Home-2

Bobcat Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Cal Poly	19	+40.5		2-4	2-3-0	3-2-0	19.8	36.8	3.6	57
Montana ST	59	-40.5	61	4-1	3-2-0	2-3-0	42.8	16.4	53.5	-49.9

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Cal Poly			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
6	Oct 7	VS Idaho	-	+28.5	55	14-42	L	W	O	0%	0%	45%	40%	100%	93%
5	Sep 30	VS UC-Davis	-	+24	58	13-31	L	W	U	0%	0%	7%	39%	34%	73%
4	Sep 23	at Portland ST	-	+10.5	65.5	21-59	L	L	O	0%	0%	63%	57%	100%	100%
3	Sep 16	VS Lincoln-CA	-	-	-	41-20	W	N	N	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
2	Sep 9	at San Jose ST	-	+22.5	60	3-59	L	L	O	0%	0%	30%	25%	78%	52%
1	Sep 2	VS San Diego	-1350	-19.5	53.5	27-10	W	L	U	1%	44%	93%	93%	0%	0%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Montana ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Sep 30	VS Portland ST	-	-27	65.5	38-22	W	L	U	0%	0%	88%	89%	100%	100%
4	Sep 23	at Weber ST	-	-8	54.5	40-0	W	W	U	0%	0%	100%	92%	95%	80%
3	Sep 16	VS Stetson	-	-47	61	57-20	W	L	O	0%	0%	99%	80%	95%	81%
2	Sep 9	at S Dakota ST	-	+8	58.5	16-20	L	W	U	0%	0%	91%	51%	84%	67%
1	Sep 2	VS Utah Tech	-	-31.5	59.5	63-20	W	W	O	0%	0%	100%	94%	71%	75%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Nov 12	Montana ST Cal Poly	72 28	-27 +27	-4500 +1600	67	MTST	MTST	FAV	Road	Over
2021 Oct 9	Cal Poly Montana ST	7 45	+29 -29	+3000 -7000	57.5	MTST	MTST	FAV	HOME	Under
2019 Oct 5	Montana ST Cal Poly	34 28	-6.5 +6.5	- -	60	MTST	CPSL	DOG	Home	Over
2018 Nov 3	Cal Poly Montana ST	42 49	- -	- -	-	MTST	-	-	-	-
2015 Sep 26	Cal Poly Montana ST	28 45	- -	- -	-	MTST	-	-	-	-

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

CPSL	Statistic	MTST	Edge	Margin
6	Games	5	CPSL	1
19.8	Points Scored	42.8	MTST	23.0
242.5	Passing Yards	181.0	CPSL	61.5
11.2	PYPC	15.3	MTST	4.2
6.4	PYPA	9.0	MTST	2.6
57.3	Completion PCT	58.4	MTST	1.2
64.8	Rushing Yards	323.8	MTST	259.0
2.4	RYPA	7.6	MTST	5.2
48.2	PenaltyYards	52.0	CPSL	3.8
2.2	Turnovers	0.4	MTST	1.8

Defensive Statistics

CPSL	Statistic	MTST	Edge	Margin
6	Games	5	MTST	1
36.8	Points Scored	16.4	MTST	20.4
183.8	Passing Yards	169.4	MTST	14.4
10.6	PYPC	10.7	CPSL	0.1
6.5	PYPA	5.8	MTST	0.7
60.8	Completion PCT	53.7	MTST	7.1
202.2	Rushing Yards	120.4	MTST	81.8
5.3	RYPA	3.7	MTST	1.6
66.2	PenaltyYards	41.0	CPSL	25.2
1.2	Turnovers	1.8	MTST	0.6

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

CPSL	Statistic	MTST	Edge	Margin
2	Games	3	MTST	1
12.0	Points Scored	52.7	MTST	40.7
120.0	Passing Yards	215.3	MTST	95.3
8.9	PYPC	15.4	MTST	6.5
4.6	PYPA	9.4	MTST	4.7
51.9	Completion PCT	60.9	MTST	9.0
96.0	Rushing Yards	354.0	MTST	258.0
2.9	RYPA	8.9	MTST	6.1
45.0	PenaltyYards	43.3	MTST	1.7
2.5	Turnovers	0.3	MTST	2.2

Defensive Statistics

CPSL	Statistic	MTST	Edge	Margin
2	Games	3	CPSL	1
59.0	Points Scored	20.7	MTST	38.3
148.5	Passing Yards	187.3	CPSL	38.8
11.4	PYPC	10.8	MTST	0.6
8.3	PYPA	5.9	MTST	2.4
72.2	Completion PCT	54.2	MTST	18.1
335.5	Rushing Yards	112.7	MTST	222.8
7.5	RYPA	3.7	MTST	3.8
60.0	PenaltyYards	28.7	CPSL	31.3
1.0	Turnovers	2.3	MTST	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

CPSL	Statistic	MTST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
21.3	Points Scored	44.7	MTST	23.4
271.2	Passing Yards	175.7	CPSL	95.5
11.9	PYPC	14.9	MTST	3.0
6.9	PYPA	9.1	MTST	2.2
58.2	Completion PCT	61.1	MTST	3.0
65.8	Rushing Yards	338.0	MTST	272.2
2.4	RYPA	7.3	MTST	5.0
43.0	PenaltyYards	46.5	CPSL	3.5
1.9	Turnovers	0.4	MTST	1.5

Defensive Statistics

CPSL	Statistic	MTST	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
45.1	Points Scored	20.2	MTST	24.9
219.3	Passing Yards	183.0	MTST	36.3
12.8	PYPC	11.5	MTST	1.3
7.6	PYPA	6.7	MTST	0.9
59.6	Completion PCT	58.5	MTST	1.1
281.8	Rushing Yards	132.9	MTST	148.9
6.5	RYPA	4.1	MTST	2.3
55.9	PenaltyYards	46.3	CPSL	9.6
1.4	Turnovers	1.6	MTST	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

CPSL	Statistic	MTST	Edge	Margin
6	Games	6	-	0
28.0	Points Scored	45.3	MTST	17.3
116.7	Passing Yards	197.0	MTST	80.3
12.7	PYPC	14.8	MTST	2.1
6.5	PYPA	9.4	MTST	2.8
51.4	Completion PCT	63.5	MTST	12.1
276.5	Rushing Yards	325.7	MTST	49.2
4.7	RYPA	7.0	MTST	2.3
39.8	PenaltyYards	31.5	MTST	8.3
1.5	Turnovers	0.7	MTST	0.8

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 14	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Cal Poly Montana ST	+40.5 -40.5	90% 10%	80% 20%	61 61	19% 81%	67% 33%	- -	0% 0%	0% 0%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 14	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Cal Poly	19	+40.5		7.0		3.6	57.0	11.4	59.0
Montana ST	59	-40.5	61.0	41.5	-38.4	53.5	-49.9	47.7	-36.3

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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