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FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
W Illinois	10	+27.5		0-4	2-2-0	3-1-0	24.0	43.0	12.8	60.7
N Dakota	49	-27.5	64	2-2	1-3-0	4-0-0	32.8	28.3	47.9	-35.1

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
W Illinois			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
4	Sep 23	at S Utah	-	+17.5	58.5	17-37	L	L	U	0%	0%	0%	28%	100%	100%
3	Sep 16	VS Lindenwood	-	+6.5	60.5	40-43	L	W	O	0%	0%	96%	92%	0%	0%
2	Sep 9	VS Illinois ST	-	+18.5	50.5	18-34	L	W	O	0%	0%	0%	24%	100%	100%
1	Sep 2	at New Mexico ST	+950	+21	55	21-58	L	L	O	21%	9%	29%	31%	63%	57%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
N Dakota			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Sep 30	at S Dakota ST	-	+18.5	56.5	21-42	L	L	O	0%	0%	49%	35%	97%	60%
3	Sep 16	at Boise ST	+650	+15.5	58.5	18-42	L	L	O	78%	13%	31%	25%	76%	50%
2	Sep 9	VS N Arizona	-	-21	58.5	37-22	W	L	O	0%	0%	1%	38%	0%	0%
1	Sep 2	VS Drake	-	-34	51.5	55-7	W	W	O	0%	0%	82%	67%	0%	0%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2021 Oct 23	W Illinois N Dakota	10 34	+14.5 -14.5	+450 -600	58	NDAK	NDAK	FAV	HOME	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WILL	Statistic	NDAK	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
24.0	Points Scored	32.8	NDAK	8.8
273.8	Passing Yards	242.5	WILL	31.3
11.5	PYPC	10.8	WILL	0.8
6.8	PYPA	7.7	NDAK	0.9
58.6	Completion PCT	71.4	NDAK	12.8
28.0	Rushing Yards	136.8	NDAK	108.8
1.0	RYPA	4.2	NDAK	3.2
44.3	PenaltyYards	26.0	NDAK	18.3
1.0	Turnovers	0.8	NDAK	0.3

Defensive Statistics

WILL	Statistic	NDAK	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
43.0	Points Scored	28.3	NDAK	14.8
269.3	Passing Yards	232.3	NDAK	37.0
14.4	PYPC	12.6	NDAK	1.8
10.3	PYPA	7.0	NDAK	3.3
71.4	Completion PCT	55.6	NDAK	15.8
206.5	Rushing Yards	168.8	NDAK	37.8
5.6	RYPA	5.2	NDAK	0.4
78.3	PenaltyYards	57.3	WILL	21.0
1.5	Turnovers	1.5	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WILL	Statistic	NDAK	Edge	Margin
2	Games	2	-	0
19.0	Points Scored	46.0	NDAK	27.0
249.0	Passing Yards	331.0	NDAK	82.0
10.8	PYPC	13.8	NDAK	3.0
6.3	PYPA	10.7	NDAK	4.4
58.2	Completion PCT	77.4	NDAK	19.2
14.5	Rushing Yards	219.0	NDAK	204.5
0.6	RYPA	6.2	NDAK	5.6
57.5	PenaltyYards	25.0	NDAK	32.5
2.0	Turnovers	0.5	NDAK	1.5

Defensive Statistics

WILL	Statistic	NDAK	Edge	Margin
2	Games	2	-	0
47.5	Points Scored	14.5	NDAK	33.0
311.0	Passing Yards	250.0	NDAK	61.0
15.2	PYPC	12.8	NDAK	2.4
10.9	PYPA	6.4	NDAK	4.5
71.9	Completion PCT	50.0	NDAK	21.9
183.0	Rushing Yards	138.5	NDAK	44.5
4.8	RYPA	4.7	NDAK	0.1
89.0	PenaltyYards	62.0	WILL	27.0
1.0	Turnovers	1.5	NDAK	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WILL	Statistic	NDAK	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
17.4	Points Scored	32.2	NDAK	14.8
205.9	Passing Yards	229.5	NDAK	23.6
11.4	PYPC	10.7	WILL	0.7
5.9	PYPA	7.4	NDAK	1.4
51.9	Completion PCT	68.6	NDAK	16.7
69.3	Rushing Yards	149.8	NDAK	80.5
2.3	RYPA	4.3	NDAK	2.1
37.7	PenaltyYards	29.3	NDAK	8.4
1.6	Turnovers	0.8	NDAK	0.8

Defensive Statistics

WILL	Statistic	NDAK	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
39.1	Points Scored	29.9	NDAK	9.2
224.0	Passing Yards	194.0	NDAK	30.0
12.7	PYPC	12.6	NDAK	0.1
9.0	PYPA	7.4	NDAK	1.6
70.4	Completion PCT	58.6	NDAK	11.8
223.1	Rushing Yards	180.8	NDAK	42.3
5.1	RYPA	5.2	WILL	0.1
61.7	PenaltyYards	52.2	WILL	9.5
1.2	Turnovers	1.0	WILL	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WILL	Statistic	NDAK	Edge	Margin
1	Games	1	-	0
10.0	Points Scored	34.0	NDAK	24.0
292.0	Passing Yards	346.0	NDAK	54.0
11.2	PYPC	13.8	NDAK	2.6
7.5	PYPA	9.1	NDAK	1.6
66.7	Completion PCT	65.8	WILL	0.9
38.0	Rushing Yards	261.0	NDAK	223.0
2.1	RYPA	6.1	NDAK	4.0
118.0	PenaltyYards	18.0	NDAK	100.0
2.0	Turnovers	1.0	NDAK	1.0

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 7	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Western Illinois North Dakota	+26.5 -27.5	2% 98%	10% 90%	65 -	100% 0%	100% 0%	- -	0% 0%	0% 0%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 7	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
W Illinois	10	+27.5		2.0		12.8	60.7	10.7	59.5
N Dakota	49	-27.5	64.0	31.0	-32.9	47.9	-35.1	48.8	-38.1

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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