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Razorback Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
Mississippi ST	7	+7		3-3	1-5-0	4-2-0	30.2	29.5	21.4	52.1
Arkansas	3	-7	46	2-5	4-3-0	4-3-0	29.9	25.1	30.7	-9.3

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Mississippi ST			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
6	Oct 7	VS W Michigan	-1800	-21.5	55	41-28	W	L	O	91%	97%	74%	64%	32%	64%
5	Sep 30	VS Alabama	+600	+16.5	46	17-40	L	L	O	9%	4%	20%	14%	70%	76%
4	Sep 23	at South Carolina	+185	+6	47	30-37	L	L	O	65%	11%	21%	22%	74%	81%
3	Sep 16	VS LSU	+295	+9.5	54	14-41	L	L	O	14%	7%	33%	34%	84%	81%
2	Sep 9	VS Arizona	-325	-8	60	31-24	W	L	U	86%	92%	57%	63%	57%	48%
1	Sep 2	VS SE Louisiana	-9000	-31	59.5	48-7	W	W	U	76%	96%	75%	80%	91%	42%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
Arkansas			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
7	Oct 14	at Alabama	+800	+19	45.5	21-24	L	W	U	6%	3%	48%	43%	83%	90%
6	Oct 7	at Ole Miss	+360	+13	61.5	20-27	L	W	U	11%	2%	34%	32%	89%	79%
5	Sep 30	(n) Texas A&M	+195	+6.5	53.5	22-34	L	L	O	64%	23%	49%	46%	86%	78%
4	Sep 23	at LSU	+650	+17.5	55.5	31-34	L	W	O	10%	4%	37%	36%	85%	86%
3	Sep 16	VS BYU	-305	-8	48	31-38	L	L	O	89%	94%	69%	72%	40%	67%
2	Sep 9	VS Kent ST	-	-38	57.5	28-6	W	L	U	0%	0%	87%	76%	77%	66%
1	Sep 2	VS W Carolina	-	-38	61.5	56-13	W	W	O	0%	0%	79%	68%	54%	35%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Oct 8	Arkansas Razorbacks Mississippi ST Bulldogs	17 40	+8.5 -8.5	+255 -305	55.5	MSST	MSST	FAV	Home	Over
2021 Nov 6	Mississippi ST Bulldogs Arkansas Razorbacks	28 31	+4 -4	+160 -185	53.5	ARKN	MSST	DOG	Road	Over
2020 Oct 3	Arkansas Razorbacks Mississippi ST Bulldogs	21 14	+16.5 -16.5	+538 -757	68	ARKN	ARKN	DOG	Road	Under
2019 Nov 2	Mississippi ST Bulldogs Arkansas Razorbacks	54 24	-7 +7	-265 +218	58.5	MSST	MSST	FAV	Road	Over
2018 Nov 17	Arkansas Razorbacks Mississippi ST Bulldogs	6 52	+22 -22	+1098 -2200	49	MSST	MSST	FAV	Home	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MSST	Statistic	ARK	Edge	Margin
6	Games	7	ARK	1
30.2	Points Scored	29.9	MSST	0.3
222.7	Passing Yards	211.1	MSST	11.5
11.8	PYPC	11.7	MSST	0.1
7.3	PYPA	7.8	ARK	0.4
62.1	Completion PCT	66.3	ARK	4.2
152.8	Rushing Yards	109.9	MSST	43.0
4.8	RYPA	3.0	MSST	1.9
45.7	PenaltyYards	56.7	MSST	11.0
1.2	Turnovers	1.0	ARK	0.2

Defensive Statistics

MSST	Statistic	ARK	Edge	Margin
6	Games	7	MSST	1
29.5	Points Scored	25.1	ARK	4.4
263.5	Passing Yards	218.0	ARK	45.5
11.2	PYPC	13.5	MSST	2.3
8.3	PYPA	8.2	ARK	0.1
74.2	Completion PCT	60.8	ARK	13.5
131.7	Rushing Yards	133.3	MSST	1.6
3.7	RYPA	3.7	ARK	0.0
43.0	PenaltyYards	42.0	MSST	1.0
1.3	Turnovers	1.6	ARK	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MSST	Statistic	ARK	Edge	Margin
1	Games	3	ARK	2
30.0	Points Scored	38.3	ARK	8.3
487.0	Passing Yards	219.0	MSST	268.0
16.2	PYPC	11.5	MSST	4.7
10.2	PYPA	8.3	MSST	1.8
62.5	Completion PCT	72.2	ARK	9.7
32.0	Rushing Yards	151.3	ARK	119.3
1.4	RYPA	3.8	ARK	2.4
48.0	PenaltyYards	81.7	MSST	33.7
2.0	Turnovers	0.7	ARK	1.3

Defensive Statistics

MSST	Statistic	ARK	Edge	Margin
1	Games	3	MSST	2
37.0	Points Scored	19.0	ARK	18.0
288.0	Passing Yards	201.7	ARK	86.3
16.0	PYPC	12.1	ARK	3.9
14.4	PYPA	7.3	ARK	7.1
90.0	Completion PCT	60.2	ARK	29.8
144.0	Rushing Yards	55.7	ARK	88.3
3.1	RYPA	1.7	ARK	1.3
35.0	PenaltyYards	38.0	ARK	3.0
1.0	Turnovers	2.3	ARK	1.3

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MSST	Statistic	ARK	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
29.9	Points Scored	33.3	ARK	3.4
245.2	Passing Yards	214.5	MSST	30.7
10.4	PYPC	11.8	ARK	1.4
6.7	PYPA	8.0	ARK	1.3
64.4	Completion PCT	67.7	ARK	3.3
125.3	Rushing Yards	161.1	ARK	35.8
4.5	RYPA	4.1	MSST	0.4
43.2	PenaltyYards	53.0	MSST	9.8
1.3	Turnovers	1.1	ARK	0.2

Defensive Statistics

MSST	Statistic	ARK	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
26.1	Points Scored	28.5	MSST	2.4
242.3	Passing Yards	255.2	MSST	12.9
10.7	PYPC	13.7	MSST	2.9
7.6	PYPA	8.4	MSST	0.8
71.1	Completion PCT	61.5	ARK	9.6
118.0	Rushing Yards	168.1	MSST	50.1
3.4	RYPA	4.5	MSST	1.1
40.5	PenaltyYards	50.5	ARK	10.0
1.5	Turnovers	1.7	ARK	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

MSST	Statistic	ARK	Edge	Margin
23	Games	23	-	0
27.3	Points Scored	29.6	ARK	2.4
246.5	Passing Yards	212.3	MSST	34.3
12.0	PYPC	12.7	ARK	0.8
7.3	PYPA	7.7	ARK	0.5
60.9	Completion PCT	60.9	MSST	0.1
169.0	Rushing Yards	179.4	ARK	10.4
4.5	RYPA	4.4	MSST	0.0
42.3	PenaltyYards	48.5	MSST	6.3
2.1	Turnovers	1.5	ARK	0.6

Betting Splits

Saturday,October 21	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
Mississippi ST Arkansas	+7 -7	29% 71%	26% 74%	46.5 46.5	68% 32%	84% 16%	+225 -278	13% 87%	11% 89%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Saturday, October 21	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
Mississippi ST Bulldogs	7	+7.0		46.5		21.4	52.1	22.4	51.4
Arkansas Razorbacks	3	-7.0	46.0	52.5	-8.1	30.7	-9.3	29.0	-6.6

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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