Home-2

Gerald J. Ford Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
North Texas	21	+20		3-6	5-3-1	5-4-0	34.8	36.7	23.6	60.3
SMU	45	-20	66.5	7-2	5-4-0	4-5-0	40.0	15.9	36.7	-13.1

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
North Texas			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
10	Nov 4	VS Texas-San Antonio	+250	+8	69.5	29-37	L	P	U	56%	8%	56%	55%	69%	40%
9	Oct 28	VS Memphis	+205	+6.5	69	42-45	L	W	O	10%	8%	53%	36%	62%	37%
8	Oct 21	at Tulane	+800	+20	63.5	28-35	L	W	U	7%	2%	26%	33%	78%	52%
7	Oct 14	VS Temple	-325	-7.5	65.5	45-14	W	W	U	57%	92%	57%	71%	61%	35%
6	Oct 7	at Navy	+195	+6.5	60	24-27	L	W	U	18%	10%	39%	42%	39%	54%
5	Sep 30	VS Abilene Christian	-	-16	69	45-31	W	L	O	0%	0%	47%	84%	64%	28%
3	Sep 16	at Louisiana Tech	+164	+4.5	66.5	40-37	W	W	O	76%	26%	39%	35%	57%	42%
2	Sep 9	at Florida Intl	-470	-11.5	52	39-46	L	L	O	79%	94%	41%	63%	91%	66%
1	Sep 2	VS California	+170	+4.5	53.5	21-58	L	L	O	64%	33%	69%	64%	56%	56%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
SMU			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
10	Nov 4	at Rice	-500	-13	58.5	36-31	W	L	O	63%	96%	74%	79%	84%	76%
9	Oct 28	VS Tulsa	-1350	-20.5	55	69-10	W	W	O	93%	97%	71%	66%	51%	63%
8	Oct 20	at Temple	-2100	-24	53.5	55-0	W	W	O	77%	87%	45%	58%	68%	70%
7	Oct 12	at East Carolina	-410	-11.5	49	31-10	W	W	U	91%	94%	65%	65%	66%	70%
5	Sep 30	VS Charlotte	-1650	-22.5	53	34-16	W	L	U	87%	96%	85%	66%	51%	61%
4	Sep 23	at TCU	+220	+6.5	62	17-34	L	L	U	26%	6%	19%	22%	61%	65%
3	Sep 16	VS Prairie View A&M	-	-42	63	69-0	W	W	O	0%	0%	68%	62%	91%	42%
2	Sep 9	at Oklahoma	+525	+16.5	68.5	11-28	L	L	U	10%	2%	26%	20%	92%	83%
1	Sep 2	VS Louisiana Tech	-1450	-21	66	38-14	W	W	U	89%	95%	55%	64%	81%	51%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2022 Sep 3	SMU Mustangs North Texas Mean Green	48 10	-9.5 +9.5	-340 +280	67	SMET	SMET	FAV	Road	Under
2021 Sep 11	North Texas Mean Green SMU Mustangs	12 35	+22.5 -22.5	+1200 -1900	76	SMET	SMET	FAV	HOME	Under
2020 Sep 19	SMU Mustangs North Texas Mean Green	65 35	-15 +15	-700 +506	71.5	SMET	SMET	FAV	Road	Over
2019 Sep 7	North Texas Mean Green SMU Mustangs	27 49	+4 -4	+143 -164	72.5	SMET	SMET	FAV	HOME	Over
2018 Sep 1	SMU Mustangs North Texas Mean Green	23 46	+3 -3	+130 -150	71	NTEX	NTEX	FAV	Home	Under

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NTEX	Statistic	SMU	Edge	Margin
9	Games	9	-	0
34.8	Points Scored	40.0	SMU	5.2
301.7	Passing Yards	291.2	NTEX	10.5
12.5	PYPC	14.0	SMU	1.5
7.8	PYPA	8.4	SMU	0.6
62.2	Completion PCT	59.9	NTEX	2.2
180.7	Rushing Yards	174.1	NTEX	6.6
5.1	RYPA	4.5	NTEX	0.6
40.6	PenaltyYards	41.6	NTEX	1.0
1.6	Turnovers	0.9	SMU	0.7

