4.0	RYPA	6.0	USF	2.0
29.0	PenaltyYards	54.5	BAY	25.5
1.5	Turnovers	1.8	BAY	0.3

Defensive Statistics

BAY	Statistic	USF	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
26.8	Points Scored	20.0	USF	6.8
204.8	Passing Yards	188.8	USF	16.0
13.9	PYPC	12.2	USF	1.7
8.6	PYPA	6.1	USF	2.5
62.1	Completion PCT	50.0	USF	12.1
171.3	Rushing Yards	158.3	USF	13.0
4.6	RYPA	4.4	USF	0.2
38.8	PenaltyYards	38.0	BAY	0.8
1.5	Turnovers	1.0	BAY	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BAY	Statistic	USF	Edge	Margin
0	Games	2	USF	2
0.0	Points Scored	52.0	USF	52.0
0.0	Passing Yards	341.5	USF	341.5
0.0	PYPC	13.9	USF	13.9
0.0	PYPA	10.0	USF	10.0
0.0	Completion PCT	72.1	USF	72.1
0.0	Rushing Yards	320.0	USF	320.0
0.0	RYPA	6.4	USF	6.4
0.0	PenaltyYards	56.5	BAY	56.5
0.0	Turnovers	1.5	BAY	1.5

Defensive Statistics

BAY	Statistic	USF	Edge	Margin
0	Games	2	BAY	2
0.0	Points Scored	10.0	BAY	10.0
0.0	Passing Yards	144.5	BAY	144.5
0.0	PYPC	13.8	BAY	13.8
0.0	PYPA	5.3	BAY	5.3
0.0	Completion PCT	38.2	BAY	38.2
0.0	Rushing Yards	89.5	BAY	89.5
0.0	RYPA	2.7	BAY	2.7
0.0	PenaltyYards	25.0	USF	25.0
0.0	Turnovers	1.0	USF	1.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BAY	Statistic	USF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
23.6	Points Scored	32.7	USF	9.1
224.2	Passing Yards	246.9	USF	22.7
12.1	PYPC	11.9	BAY	0.2
6.8	PYPA	7.7	USF	0.9
56.0	Completion PCT	64.8	USF	8.8
154.9	Rushing Yards	228.3	USF	73.4
4.1	RYPA	5.4	USF	1.3
32.1	PenaltyYards	45.2	BAY	13.1
1.2	Turnovers	1.5	BAY	0.3

Defensive Statistics

BAY	Statistic	USF	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
28.7	Points Scored	27.0	USF	1.7
208.4	Passing Yards	198.2	USF	10.2
13.1	PYPC	12.2	USF	0.9
8.0	PYPA	7.0	USF	1.0
60.9	Completion PCT	57.2	USF	3.7
185.5	Rushing Yards	191.4	BAY	5.9
4.5	RYPA	5.0	BAY	0.5
34.8	PenaltyYards	32.5	BAY	2.3
1.7	Turnovers	1.4	BAY	0.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

BAY	Statistic	USF	Edge	Margin
1	Games	1	-	0
42.0	Points Scored	52.0	USF	10.0
356.0	Passing Yards	301.0	BAY	55.0
11.9	PYPC	15.1	USF	3.2
7.6	PYPA	9.7	USF	2.1
63.8	Completion PCT	64.5	USF	0.7
194.0	Rushing Yards	255.0	USF	61.0
5.1	RYPA	5.8	USF	0.7
135.0	PenaltyYards	40.0	USF	95.0
1.0	Turnovers	3.0	BAY	2.0

Betting Splits

Saturday,September 30	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Baylor UCF	+10.5 -10.5	31% 69%	44% 56%	56.5 56.5	48% 52%	60% 40%	+295 -375	47% 53%	13% 87%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, September 30	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Baylor Bears	36	+8.5		45.0		23.6	59.1	23.3	51.8
UCF Knights	35	-8.5	56.0	53.5	-10.0	35.5	-11.9	28.6	-5.3

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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