Home-2

SMU at

Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

FINAL	Score	Line	OU	Record	ATS	O-U-P	PF	PA	EST Score	EST Line
SMU	31	-11.5		3-2	2-3-0	1-4-0	33.8	18.4	31.9	51.2
East Carolina	10	+11.5	49	1-4	2-3-0	2-3-0	21.0	25.6	19.3	12.6

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
SMU			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Sep 30	VS Charlotte	-1650	-22.5	53	34-16	W	L	U	87%	96%	85%	66%	51%	61%
4	Sep 23	at TCU	+220	+6.5	62	17-34	L	L	U	26%	6%	19%	22%	61%	65%
3	Sep 16	VS Prairie View A&M	-	-42	63	69-0	W	W	O	0%	0%	68%	62%	91%	42%
2	Sep 9	at Oklahoma	+525	+16.5	68.5	11-28	L	L	U	10%	2%	26%	20%	92%	83%
1	Sep 2	VS Louisiana Tech	-1450	-21	66	38-14	W	W	U	89%	95%	55%	64%	81%	51%

2023 Recent Results

Wk	Date	Opponent	ML	Line	OU	Score	SU	ATS	OU	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets	Handle	Bets
East Carolina			DraftKings			Results				Money Line		Spread		OVER Total
5	Sep 30	at Rice	+145	+3.5	46	17-24	L	L	U	41%	26%	54%	38%	69%	86%
4	Sep 23	VS Gardner Webb	-	-13	51.5	44-0	W	W	U	0%	0%	59%	88%	25%	46%
3	Sep 16	at Appalachian ST	+245	+7.5	48.5	28-43	L	L	O	18%	5%	54%	29%	80%	84%
2	Sep 9	VS Marshall	+120	+3	43.5	13-31	L	L	O	41%	47%	71%	50%	52%	76%
1	Sep 2	at Michigan	-	+36	53	3-30	L	W	U	0%	0%	25%	18%	90%	87%

Last 5 Head to Head Results

Date	Road/Home	Score	Line	ML	OU	SU	ATS	F/D	H/A	OU
2020 Nov 28	SMU Mustangs East Carolina Pirates	38 52	-13.5 +13.5	- +372	72	ECAR	ECAR	DOG	HOME	Over
2019 Nov 9	East Carolina Pirates SMU Mustangs	51 59	+23 -23	+1175 -2500	73.5	SMET	ECAR	DOG	Road	Over
2016 Nov 12	SMU Mustangs East Carolina Pirates	55 31	+6.5 -6.5	+210 -260	63.5	SMET	SMET	DOG	Road	Over
2015 Oct 3	East Carolina Pirates SMU Mustangs	49 23	-5.5 +5.5	-235 +195	64.5	ECAR	ECAR	FAV	Road	Over
2014 Oct 4	SMU Mustangs East Carolina Pirates	24 45	+39 -39	- -	59.5	ECAR	SMET	DOG	Road	Over

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SMU	Statistic	ECU	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
33.8	Points Scored	21.0	SMU	12.8
256.0	Passing Yards	169.2	SMU	86.8
12.9	PYPC	9.6	SMU	3.3
7.7	PYPA	5.0	SMU	2.7
59.3	Completion PCT	51.8	SMU	7.5
177.8	Rushing Yards	131.0	SMU	46.8
4.7	RYPA	3.7	SMU	0.9
44.4	PenaltyYards	76.0	SMU	31.6
1.2	Turnovers	1.6	SMU	0.4

Defensive Statistics

SMU	Statistic	ECU	Edge	Margin
5	Games	5	-	0
18.4	Points Scored	25.6	SMU	7.2
181.6	Passing Yards	210.4	SMU	28.8
10.1	PYPC	12.1	SMU	2.0
6.4	PYPA	7.3	SMU	0.9
63.4	Completion PCT	60.0	ECU	3.4
134.0	Rushing Yards	118.2	ECU	15.8
3.4	RYPA	3.4	ECU	0.0
71.4	PenaltyYards	36.4	SMU	35.0
0.4	Turnovers	1.8	ECU	1.4