Defensive Statistics

NTEX	Statistic	SMU	Edge	Margin
9	Games	9	-	0
36.7	Points Scored	15.9	SMU	20.8
208.3	Passing Yards	166.4	SMU	41.9
12.8	PYPC	9.8	SMU	3.0
7.6	PYPA	5.6	SMU	2.0
59.3	Completion PCT	57.3	SMU	2.0
260.0	Rushing Yards	115.3	SMU	144.7
5.7	RYPA	3.1	SMU	2.6
40.6	PenaltyYards	69.1	SMU	28.6
1.3	Turnovers	1.1	NTEX	0.2

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NTEX	Statistic	SMU	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
32.8	Points Scored	52.5	SMU	19.8
305.0	Passing Yards	304.5	NTEX	0.5
12.0	PYPC	15.4	SMU	3.5
7.6	PYPA	10.5	SMU	2.9
63.8	Completion PCT	68.1	SMU	4.3
197.3	Rushing Yards	201.5	SMU	4.3
5.2	RYPA	5.1	NTEX	0.1
40.0	PenaltyYards	51.5	NTEX	11.5
1.8	Turnovers	0.5	SMU	1.3

Defensive Statistics

NTEX	Statistic	SMU	Edge	Margin
4	Games	4	-	0
36.3	Points Scored	10.0	SMU	26.3
194.3	Passing Yards	147.8	SMU	46.5
14.4	PYPC	9.7	SMU	4.7
8.8	PYPA	5.5	SMU	3.3
61.4	Completion PCT	57.0	SMU	4.4
253.5	Rushing Yards	103.0	SMU	150.5
5.6	RYPA	2.7	SMU	2.9
45.5	PenaltyYards	64.0	SMU	18.5
1.5	Turnovers	1.0	NTEX	0.5

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NTEX	Statistic	SMU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
34.5	Points Scored	38.3	SMU	3.8
297.4	Passing Yards	283.9	NTEX	13.5
12.6	PYPC	13.3	SMU	0.7
7.7	PYPA	8.1	SMU	0.4
61.3	Completion PCT	61.3	SMU	0.0
180.2	Rushing Yards	173.8	NTEX	6.4
5.0	RYPA	4.4	NTEX	0.6
40.5	PenaltyYards	40.2	SMU	0.3
1.6	Turnovers	0.9	SMU	0.7

Defensive Statistics

NTEX	Statistic	SMU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
36.5	Points Scored	16.7	SMU	19.8
201.2	Passing Yards	154.5	SMU	46.7
12.6	PYPC	9.7	SMU	2.9
7.5	PYPA	5.5	SMU	1.9
59.3	Completion PCT	57.4	SMU	1.9
265.8	Rushing Yards	124.7	SMU	141.1
5.8	RYPA	3.3	SMU	2.4
42.4	PenaltyYards	67.5	SMU	25.1
1.2	Turnovers	1.1	NTEX	0.1

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

NTEX	Statistic	SMU	Edge	Margin
11	Games	11	-	0
26.7	Points Scored	36.0	SMU	9.3
297.5	Passing Yards	297.1	NTEX	0.4
11.7	PYPC	14.3	SMU	2.6
7.4	PYPA	9.0	SMU	1.6
63.5	Completion PCT	63.1	NTEX	0.4
136.7	Rushing Yards	172.7	SMU	36.0
3.5	RYPA	5.0	SMU	1.5
76.6	PenaltyYards	53.0	SMU	23.6
2.1	Turnovers	2.1	-	0.0

Betting Splits

Friday,November 10	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
North Texas SMU	+21 -21	35% 65%	37% 63%	67 67	76% 24%	71% 29%	+900 -1600	12% 88%	6% 94%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Friday, November 10	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
North Texas Mean Green	21	+20.0		34.5		23.6	60.3	25.6	65.7
SMU Mustangs	45	-20.0	66.5	52.0	-16.8	36.7	-13.1	40.2	-14.6

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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