Home-2

Burgess-Snow Field

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
W Kentucky	17	-7.5		4-2	4-2-0	3-3-0	32.2	29.0	31.8	57.7
Jacksonville ST	20	+7.5	60.5	5-2	5-2-0	2-5-0	28.0	19.4	25.9	6

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
W Kentucky			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
6	Oct 5	at Louisiana Tech	-238	-6	58.5	35-28	W	W	O	52%	75%	48%	60%	44%	48%
5	Sep 28	VS Middle Tenn ST	-270	-6.5	61.5	31-10	W	W	U	88%	90%	81%	72%	61%	52%
4	Sep 23	at Troy	+160	+4	58	24-27	L	W	U	57%	39%	34%	48%	51%	57%
3	Sep 16	at Ohio ST	+1800	+29.5	65.5	10-63	L	L	O	12%	4%	28%	16%	54%	43%
2	Sep 9	VS Houston Christian	-	-42.5	64.5	52-22	W	L	O	0%	0%	57%	52%	51%	45%
1	Sep 2	VS South Florida	-535	-13	71	41-24	W	W	U	66%	90%	68%	62%	39%	23%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Jacksonville ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	Oct 10	VS Liberty	+225	+7	60	13-31	L	L	U	36%	21%	30%	36%	71%	51%
6	Oct 4	at Middle Tenn ST	+120	+2.5	52	45-30	W	W	O	36%	52%	41%	49%	34%	36%
5	Sep 28	at Sam Houston ST	-250	-6.5	36.5	35-28	W	W	O	64%	91%	78%	81%	42%	63%
4	Sep 23	VS E Michigan	-250	-6.5	51	21-0	W	W	U	58%	85%	71%	67%	44%	48%
2	Sep 9	at Coastal Carolina	+410	+13.5	61	16-30	L	L	U	25%	7%	36%	39%	52%	47%
1	Sep 2	VS E Tennessee ST	-1450	-20	54.5	49-3	W	W	U	80%	95%	88%	69%	65%	54%
1	Aug 26	VS UTEP	+102	+1.5	54.5	17-14	W	W	U	28%	38%	43%	34%	79%	71%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
No Head to Head Matchups

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WKU	Statistic	JAXS	Edge	Margin
6	Games	7	JAXS	1
32.2	Points Scored	28.0	WKU	4.2
286.7	Passing Yards	158.6	WKU	128.1
11.1	PYPC	11.8	JAXS	0.7
6.8	PYPA	6.1	WKU	0.7
61.5	Completion PCT	51.9	WKU	9.6
103.3	Rushing Yards	204.0	JAXS	100.7
4.2	RYPA	4.5	JAXS	0.3
43.5	PenaltyYards	47.9	WKU	4.4
1.3	Turnovers	1.0	JAXS	0.3

Defensive Statistics

WKU	Statistic	JAXS	Edge	Margin
6	Games	7	WKU	1
29.0	Points Scored	19.4	JAXS	9.6
266.2	Passing Yards	231.1	JAXS	35.0
12.8	PYPC	13.1	WKU	0.3
7.6	PYPA	7.7	WKU	0.1
59.5	Completion PCT	59.3	JAXS	0.2
194.0	Rushing Yards	131.6	JAXS	62.4
4.8	RYPA	3.0	JAXS	1.9
66.3	PenaltyYards	55.7	WKU	10.6
2.7	Turnovers	2.3	WKU	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WKU	Statistic	JAXS	Edge	Margin
3	Games	4	JAXS	1
23.0	Points Scored	25.0	JAXS	2.0
256.3	Passing Yards	117.8	WKU	138.6
12.0	PYPC	10.2	WKU	1.8
6.9	PYPA	5.3	WKU	1.6
57.1	Completion PCT	51.7	WKU	5.5
76.3	Rushing Yards	220.0	JAXS	143.7
3.1	RYPA	4.5	JAXS	1.4
29.3	PenaltyYards	54.3	WKU	24.9
2.3	Turnovers	0.5	JAXS	1.8

Defensive Statistics

WKU	Statistic	JAXS	Edge	Margin
3	Games	4	WKU	1
39.3	Points Scored	12.0	JAXS	27.3
322.0	Passing Yards	149.3	JAXS	172.8
14.9	PYPC	11.5	JAXS	3.4
9.4	PYPA	6.2	JAXS	3.2
63.1	Completion PCT	53.6	JAXS	9.5
171.3	Rushing Yards	136.3	JAXS	35.1
4.4	RYPA	3.2	JAXS	1.2
55.3	PenaltyYards	55.8	JAXS	0.4
2.3	Turnovers	2.8	JAXS	0.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WKU	Statistic	JAXS	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
33.1	Points Scored	31.8	WKU	1.3
332.9	Passing Yards	161.9	WKU	171.0
12.3	PYPC	13.0	JAXS	0.7
7.4	PYPA	6.8	WKU	0.6
60.0	Completion PCT	52.3	WKU	7.7
113.9	Rushing Yards	223.2	JAXS	109.3
4.4	RYPA	4.7	JAXS	0.3
40.8	PenaltyYards	43.5	WKU	2.7
1.5	Turnovers	1.0	JAXS	0.5

Defensive Statistics

WKU	Statistic	JAXS	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
27.9	Points Scored	18.6	JAXS	9.3
254.0	Passing Yards	252.8	JAXS	1.2
11.7	PYPC	13.4	WKU	1.7
7.2	PYPA	7.8	WKU	0.6
61.3	Completion PCT	58.2	JAXS	3.2
180.3	Rushing Yards	130.3	JAXS	50.0
4.7	RYPA	3.2	JAXS	1.5
58.0	PenaltyYards	58.3	JAXS	0.3
2.4	Turnovers	2.4	-	0.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

WKU	Statistic	JAXS	Edge	Margin
0	Games	0	-	0
0.0	Points Scored	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Passing Yards	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	PYPC	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	PYPA	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Completion PCT	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Rushing Yards	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	RYPA	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	PenaltyYards	0.0	-	0.0
0.0	Turnovers	0.0	-	0.0

Betting Splits

Tuesday,October 17	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Western Kentucky Jacksonville ST	-7.5 +7.5	52% 48%	47% 53%	60.5 60.5	71% 29%	49% 51%	-325 +260	60% 40%	74% 26%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Tuesday, October 17	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
W Kentucky Hilltoppers	17	-7.5		37.5		31.8	57.7	33.3	58.9
Jacksonville ST	20	+7.5	60.5	34.0	5.7	25.9	6.0	25.6	7.7

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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