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SMU	Statistic	ECU	Edge	Margin
2	Games	2	-	0
14.0	Points Scored	28.5	ECU	14.5
254.0	Passing Yards	153.5	SMU	100.5
12.1	PYPC	9.9	SMU	2.2
6.4	PYPA	4.9	SMU	1.5
52.5	Completion PCT	49.2	SMU	3.3
137.5	Rushing Yards	164.0	ECU	26.5
3.8	RYPA	4.0	ECU	0.2
17.5	PenaltyYards	76.5	SMU	59.0
2.0	Turnovers	1.5	ECU	0.5

Defensive Statistics

SMU	Statistic	ECU	Edge	Margin
2	Games	2	-	0
31.0	Points Scored	15.5	ECU	15.5
220.5	Passing Yards	145.5	ECU	75.0
10.3	PYPC	11.6	SMU	1.4
7.4	PYPA	5.7	ECU	1.6
71.7	Completion PCT	49.0	ECU	22.7
190.5	Rushing Yards	104.0	ECU	86.5
4.2	RYPA	2.7	ECU	1.5
68.0	PenaltyYards	27.0	SMU	41.0
0.0	Turnovers	3.0	ECU	3.0

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SMU	Statistic	ECU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
36.8	Points Scored	26.2	SMU	10.6
279.7	Passing Yards	214.8	SMU	64.9
11.9	PYPC	10.9	SMU	1.0
7.8	PYPA	6.2	SMU	1.7
65.9	Completion PCT	56.7	SMU	9.2
185.0	Rushing Yards	156.6	SMU	28.4
4.5	RYPA	4.8	ECU	0.2
40.1	PenaltyYards	62.4	SMU	22.3
1.2	Turnovers	0.8	ECU	0.4

Defensive Statistics

SMU	Statistic	ECU	Edge	Margin
10	Games	10	-	0
29.2	Points Scored	29.6	SMU	0.4
211.3	Passing Yards	261.4	SMU	50.1
11.5	PYPC	12.3	SMU	0.8
7.0	PYPA	7.9	SMU	0.8
61.1	Completion PCT	64.0	SMU	2.8
170.2	Rushing Yards	115.4	ECU	54.8
4.6	RYPA	3.6	ECU	1.0
57.5	PenaltyYards	45.5	SMU	12.0
0.9	Turnovers	1.5	ECU	0.6

Statistic Breakdown

Offensive Statistics

SMU	Statistic	ECU	Edge	Margin
9	Games	9	-	0
34.4	Points Scored	38.8	ECU	4.3
291.7	Passing Yards	325.1	ECU	33.4
11.5	PYPC	12.6	ECU	1.1
7.2	PYPA	8.9	ECU	1.7
62.1	Completion PCT	70.3	ECU	8.2
111.3	Rushing Yards	156.9	ECU	45.6
3.5	RYPA	4.0	ECU	0.5
54.4	PenaltyYards	46.2	ECU	8.2
1.4	Turnovers	1.8	SMU	0.3

Betting Splits

Thursday,October 12	Spread	Handle	Bets	Total	Handle	Bets	Money	Handle	Bets
SMU East Carolina	-11.5 +11.5	65% 35%	65% 35%	49 49	66% 34%	70% 30%	-410 +320	91% 9%	94% 6%

Makinen Weekly Ratings

Thursday, October 12	Score	Line	OU	PR	Line	Score	Proj	Score	Proj
		DraftKings			Power Ratings		Effective Strength		Bettor Rating
SMU Mustangs	31	-11.5		46.5		31.9	51.2	31.1	50.1
East Carolina Pirates	10	+11.5	49.0	34.5	9.4	19.3	12.6	19.0	12.1

Don't undervalue a team's coaching when handicapping NFL Win totals. The schedule is important, but a good coach can put a team over the top.

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